Tech Trends – Week 7

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NFL Trends - Week 6

Tuesday, Oct. 9
Matchup Skinny Edge
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APP STATE at ARKANSAS STATE...Ark State 1-6 last 7, 2-8 vs. line last 10 on board. App has covered 8 in a row since late 2017.
App State, based on recent trends.
Thursday, Oct. 11
Matchup Skinny Edge
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TEXAS TECH at TCU...TCU 2-11-1 as Fort Worth chalk since 2016, 11-21-1 overall vs. spread since 2016. Tech 9-4 vs. spread last 13 as visiting dog.
Texas Tech, based on team trends.
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GEORGIA SOUTHERN at TROY STATE...GS 5-0 vs. spread in 2018, 7-1 last 8 since late 2017. Also covered last four as dog. Troy 4-0-1 vs. line last five this season and has covered last 4 in 2018 but is 0-4 vs. line last 4 vs. Eagles.
Georgia Southern, based on team and series trends.
Friday, Oct. 12
Matchup Skinny Edge
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SOUTH FLORIDA at TULSA...USF 4-7 vs. points last ten since late 2017. Bulls 2-5 vs. line last seven laying points away from Tampa in reg. season. Tulsa however just 1-7 last 8 as home dog.
Slight to South Florida, based on team trends.
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ARIZONA at UTAH...Utes 5-1 as home chalk since last season. Home team has won and covered last three in series. Cats on 3-7-1 spread skid since late 2017, also 2-10 last 12 as visiting dog. Sumlin teams are 4-9-2 last 15 as dog.
Utah, based on team and series trends.
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AIR FORCE at SAN DIEGO STATE...Calhoun 15-6-1 last 22 as dog since 2014. Though Aztecs have covered 6 of last 7 in series. Rocky Long, however, just 2-8 last 10 as home chalk.
Slight to San Diego State, based on series trends.
Saturday, Oct. 13
Matchup Skinny Edge
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LOUISVILLE at BOSTON COLLEGE...’Ville 1-6 vs. spread since late 2017, on 6-17 spread skid since late 2016. BC 15-6 last 21 on board since late 2016. Road team, however, has covered last four meetings.
Boston College, based on team trends.
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MIAMI-FLORIDA at VIRGINIA...Canes 3-2 vs. line since dropping opener vs. LSU. Richt 13-10 last 23 on board, 7-3 last ten as visiting chalk. Cavs however 4-1 vs. line in 2018.
Slight to Virginia, based on team trends.
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TOLEDO at EASTERN MICHIGAN...If Rockets chalk note 8-2 vs. line in role as visitor since 2015. EMU just 2-5-1 vs. spread last 8 at Ypsilanti vs. MAC foes.
Slight to Toledo, based on team trends.
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TEXAS A&M at SOUTH CAROLINA...Muschamp 2-3 vs. line last four at home, but did cover narrowly at A&M LY. Gamecocks have covered last three in series. Jimbo 5-1 vs. line TY.
Slight to Texas A&M based on recent trends.
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ULM at COASTAL CAROLINA...ULM just 1-7 vs. spread last eight since late 2017. Coastal on 5-2 spread uptick since late 2017.
Coastal Carolina, based on team trends.
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PURDUE at ILLINOIS...Lovie 2-8 vs. spread at home in Big Ten action. Lost and failed to cover last two vs. Purdue. Boilermakers surprising 15-5 last 20 vs. points as visitor (back to Hazell regime), and Purdue 6-2 vs. line away from Ross-Ade for Brohm.
Purdue, based on team and recent series trends.
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BALL STATE at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...Ball 2-6 last 8 vs. spread away and no covers last four away in MAC. Cards have covered 3 of last 4 vs. CMU but Chips rolled 56-9 LY. Chips 9-2 vs. spread last 11 reg season games.
Central Michigan, based on team trends.
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DUKE at GEORGIA TECH...Duke has covered last 4 in series. GT 6-2 vs. spread last 8 at home. Duke 21-11 as dog since 2013.
Duke, based on series trends.
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RUTGERS at MARYLAND...Ash 4-2 vs. line on Big Ten road since LY though Scarlet Knights just 2-6 vs. line last eight overall since late 2017. Terps 5-3 as DD chalk since 2016. Home team has won and covered last two meetings.
Slight to Maryland, based on team and series trends.
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VIRGINIA TECH at NORTH CAROLINA...Fedora 6-2 last 8 vs. spread though just 2-2 TY. Fuente has crushed Heels last two years by 93-10 total score. Fedora just 2-5 last 7 as Chapel Hill dog.
Virginia Tech, based on recent series trends.
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WESTERN KENTUCKY at CHARLOTTE...Tops have covered 3 in a row and 4 straight in 2018. Though WKU was 0-5 as chalk away from home LY. 49ers 5-2 vs. line last seven at home.
Slight to Charlotte, based on team trends.
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HOUSTON at EAST CAROLINA...Cougs 1-6 as chalk away from home since LY. But ECU just 8-20-1 vs. spread for Montgomery.
Houston, based on team trends.
