Last Updated Dec 06, 2022, 6:24 PM
College Football Week 14 Opening Odds Report
US Sports Betting Industry Expert
College football Week 14 odds are totally tied into conference championship clashes that will reshape College Football Playoff odds. And thanks to a wild Week 13, there's still plenty on the line.
The SEC championship game between Georgia and LSU may draw the most eyeballs, but it's certainly less alluring after LSU lost in Week 13. The Pac-12, Big 12 and Big Ten title games are all more meaningful.
Let's dive into Week 14 college football odds and action, with insights from multiple oddsmakers and sportsbooks. Check back regularly for updates.
College Football Week 14 Odds
Opening line: Michigan -16; Over/Under 50.5
Time: 8 p.m. ET Saturday (FOX)
Site: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Ninety minutes before kickoff, Michigan is laying 16 points in WynnBet's college football Week 14 odds market. That matches Sunday's opener, though Michigan quickly went to -16.5, then Wednesday peaked at -17.
On Friday, the line went to 16.5, at -115 and the flat -110, and today dipped to -16. Big underdog Purdue is getting a modest majority 53% of spread bets, but those tickets are translating into 72% of spread dollars. WynnBet said it needs a Michigan cover and the Under tonight.
The total opened at 50, got to 51.5 by Sunday night, then 52 Tuesday night. It didn't move again until going up to 53 today. Ticket count is 3/1 and money 8/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 2 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Caesars Sports opened Michigan at -15.5 Sunday afternoon, and the line spent the first half of the week bouncing between -16 and -16.5. On Wednesday afternoon, Caesars moved to Wolverines -17, then Wednesday night returned to -16.5.
Point-spread ticket count is almost 3/1 and spread money is approaching 5/1 on the Wolverines.
"I’m not surprised that Michigan has been this lopsided,” Caesars lead college football trader Joey Feazel said. “Between the Ohio State win and demolishing Iowa in a similar spot in last year’s Big Ten title game, the public is trusting them here. I think there’s a little bit less pressure, because I think Michigan is in the playoff regardless, but obviously you still want to win the Big Ten. Purdue is just outmatched here, but every time we get to 17, sharps are taking them there. So that’s why we’re hanging 16.5 now.”
The total opened at 50 and has peaked multiple times at 52, where it sits this afternoon. The Over is landing 75% of early bets and a heftier 94% of early dollars.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET MONDAY: Michigan (12-0 SU, 8-4 ATS) finished the regular season with a huge bang. The Wolverines went to Ohio State as 8.5-point underdogs and rode a 21-point fourth-quarter explosion to a 45-23 blowout victory. Michigan won the Big Ten East to cement its trip to Indianapolis for the Big Ten title tilt.
Purdue (8-4 SU, 5-7 ATS) won its last three games SU to take the Big Ten West. In Week 13, the Boilermakers had no issues at Indiana, winning 30-16 as 10.5-point road favorites.
Michigan initially ticked up to -16.5 at TwinSpires,, then returned to -16. The Wolverines are taking 62% of early tickets/69% of early dollars.
"It's a mix of sharp and public play on Michigan," TwinSpires' Zachary Lucas said.
The total is up a point to 51.5, with 54% of tickets/61% of money on the Over.
Opening line: Clemson -8; Over/Under 61.5
Time: 8 p.m. ET Saturday (ABC)
Site: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, N.C.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Clemson is at -7 (-115) 90 minutes pre-kickoff at WynnBet. The Tigers opened -7.5, spent a few hours at -8 a week ago, then sat all week at -7.5, at various prices. The move to -7 (-115) came today.
Point-spread ticket count is dead even, while North Carolina is seeing 61% of spread money. WynnBet needs a Clemson cover, but a North Carolina outright win would suit the book well, too.
The total opened at 62, fell to 61.5 initially, then Monday surged to 63.5, with multiple stops along the way. It's still at 63.5 as kickoff nears, with 59% of tickets and a hefty 90% of cash on the Over.
UPDATE 2 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Clemson opened as a 7.5-point chalk in Caesars Sports' college football Week 14 odds market. The Tigers advanced to -8 a couple of times Sunday and have been stable at -7.5 since Monday morning. North Carolina is getting 64% of early spread bets/58% of early spread cash.
That said, the ACC championship is drawing very light interest so far. Caesars Sports' Max Meyer noted the game is taking the least money by far of any of the 10 FBS conference championship games. In fact, even the SWAC final between FCS teams Jackson State and Southern is getting more attention.
"“I just think it’s because the ACC is having a down year,” Caesars lead college football trader Joey Feazel said. “In the preseason, we thought there was a lot of talent, but N.C. State didn’t get there, Miami was horrific and Pitt was disappointing. Clemson has two losses, and North Carolina has played really poorly over the past couple of weeks. These teams aren’t in the playoff picture and trending down, and I think it’s translating into that lack of betting interest for this game.
"It’s interesting to me that North Carolina is getting the majority of the action, because North Carolina has played much worse of late than Clemson.”
