Bowl Tech Trends - Week 1

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Week 1 · Week 2 · Week 3

Friday, Dec. 20

Matchup	Skinny	Edge
at	BUFFALO vs. CHARLOTTE (Bahamas Bowl)...MAC teams struggled again vs. line in bowls LY (2-4), though Buffalo did cover 6 of last 7 this season. Charlottte won last five SU (4-1 vs. line n those). Both teams “over” 8-4 this season, and Bulls “over” 18-8 since 2018.	“Over” based on “totals” trends.
at	KENT STATE vs. UTAH STATE (Frisco Bowl)...First Golden Flashes bowl since 2012. Utags a bit disappointing this season but were 5-2 as chalk. Kent State covered last 4 and 6 of last 7 TY, and was 6-2 as dog.	Slight to Kent State, based on recent trends.

Saturday, December 21

Matchup	Skinny	Edge
at	CENTRAL MICHIGAN at SAN DIEGO STATE (New Mexico Bowl)...Aztecs “under” 12-1 since last 2018. SDSU also 4-1 “under” its last five bowls. Aztecs 5-1 SU away in 2019 but just 4-11 as chalk since LY (0-8 in 2018). Jim McElwain covered 9 of last 11 this season and 5 of last 6 as dog.	Slight to CMU and “under,” based on team and ‘totals” trends.
at	LIBERTY vs. GEORGIA SOUTHERN (Cure Orlando Bowl)...First-ever bowl for Liberty. Flames covered 7 of last 10 this season but just 2-3 as dog. GS only 2-4 vs. spread away from Statesboro in 2019, and Eagles “over” 13-6 since midway in 2018.	“Over” based on “totals” trends.
at	SMU at FLORIDA ATLANTIC (Boca Raton Bowl)...SMU cooled off down stretch after covering first five TY, only 3-4 vs. spread last seven. Though mustangs were 5-1 SU vs. line away this season. FAU 7-2 vs. spread last nine in 2019, also won and covered 4 of last 5 at Boca Raton. Mustangs 9-3 “over” in 2019.	FAU and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
at	FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. ARKANSAS STATE (Camellia Bowl)...FIU was only 4-8 vs. lin3 this season but did cover last two, after 10-3 spread success a year ago. Butch Davis 2-3 as dog TY after 10-4 mark in role previous two seasons. Ark State 2-5 as chalk this season and just 1-4 SU and vs. spread in bowls past five years.	Slight to FIU, based on extended trends.
at	WASHINGTON vs. BOISE STATE (Las Vegas Bowl)... Huskies 5-1 vs. line last six outside of Pac and 7-3 as chalk in 2019 Petersen 2-3 vs. line in bowls with Huskies. Boise has won and covered 3 of last 4 bowls and Harsin 5-1 last six as dog. Also 24-11 vs. number last 35 away from home since 2015. MW has won and covered last 3 LV Bowls.	Slight to Boise State, based on team trends.
at	UAB vs. APPALACHIAN STATE (New Orleans Bowl)...UAB only 2-4 vs. spread away from Legion Field TY and 0-3 as dog after 9-4 mark getting points in 2017-18. App 9-4 vs. spread TY, 22-10-1 vs. line since late 2017. Mounties also 5-1 vs. line away TY.	Slight to App State, based on team trends.

Monday, December 23

Matchup	Skinny	Edge
at	MARSHALL vs. UCF (Gasparilla Bowl)...UCF dropped 7 of last 9 vs. line TY and 4 of last 5 away from Orlando. Though Knights 7-8-1 vs. spread previous two seasons (counting a W for Cincy game in 2017). Herd only 9-16 vs. line past two seasons but Doc Holliday is 10-3 as dog since 2017 (2-1 TY)and MU has won and covered its last seven bowls (Doc 6-0).	Marshall, based on team trends.

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