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AKRON at BUFFALO...Zips 8-4-1 last 13 vs. spread in reg season. But Bulls have covered last five as MAC host. Home team 4-0 SU, 2-0-1 vs. line last four meetings.
Buffalo, based on team and series home trends.
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MARSHALL at OLD DOMINION...Herd no covers last four TY. Home team has won and covered last three in series. But Monarchs only 6-13-1 last 20 on board overall.
Slight to Old Dominion, based on series trends.
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MTSU at FIU...MTSU now 5-1 vs. points last six C-USA games. Blue Raiders have won last three SU vs. FIU though have only covered one of last four in series. Butch Davis 6-0 last 6, 9-2 last 11 vs. spread in reg season vs. FBS-level foes.
Slight to FIU, based on team trends.
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KENT STATE at MIAMI-OHIO...Kent State 4-8 vs. line last 12 MAC games dating to late 2016 (1-1 TY). Low-scoring series past five years, 5-0 “under” in those games. RedHawks just 3-7 last ten as Yager chalk.
“Under” based on series “totals” trends.
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UNLV at UTAH STATE...Sanchez now 13-4 as road dog since arriving at UNLV in 2015. Also 11-4 last 15 as dog overall. Utags however 4-0-1 vs. line TY and 7-2-1 last ten as Logan chalk, and beat Rebs 52-24 LY.
Slight to Utah State, based on team trends.
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NEW MEXICO at COLORADO STATE...Bobo on 2-11 spread skid, 1-8 last nine as chalk. Davie 0-6 SU, 1-5 vs. Rams since taking over Lobos in 2012 (cover came LY), but 3-0 vs. line away in 2018.
New Mexico, based on recent CSU woes.
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TROY at LIBERTY...Troy has covered last four in 2018 and 8-1 last nine vs. number since late 2017.
Troy, based on recent trends.
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PITT at NOTRE DAME...Irish only 1-3-1 vs. line last five in series (since 2010; haven’t played since 2015 when ND won) and just 2-2 vs. line at South Bend in 2018. Pitt 5-2 last seven as visiting dog.
Slight to Pitt, based on team and series trends.
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COLORADO at USC...Buffs yet to beat SC SU since entering Pac in 2011 but have covered 2 of last 3 meetings. Coach Mac 6-3 last nine as visiting dog and CU 4-0 vs. spread against FBS foes in 2018. Helton 5-14 last 19 vs. points, 1-6 last 7 as Coliseum chalk.
Colorado, based on team trends.
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ARMY at SAN JOSE STATE... Scrappy Spartans 5-1 vs. line last six against FBS-level foes, all as dog. Army on 7-2-1 spread run since mid 2017 but just 3-4-1 last eight as chalk for Monken.
Slight to SJSU, based on team trends.
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WASHINGTON at OREGON...U-Dub has destroyed Ducks last two years by 108-24 total score after not having beaten UO since the brief Keith Gilbertson era in 2003. Petersen 5-3 vs. points last seven as Pac-12 visitor though just 3-4 last six as visiting chalk. Webfoots 1-4 as Autzen dog since 2016.
Washington, based on recent trends.
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OHIO at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...Solich 7-3 last ten as visiting dog and 9-6 last 15 vs. points in MAC action. Solich 11-4 last 15 as dog overall. NIU just 2-4 last six as DeKalb chalk.
Ohio, based on team trends.
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LA TECH at UTSA...Skip Holtz 7-2 vs. spread last 9 away from Ruston. Also won and covered last 2 years vs. UTSA. Roadrunners 1-9 last ten vs. spread since late 2017.
La Tech, based on team and series trends.
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WESTERN MICHIGAN at BOWLING GREEN...The Mike Jinks Jinx, not to be confused with the Michael Spinks Jinx, as BGSU now 1-4-1 vs. line TY, 4-13-1 since 2017, 8-21-1 since 2016, all under Jinks.
Western Michigan, based on BGSU negatives.
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OLE MISS at Arkansas (at Little Rock)...Rebs 4-9 as visiting chalk since 2013. Tight series lately here with last three decided by 6 points total. Hogs have covered last five in series but that was all Bielema.
Slight to Arkansas, based on series trends.
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WISCONSIN at MICHIGAN... Paul Chryst 6-2 as dog with Badgers and has covered last two years vs. Harbaugh. Wiscy 12-1 vs. spread on road in reg seas. since 2015. Harbaugh 10-18-1 last 29 vs. line since mid 2016.
Wisconsin, based on team trends.
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MINNESOTA at OHIO STATE...Last Golden Goofs SU win in series was in 2000, Bucks have won 9 in a row SU since. Last meeting 2015. Goofs 0-2 as DD dog for Fleck and Minn just 2-6-1 as visiting dog since 2016 (1-4-1 for Fleck). Home team has covered all five Buckeyes games TY (counting TCU at Jerry Jones), but Urban 11-6 last 17 laying DD.
Ohio State, based on team trends.
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TEMPLE at NAVY... Owls have handled Navy the past two years, winning and covering both, and Temple now on 3-game cover streak in 2018. Collins now 10-4 last 14 on board since early 2017, and have covered 7 straight away from Linc. Mids 2-0 vs. line at Annapolis TY after 1-6 spread mark prior seven at home.
