Last Updated Dec 14, 2022, 9:43 AM
Army Black Knights vs. Navy Midshipmen Picks, Predictions, Odds
Sports Betting Expert
Plenty of pomp and pageantry will be on display this Saturday when the Army Black Knights and Navy Midshipmen meet in the annual Army-Navy Game. This is the 14th straight year that this rivalry game has closed out the college football regular season, and it has become a beloved tradition.
Neither team will be playing in a bowl game, so this game has a little extra importance when they meet on Saturday, December 10, 2022, at 3:00 p.m. ET on CBS from Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Army Black Knights vs. Navy Midshipmen Betting Prediction
Points will be at a premium when Army plays Navy this Saturday. Neither one of these offenses is that prolific as both teams run the triple option, and there is a lot of familiarity. There haven't been more than 50 points scored in this game since 2005, and none of the last eight meetings between these teams has had more than 40 total points.
That led to the total in this game opening at 33.5, and it is currently sitting at 32.5 points and is the second-lowest total this season. This is a bit of an overreaction, and at this point, there is actually value on the Over. As for the side, a former Soldier can never bring himself to bet on Navy. GO ARMY! BEAT NAVY!
Score Prediction: Army 20, Navy 17
Best Bet: Over 32.5
Army Black Knights vs. Navy Midshipmen Betting Resources
- Date: Saturday, December 10, 2022
- Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
- Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- Time-TV: 3:00 p.m. ET, CBS
- Expert Picks
Army vs. Navy Best Bets
Army Black Knights Betting Analysis
Although Army is 5-6, the Black Knights were ineligible for a bowl game because two of their wins came against FCS opponents. They have taken a step back this season with their only wins coming against Louisiana-Monroe, UConn, and UMass, but they are still short favorites against their rival.
Tyhier Tyler will see most of the work under center for Army in this game, but we could see Jemel Jones and Cade Ballard take snaps too. Tyler leads the team with 601 rushing yards and 12 rushing touchdowns, and he is averaging 5.0 YPC running the triple option. The senior from Newport News has run for at least 100 yards in two of his last three games, and five of his eight completions on the year have been for 35 yards or more.
As a team, the Black Knights are averaging 4.9 YPC and 267.2 YPG on the ground. That ranks second nationally behind Air Force who have been in a class of their own this season. Tyson Riley and Jakobi Buchanan have seen the most carries aside from Tyler, but Riley didn't play last week, so that's something to watch.
Army ranks 51st in Defensive SP+. However, it's been surprisingly easy to run on the Black Knights this season. They are allowing 5.1 YPC and 196.0 YPG on the ground, and that puts them outside the top 100 nationally in both categories. Linebacker Leo Lowin leads the team with 84 tackles and has recorded three sacks, two interceptions, and a forced fumble. Andre Carter II was seen as a potential first-round pick at the start of the season due to his mix of size and strength, but he has not posted the numbers many were expecting.
Navy Midshipmen Betting Analysis
The Midshipmen had a rather curious season. Navy went 4-4 in AAC play and picked up impressive road wins over teams like UCF and East Carolina. However, they also lost to FCS Delaware in their season opener, and that defeat cost them a chance at bowl game.
There is no real mystery when it comes to the Navy offense. Tai Lavatai has been the starting quarterback nearly all season, and he leads the Midshipmen into this game. Lavatai is a decent passer that is averaging 8.6 YPG, but he isn't much of a mobile threat and is averaging just 2.7 YPC. Fulback Daba Fofana leads Navy with 749 rushing yards, and Maquell Haywood has been the most explosive rusher at 6.5 YPC.
Navy has a pretty good run defense, conceding just 3.4 YPC and 93.1 YPG on the ground. The Midshipmen have been torched through the air though, allowing 9.2 YPA (129th in the country), and they have a terrible fourth down defense and red zone defense. Linebacker John Marshall is the star of this unit with 88 tackles, 10.5 sacks, and seven passes defensed.