Tech Trends – Week 8

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NFL Trends - Week 7

Thursday, Oct. 18
Matchup Skinny Edge
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GEORGIA STATE at ARKANSAS STATE...Ark State 1-7 last 8, 2-9 vs. line last 11 on board. GSU 0-3 TY in once-feared road dog role, had been 19-6 in role entering 2018.
Slight to Georgia State, based on team trends.
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STANFORD at ARIZONA STATE...Tree 1-6 vs. line as visitor since last season, though was 3-0 at neutral sites in 2017. Herm 3-0 vs. line at home this season.
Slight to Arizona State, based on team trends.
Friday, Oct. 19
Matchup Skinny Edge
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COLORADO STATE at BOISE STATE...Bobo 3-11 last 14 vs. spread since mid 2017, though has covered last two TY. Boise however just 2-11 last 13 as MW chalk on blue carpet. Road team has covered last 3 and 6 of last 7 in series.
Colorado State, based on team and series trends.
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AIR FORCE at UNLV...Sanchez just 3-7 vs. line last 10 at Sam Boyd, and 4-9 vs. line last 13 as MW host.
Air Force, based on team trends.
Saturday, Oct. 20
Matchup Skinny Edge
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VANDERBILT at KENTUCKY...Dores 1-5 vs. line last six as SEC visitor and have lost and failed to cover last two vs. UK.
Kentucky, based on recent trends.
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CINCINNATI at TEMPLE...Owls have won and covered last three meetings, though Cincy is 6-0 SU and 5-‘1 vs. line this season. Fickell 7-2 as dog since LY. Temple 4-0-1 vs. line last five TY, and Owlies 10-2 last 12 vs. line as host vs. American foes.
Slight to Temple, based on team and series trends.
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UCF at EAST CAROLINA...Heupel 4-2 vs. line TY, and Golden Knights have routed ECU past two seasons, UCF 5-1 vs. spread away since LY. ECU 6-12 vs. spread at home for Montgomery (since 2016), 6-16-1 overall as dog for Scottie. Montgomery also 8-21-1 vs. spread since taking over Pirates.
UCF, based on team trends.
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NORTH CAROLINA at SYRACUSE...Babers 4-1-1 vs line TY, 2-0-1 vs. spread at Dome. Fedora 3-1 as dog TY but entered 2018 on 5-8-1 skid getting points.
Syracuse, based on recent trends.
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MARYLAND at IOWA...Rough Hawkeyes on 7-1 spread uptick since late 2017. Ferentz 9-2-1 last 12 vs. points in Iowa City. Terps 1-1 as dog this season but 3-6 last 9 in role.
Iowa, based on team trends.
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VIRGINIA at DUKE...Mendenhall 2-0 SU and vs. line against Cutcliffe, Cavs 3-0 SU and vs. spread last three vs. Blue Devils. Cavs 5-1 vs. line this season. Cutcliffe just 2-4-1 vs. points last seven at Durham.
Virginia, based on team and recent series trends.
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FAU at MARSHALL...Lane Kiffin 10-1 SU last 11 vs. C-USA foes, 8-3 vs. line in those games. Marshall was one he didn’t cover last season because Kiffin took safety in last seconds! Herd 4-11 vs. line last 15 at home.
FAU, based on team trends.
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NORTHWESTERN at RUTGERS...‘Gers in 1-5 spread slump TY, though Ash is 4-3 last 7 as New Brunswick dog. Pat Fitz has covered last 5 on Big Ten road and 10-2-1 vs. spread last 13 reg season games since mid 2017.
Northwestern, based on team trends.
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COASTAL CAROLINA at UMASS...UMass on 1-5 spread skid TY though is 2-1 vs. spread at home and 2-0 as chalk TY. CC was 3-1-1 as road dog LY but just 1-2 in role to date TY.
Slight to Coastal Carolina, based on recent UMass woes.
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MIAMI-OHIO at ARMY...Army 1-0-1 vs. line at home TY but Monken was only 1-4 as West Point chalk LY. Though Black Knights 4-0-1 last four on board in 2018.
Army, based on recent trends.
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MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN STATE...Dantonio is 2-1 SU and 3-0 vs. line against Harbaugh, though note road team has won SU last three years. Dantonio has also covered last ten in series (also vs. Rich-Rod and Brady Hoke). Harbaugh 0-2 vs. line on road in 2018, however, and 1-6 vs. spread last seven away from Big House. Dantonio 20-7 as dog since 2011.
Michigan State, based on team and series trends.
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OHIO STATE at PURDUE...Brohm 6-4 vs. line at Ross-Ade since arriving LY and 13-6 overall vs. number with Boilermakers. Also 7-2 as dog with Purdue. Urban no covers first two away from big Horseshoe TY and was only 5-5 as visiting chalk previous two seasons.