Temple, based on team and recent series trends.
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WEST VIRGINIA at IOWA STATE...Holgorsen has won and covered four in a row vs. Cyclones, though Matt Campbell on 14-6-1 run as dog since early 2016 at Toledo & ISU. Mounties 4-0 vs. line in 2018.
Slight to Iowa State, based on team trends.
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SOUTHERN MISS at NORTH TEXAS...UNT has won and covered last two meetings. USM however is 4-1 last five as visiting dog. Mean Green on 7-4 run last nine vs. FBS foes in reg season.
Slight to North Texas, based on team and recent series trends.
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NEBRASKA at NORTHWESTERN...Frost, 0-5 SU and 1-4 vs. line TY. Huskers on 5-14 spread skid since late 2016. Pat Fitz 5-2 vs. line last seven years in series, and Cats 14-6 last 20 on board vs. points.
Northwestern, based on team and series trends.
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IOWA at INDIANA... Ferentz has won and covered last three vs. Hoosiers though teams didn’t meet LY. Ferentz 13-2-1 as visiting chalk since 2013. Indiana on 4-8 spread downturn since mid 2017.
Iowa, based on team and extended series trends.
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UCF at MEMPHIS... UCF has covered last five vs. FBS-level foes. Golden Knights 5-1 as visiting chalk since LY and beat Memphis twice in 2017. Mike Norvell 2-1-1 as dog since 2016 with Memphis (but 0-1-1 vs. UCF).
UCF, based on team trends.
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TENNESSEE at AUBURN...Malzahn 1-3 vs. line at home TY, 5-14-1 as Jordan-Hare chalk since 2015. But Vols only 5-13 vs. line since 2016 (2-3 for Pruitt) and 2-8-1 last 11 as dog.
Slight to Auburn, based on UT negatives.
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BAYLOR at TEXAS...Horns have won and covered last three in series. UT has also covered last three years following OU.
Texas, based on recent trends.
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MISSOURI at ALABAMA...Tigers on 10-3 reg season spread run. Also 4-1 last five as dog. Nick has failed to cover last three this season and only 9-11-1 last 21 on board since late 2016.
Slight to Mizzou, based on team trends.
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FLORIDA at VANDERBILT...Dan Mullen on 12-6 spread run at MSU and Florida, 5-1 with Gators. Vandy 2-7 vs. line last 9 vs. SEC.
Florida, based on team trends.
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OKLAHOMA STATE at KANSAS STATE... Bill Snyder 1-1 as home dog TY but 7-3 in role since 2013. Snyder 2-2 as dog TY but 32-15 last 47 In role. Snyder has covered 6 of last 7 vs. Mike Gundy as well.
K-State, based on Snyder and series trends.
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UAB at RICE...Owls 6-12 vs. number since LY. Blazers however 0-2 in rare road chalk role since LY for Bill Clark. But Blazers are 4-0-1 as DD chalk since 2017, including 52-21 over Owls LY.
UAB, based on team trends.
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GEORGIA at LSU...Orgeron has covered five straight as dog, though only 1 of those at home. He’s only 3-6 vs. points since LY at Baton Rouge. Kirby Smart 4-2 as visiting chalk since LY, but 6-2 last 8 vs. SEC foes away from Athens.
Slight to LSU, based on Orgeron dog mark.
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NEW MEXICO STATE at UL-LAFAYETTE...NMSU 2-7 vs. points last 9 reg.-season games. Ags 2-4 as visiting dog since LY. Cajuns 2-4 as Lafayette home chalk since LY (1-1 TY, cover vs. Grambling).
Slight to ULL, based on team trends.
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MICHIGAN STATE at PENN STATE...Dantoio 3-1 SU and vs. line against James Franklin since 2014. Dantonio 19-7 as dog since 2011 though just 3-7 vs. spread last 10 as Big Ten visitor. Franklin has covered last four TY.
Slight to Michigan State, based on series and Dantonio extended dog trends.
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HAWAII at BYU...Sitake now 2-7 vs. line last 9 at Provo after Utag loss. BYU 3-7 last ten as chalk. Rolovich 6-5-1 as visiting dog.
Hawaii, based on team trends.
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UCLA at CAL... Bruins SU losing streak away from Rose Bowl on road now at 13 (3-10 vs. line in those). Bruins now on 5-13-1 spread skid since late 2016. Home team has won last 8 and covered last seven in series. Bears however just 1-4 vs. line TY (0-3 at Berkeley).
Slight to California, based on UCLA negatives.
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WYOMING at FRESNO STATE...Wyo 1-7 vs. spread last eight in reg season (all of those minus Josh Allen). Bohl was 12-4 as dog with Allen past two years but 0-3 in role without him in 2018. Tedford 14-3-2 vs. spread since arriving at Fresno LY, Dawgs on 19-5-2 spread run since mid 2016 (post-DeRuyter).
Fresno State, based on team trends.
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BOISE STATE at NEVADA...Pack just 8-10 overall vs. line since LY. Boise 38-16 as visiting chalk since 2008!
Boise State, based on team trends.