The total opened at 62, fell to 61.5 Sunday night, then climbed to 63.5 by Monday afternoon. It's still at 63.5, with ticket count 3/1 and practically every dollar on the Over in the early going.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET MONDAY: Clemson entered Week 13 still harboring a little hope in the CFP race, but that hope imploded on its home field against instate rival South Carolina. The Tigers (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS) closed as 14.5-point favorites and lost outright 31-30.
In back-to-back weeks, the Gamecocks blew up the championship aspirations of Tennessee and Clemson.
North Carolina (9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS) made it to the ACC championship game despite losing its last two regular-season contests. In Week 13, the Tar Heels were laying 6.5 points at home against North Carolina State, but needed a touchdown as time expired just to tie the game at 24 and force overtime.
After trading field goals on the first possessions of OT, N.C. State made a field goal, and North Carolina missed a 35-yarder to lose 30-27.
Clemson receded to -7.5 at TwinSpires, where early ticket count is 2/1-plus and early money 2.5/1 on North Carolina.
"UNC is a very trendy underdog, as expected. It's early, but I imagine we'll be needing Clemson," TwinSpires' Zachary Lucas said.
The total is more on the move, going from 61.5 to 62.5, then to 63.5. The Over is drawing 58% of early tickets/72% of early money.
"Sharp play on the Over," Lucas said.
Opening line: Georgia -16.5; Over/Under 49.5
Time: 4 p.m. ET Saturday (CBS)
Site: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET SATURDAY: An hour ahead of kickoff, the Bulldogs are -17 (-115) on WynnBet's college football Week 14 odds board. Back on Nov. 21, WynnBet opened the SEC championship game at Georgia -15, then on Sunday did a lot of bouncing around.
The number initially rose to Georgia -16, then quickly receded to -14.5 Sunday morning. But within a few hours, the number was out to Bulldogs -16.5, and by Sunday night, Georgia was a 17-point chalk. By Tuesday, the Dawgs went to -18, then Wednesday backed up to -17.5, where it stuck until dipping to -17 today.
LSU is seeing 65% of spread tickets, while 58% of spread money is on Georgia. WynnBet said it's not a huge need either way on the spread, but the book would love a Tigers upset to clear out moneyline parlays running to the Bulldogs.
The total opened at 50.5, nudged to 51, then dialed down to 49.5 briefly Sunday evening. By Monday night, though, the number was up to 51, and it stretched to 52.5 by Thursday afternoon, then went to 52 Friday, where it sits now. Ticket count is almost 5/1 and money 2.5/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 2 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Georgia hit Caesars' odds board at -15 early Sunday and stretched to -17 by Sunday night. On Monday, the line reached Bulldogs -17.5, and that's where it sits now.
LSU is actually seeing 67% of early spread tickets at Caesars, while 54% of early spread dollars are on Georgia.
The total toggled between 51 and 50.5 a few times Sunday/Monday, and it's been stable at 51 since Monday evening. The Over is netting 61% of ticket/65% of cash.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET MONDAY: LSU blew up its CFP hopes by falling apart as a double-digit road chalk in Week 13. The Tigers (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS), who closed as 10-point favorites, tumbled to Texas A&M 38-23.
Even with two losses, had LSU won at Texas A&M, then beaten Georgia in the SEC championship game, the Tigers would certainly have reached the four-team playoff. But with three losses, regardless of what happens this week against the Bulldogs, LSU has no shot.
Meanwhile, Georgia (12-0 SU, 6-6 ATS) doesn't seem likely to lose in the SEC final. But if somehow the Bulldogs falter, they'll probably still land in the four-team tournament and get a chance to defend their title.
In Week 13, Georgia spotted instate rival Georgia Tech an early touchdown, and the Bulldogs led just 10-7 at halftime. But Kirby Smart's outfit rolled in the second half as Georgia won 37-14. That said, the Bulldogs fell well short of covering as massive 36.5-point home favorites.
Big 'dog LSU is taking 62% of early spread tickets in TwinSpires Sportsbook's college football Week 14 odds market. However, 65% of early spread dollars are on Georgia.
"There was early sharp buy on Georgia -16.5/-17," TwinSpires' Zachary Lucas said.
The Bulldogs are already up to -17.5. The total is also on the rise, up a point to 50.5, with tickets 2/1 and money 2.5/1 on the Over.
Opening line: TCU -2.5; Over/Under 61
Time: Noon ET Saturday (ABC)
Site: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
UPDATE 11:15 A.M. ET SATURDAY: Forty-five minutes before kickoff, the Horned Frogs are down to 1-point favorites at WynnBet. On Sunday afternoon, TCU opened -1.5 and quickly went to -2.5, where the line remained much of the week.
On Friday, the Horned Frogs dipped to -2 and -1.5, then this morning went to -1. TCU is taking 73% of spread tickets, but 61% of spread dollars are on Kansas State. WynnBet said it needs a TCU win and cover.
The total opened at 61 (Under -115), peaked at 62 early Monday, then inched to 61.5 Friday. This morning, it's down to 60.5, with ticket count 2/1 on the Over, but money 2/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 2 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Caesars Sports' college football Week 14 odds board has TCU laying 2.5 points in the Big 12 championship game. That's been the number all week, with Caesars not even so much as adjusting the juice.
