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College Football

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears Predictions, Odds, Picks

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
4 minute read
Nov. 13, 2021
Eytan Shander
VI Betting Expert
VegasInsider.com

All the Sooners have done is beat every team in front of them, and still, they find themselves on the outside of the current playoff structure. Baylor comes in looking to be the one team that effectively ends the Sooners’ season. Waco, TX the site as Baylor hosts Oklahoma at 12:00 p.m. ET on FOX.<.p>

Score Prediction

Oklahoma 30, Baylor 25

Best Bet

Under

Baylor +5.5

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears Predictions

Oklahoma may be the most disrespected team in the country as they are barely top-10 despite being undefeated this year. It’s come from not covering bigger numbers to looking lackluster in games but still pulling out victories. It’s become a theme with the Sooners where they find themselves victims of unforced errors or a bad drive, everyone on social media panics, and then Oklahoma finds a way.

Expect the same thing here as Baylor will move away from the run before they can truly use it as a weapon, it’s how OU survives in games. Don’t blame the offense, they’ve been scoring points at a ridiculous clip. Oklahoma’s main – and only – fault this year is they play down to the competition, only to have a miraculous-level performance in the second half. It’s why they win the game but don’t cover, and why they remain one of the best live-betting options in the country.

Baylor has turned this season into something special despite having the two losses on their schedule. They have a two-back combo they hit teams with on the ground and do an even better job of stopping the run on defense. Oklahoma is just better – but not by that much. We saw the Sooners need a monster second half to come back against Kansas, so there’s going to be a window.

It’s one thing we know for sure, having the history that OU does this year means the opponent will chances. It’s also important to note the game is in Waco, which makes it significantly easier for Baylor to stay in this game. Don’t expect a shootout, which helps Baylor keep it close, ultimately losing on the final drive.

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Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears Betting Odds

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Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears Betting Resources

  • Matchup: Big 12
  • Date: Saturday, November 13, 2021
  • Venue: McLane Stadium
  • Location: Waco, Texas
  • TV-Time: FOX - 12:00 p.m. ET

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Oklahoma Sooners Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 9-0
  • ATS: 4-5
  • O/U: 6-3
  • ATS - Home: 3-3
  • ATS - Away: 1-2

Oklahoma comes in with the 22nd overall offense in the country – 31 st in passing yards. Caleb Williams took over for an injured Spencer Rattler and has looked sharp. Williams threw 14 TDs to 1 INT in just 7 games. Kennedy Brooks dominates on the ground with 802 yards and 9 rushing scores.

Eric Gray compliments Brooks with 303 yards, and Williams is at 288 yards rushing with 4 TDs. Marvin Mims leads the team in receiving with 605 yards and 4 TDs. Jadon Haselwood has the team lead for receiving TDs at 6. Oklahoma’s defense is ranked 124th in the country, 48th overall in stopping the run.

Baylor Bears Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 7-2
  • ATS: 6-3
  • O/U: 6-3
  • ATS - Home: 5-0
  • ATS - Away: 1-3

Gerry Bohanon has thrown just for under 2000 yards and 15 TDs to 5 INTs. The offense comes from the ground, where Abram Smith and Trestan Ebner have combined for nearly the same number of yards on the ground as Bohanon has thrown. Smith is over 1000 yards and has 11 TDs, while Ebner is at 601 rushing yards and a single TD. Bohanon has accounted for 7 rushing TDs.

Tyquon Thornton and RJ Sneed are the two leading receivers on the team. Thornton is at 722 yards and 7 receiving TDs, while Sneed adds 500 yards and 2 scores. Baylor’s offense is ranked 36th in the country – 25th on the ground. Their defense a little different of a story, as they sit at 115th in the nation.


Oklahoma has covered the spread in four of its last six road games. (AP)

Inside the Stats - Oklahoma Sooners

  • Record: 9-0
  • VI Ranking: 2
  • Points Scored: 386
  • Points Allowed: 216
  • PS/G: 42.9 (5th)
  • PA/G: 24.2 (59th)

Inside the Stats - Baylor Bears

  • Record: 7-2
  • VI Ranking: 16
  • Points Scored: 327
  • Points Allowed: 185
  • PS/G: 36.3 (18th)
  • PA/G: 20.6 (27th)

Key Players to Watch

  • OU: Caleb Williams - QB (78/109, 1,189 yards, 14 TD, INT)
  • OU: Jadon Haselwood - WR (33 catches, 316 yards, 6 TD)
  • BAY: Gerry Bohanon - QB (145/223, 1,972 yards, 15 TD, 5 INT)
  • BAY: Abram Smith - RB (144 carries, 1,055 yards, 11 TD)

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears Betting Conclusion

Baylor is a good team, they do a lot right, including run the football. How fast will Baylor abort what got them here and try to beat the Sooners in a shootout? The sooner they move away from it, the faster Oklahoma puts this one away.

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears Betting Trends

  • Baylor has covered the spread in six of its last nine games.
  • Baylor has gone OVER the point total in six of its last nine games.
  • Baylor has covered the spread in five straight home games.
  • Oklahoma has covered the spread in four of its last six road games.

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