Purdue, based on team trends.
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ALABAMA at TENNESSEE...Saban 1-3 vs. line last four this season but is 11-0 SU vs. UT since taking over Bama in 2007. Tide has covered 6 of last 8 meetings. Saban 5-2-1 last 8 as DD Tuscaloosa SEC chalk. UT 3-8-1 last 12 as dog.
Alabama, based on team and series trends.
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EASTERN MICHIGAN at BALL STATE...EMU has won and covered last two meetings. Likely rare road chalk role for Eagles, overall away they’re 14-3 last 17 vs. spread. Ball 8-19 vs. points at Muncie since 2014.
Eastern Michigan, based on team and series trends.
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BUFFALO at TOLEDO... Bulls 8-1 vs. spread last nine away. If dog, UB 6-1-1 last 8 in role. Rockets only 2-6 last eight vs. spread since late 2017.
Buffalo, based on team trends.
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AKRON at KENT STATE...Kent State has covered last 2 and 3 of last 4 in series. Golden Flashes 5-3 vs. spread since late 2017.
Slight to Kent State, based on series trends.
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PENN STATE at INDIANA...James Franklin 4-0 SU vs. IU since arriving at Happy Valley, also has covered last three vs. Hoosiers. Franklin 7-2 vs. spread last nine on Big Ten road. Also 22-6 last 28 on board since early 2016. Hoosiers 2-6 last eight as home dog.
Penn State, based on team and series trends.
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ILLINOIS at WISCONSIN...Lovie 4-11 vs. line last 15 in Big Ten, though he did cover vs. Badgers LY. Interestingly, Wiscy no covers first four at Camp Randall TY.
Slight to Wisconsin, based on team trends.
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HOUSTON at NAVY...Major Applewhite 2-7 vs. line as favorite away from home with Cougs. Home team has won and covered last three years in series. Navy 4-1 last five as home dog.
Navy, based on series and team trends.
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UTEP at LA TECH...Dimel has covered last 2 and 3 of last 4 TY as Miners try to exit doldrums. Though UTEP just 3-6-1 vs. spread away since LY. Skip Holtz 37-23 vs. line since 2014 and 10-6 last 16 laying DD.
La Tech, based on team trends.
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RICE at FIU...Owls no covers last 4 in 2018. Also 4-10 last 14 as DD dog. Butch Davis 10-3 vs. spread last 13 in reg season.
FIU, based on team trends.
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ULL at APP STATE...Mounties spotless 5-0 vs. line in 2018, have now covered nine in a row since late 2017. App has won last four SU vs ULL and covered last two, total score last two is 87-14! Cajuns 1-6 as DD dog since 2017 (1-1 TY).
App State, based on team and series trends.
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TULSA at ARKANSAS...Hogs 0-3 as chalk in 2018, 2-9 laying points since 2016. Porkers 1-8 vs. points last nine non-SEC games. Tulsa 11-4 as visiting dog since 2014.
Tulsa, based on team trends.
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GEORGIA SOUTHERN at NEW MEXICO STATE...Ga So 5-1 vs. line TY, 7-2 last nine since late 2017. Ags however have covered last four years in series. After dropping seven straight vs. spread in reg season, NMSU has won and covered two of last three TY.
Slight to Georgia Southern, based on recent trends.
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UTAH STATE at WYOMING...Utags 5-0-1 vs. line TY, 7-1-1 last nine reg season games. Bohl has won and covered last two meetings though Utags won and covered preceding three. Bohl no covers last six in 2018 and 1-8 last 9 vs spread in reg season (all minus Josh Allen).
Utah State, based on team trends.
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FRESNO STATE at NEW MEXICO...Tedford 15-3-2 vs. spread since arriving at Fresno LY, Dawgs on 20-5-2 spread run since mid 2016 (post-DeRuyter). Davie 19-11 in dog role since late 2014.
Slight to Fresno State, based on team trends.
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WESTERN MICHIGAN at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...Road team has covered six in this MAC rivalry. Though Broncos just 3-6-1 vs. line away since LY for Lester. CMU on 9-3 reg season spread uptick.
Slight to Western Michigan, based on series road trend.
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ARIZONA at UCLA...Mora had dominated UA, winning and covering five in a row until LY’s lopsided 47-30 loss in Tucson. Bruins however just 6-15 vs. spread at Rose Bowl since 2014 and 10-19-1 last 30 on board. Sumlin teams 9-14 vs. spread last 22 as visitor. Cats no covers last four at Rose Bowl, where Sumlin also took a painful SU loss with A&M LY.
Slight to UCLA, based on series trends.
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WAKE FOREST at FLORIDA STATE...Clawson just 1-5 vs. line in 2018 and 0-2 in once solid dog role (now 14-5-1 last 20). Wake 2-0-1 vs. spread last three in series, however. Noles 1-4 as chalk TY, 6-11-2 on board since 2017.