The Horned Frogs are attracting 77% of spread tickets, but a more modest 62% of spread cash.
Within just a few hours Sunday, the total opened at 62, peaked at 62.5, then dropped to 61. It's been stable at 62 since Monday afternoon, with ticket count about 2/1 on the Over and money running almost dead even.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET MONDAY: Texas Christian (12-0 SU, 9-2-1 ATS) put a massive exclamation point on its regular season, while staying unbeaten and firmly on track for a CFP slot. The Horned Frogs boatraced Iowa State 62-14 laying 9.5 points at home in Week 13.
Kansas State (9-3 SU, 8-3-1 ATS) needed and got a win in Week 13 to land in the Big 12 championship game. The Wildcats went off as 11.5-point home favorites against rival Kansas and rolled to a 47-27 victory.
TCU and K-State met in Week 8 in Fort Worth, where the Wildcats bolted out to a 28-10 second-quarter lead. But the Horned Frogs shut out Kansas State the rest of the way, scoring the game's final 28 points in a 38-28 win as 3.5-point favorites.
The Big 12 title game is practically at home for TCU, at AT&T Stadium in nearby Arlington.
TwinSpires hasn't moved off TCU -2.5 yet, although spread tickets are running 4/1 and spread money 6/1 on TCU in the early going.
"It's all TCU so far. K-State will be a big need for us," TwinSpires' Zachary Lucas said.
The total quickly climbed from 61 to 62.5, but this afternoon inched back to 62. The Over is seeing 63% of tickets/68% of money.
Opening line: USC -1.5; Over/Under 66.5
Time: 8 p.m. ET Friday (FOX)
Site: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas
UPDATE 7 P.M. ET FRIDAY: An hour before kickoff, the Trojans are laying 2.5 points at WynnBet. On Sunday afternoon, Southern Cal opened -1.5 and initially fell to -1, but by early Sunday evening moved out to -2.5 on the way to -3 late Sunday night.
The Trojans have been at various price iterations of -2.5 since Wednesday afternoon. Spread ticket count is 5/1 and spread money 4/1 on USC. Furthermore, moneyline tickets are 4/1 and moneyline cash beyond 9/1 on the Trojans.
"It's been USC all day. We need Utah to win the game," WynnBet trader Andy Morrissey said.
The total opened at a healthy 66.5, briefly peaked at 68 midweek, then fell back to 66.5 by Thursday afternoon. Shortly thereafter, the total nudged to 67, and today it's up to 68 again. Ticket count is 2/1 and money 4/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 2 P.M. ET THURSDAY: A day before the Pac-12 championship game, Southern Cal is a 2.5-point chalk in Caesars' college football Week 14 odds market. The Trojans opened -2.5 Sunday afternoon at Caesars, but fell back to -1 within just a few hours.
However, even faster than that, USC returned to the -2.5 opener, and by late Sunday night, the line was -3. The number has been stable at USC -2.5 since Wednesday afternoon. The Trojans are taking 84% of early spread bets, but Utah is seeing 54% of early spread handle, in large part due to a $110,000 bet at +3.
But on the moneyline, it's completely lopsided on USC at Caesars, due to an absolutely massive play: $901,350.65 on Trojans moneyline -130. It's the largest reported bet at any book on any game, college or NFL, this football season.
“Utah is the sharp side here. In the first matchup, the sharps were on USC, which surprised me,” Caesars lead college football trader Joey Feazel said, alluding to Utah's 43-42 Week 7 home win over USC. "But from the angle they’re seeing here, this is a well-balanced matchup, and if there’s any edge here, it’s taking the points. The sharps were all over [Utah] +3 when the line got there.
"But the spread doesn’t matter as much for us here. We want Utah to win after that big USC moneyline bet.”
The total opened at 65.5 and peaked at 69 briefly Wednesday, before rolling back to 67.5, then going to 68 again. Today, it's back at 67.5, but ticket count is running 4/1 and money 9/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET MONDAY: USC has just one blemish on its record, and it just so happens to be a 43-42 setback to Utah in Week 7. The Trojans (11-1 SU, 8-4 ATS) took care of Notre Dame in Week 13, winning 38-27 as 4.5-point home favorites. Southern Cal has cashed three straight and five of its last seven, heading into Friday's Pac-12 championship game.
Utah (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS) got into the Pac-12 title game by way of Washington's Week 13 win over Washington State. The Utes played Friday in Week 13, traveling to Colorado and basting the Buffaloes 63-21 to cash as 30-point favorites.
USC and Utah played a screamer in Week 7 at Salt Lake City. Trailing 42-35, the Utes scored a touchdown in the final minute and, rather than kick the PAT for a tie and likely overtime, opted for a 2-point attempt. Utah converted to win 43-42, while USC covered as a 3.5-point pup.
The Trojans are already up to -3 on TwinSpires' college football Week 14 odds board. Spread tickets are running 2/1 and money 3/1 on USC.
"The public and sharps are both backing USC. And USC moneyline is already 8/1 tickets and 11/1 money," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.
Southern Cal is -150 to Utah's +125 on the moneyline.
The total nudged up to 67, with 65% of early bets/62% of early money on the Over.