Wake Forest, based on extended team and series trends.
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BOWLING GREEN at OHIO...Falcons 2-4-1 vs. line TY, 9-21-1 since 2016, all under Mike Jinks, dismissed as HC on Sunday night. (Ex-FAU HC Carl Pelini now the interim.) Ohio 16-10 last 26 vs. line since mid 2016.
Ohio, based on team trends.
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TEXAS STATE at ULM...Tex State 2-4 vs. line TY, 8-14 last 22 on board. Matt Viator's ULM, however, on 2-7 spread skid since late 2017 and just 2-5-1 as chalk with Warhawks since 2016.
Slight to Texas State, based on recent trends.
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MINNESOTA at NEBRASKA...Fleck just 3-8-1 vs. spread in Big Ten play with Gophers but one of those wins was a romp past Huskers 54-21 LY. Frost no spread losses last 2 TY but just 1-4-1 vs. line in 2018, and Huskers no covers last five as Lincoln chalk.
Slight to Minnesota, based on recent trends.
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UCONN at SOUTH FLORIDA...UConn 0-5-1 vs. line TY, though Huskies have covered last two years in series. Charlie Strong, however, just 1-7 last 8 as DD chalk with Bulls.
Slight to UConn, based on team and series trends.
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OKLAHOMA at TCU...Frogs no covers last 3 TY. Sooners have covered last 2 in series, and TCU 2-13-1 last 16 vs. spread at Fort Worth.
Oklahoma, based on team trends.
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NORTH TEXAS at UAB...UAB 9-0-1 vs. spread last 10 at Legion Field! Bill Clark on 15-5-1 spread run since late 2014.
UAB, based on team trends.
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SMU at TULANE... Home team is 6-0 vs. line in Wave games this season (Tulane 3-0 at home). Fritz now on 8-1 spread run at home since 2017. Painful loss to Ponies kept Wave out of bowl LY. SMU on 2-7 spread skid .
Tulane, based on team trends.
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NC STATE at CLEMSON...Pack 6-4 last ten as dog, has covered last two vs. Dabo. Clemson 0-3 vs. spread at home TY.
North Carolina State, based on team trends.
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KANSAS at TEXAS TECH...TT destroyed KU the past two years and 3-1-1 last five vs. line in series. Jayhawks 1-1 as DD dog in 2018 after 2-5-1 in role LY. Kingsbury on 21-13-1 spread uptick since late 2015.
Texas Tech, based on team and recent series trends.
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UTSA at SOUTHERN MISS...Roadrunners were on 0-9 spread skid before recent win at Rice. UTSA also 2-13 last 15 on board.
Southern Miss, based on team trends.
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CHARLOTTE at MTSU...49ers just 2-7 last nine as road dog. MTSU has won and covered last three meetings. Stockstill has also covered last 4 in Murfreesboro.
Middle Tennessee, based on team trends.
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MEMPHIS at MISSOURI...Home teams are 6-1 vs. line in Memphis games this season (Mem 0-2 away). Mizzou on 10-4 reg season spread uptick and has covered six straight at Columbia.
Mizzou, based on team trends.
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AUBURN at OLE MISS...Malzahn 2-5 vs. line TY, 7-12-2 since 2017, 19-36-2 since early 2014. Road team has covered last four in series. Matt Luke just 4-7 vs. spread at Vaught-Hemingway since 2017.
Slight to Auburn, based on series trends.
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OLD DOMINION at WKU...Tops 2-9 as chalk since LY, including a non-cover at ODU. Monarchs just 4-10 last 14 as road dog.
Slight to ODU, based on team trends.
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MISSISSIPPI STATE at LSU...Dan Mullen covered his last four vs. LSU before moving to Florida. Bulldogs 9-5 as road dog since 2013. Orgeron 3-6 last 9 as Tiger Stadium chalk.
MSU, based on team and series trends.
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USC at UTAH...Helton on 6-14 last 20 vs. line. Utes 3-1 last 4, 4-2 vs. line last six meetings. Whittingham 2-0 SU and vs. line at home vs. Trojans. Utes 10-4 vs. spread last 14 at Rice-Eccles.
Utah, based on team and series trends.
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SAN JOSE STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE...Rocky has destroyed SJSU last four years and Aztecs have won and covered last five meetings. Though Spartans 2-0 as road dog TY. Rocky 2-8 last ten as home chalk.
Slight to San Diego State, based on series trends.
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NEVADA at HAWAII... Home team has covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 in series. Pack just 5-9 as road dog since 2016. Rolovich 2-1 vs. FBS at Aloha TY after 0-8-1 in nine prior vs. FBS at home.
Slight to Nevada, based on team trends.