2025 Open Championship Odds: Favorite Scheffler Wins Another Major

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Red-Hot Scott

UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: After a scorching 7-under 64 Friday, Scottie Scheffler shot a rock-solid 4-under 67 on Moving Day. And he indeed moved, from one shot ahead to a four-stroke lead over relative unknown Haotong Li.

So The SuperBook's Open Championship futures odds moved a lot, as well. Prior to Round 3, Scheffler was a -160 favorite to lift the Claret jug. Now, he's -600 chalk to claim his fourth major and first British Open.

Scheffler is at 14-under 199 after his bogey-free third round.

Li is having the tourney of his life, sitting second at 10-under 203. But he's +2500 to win the tourney, the co-third choice with Matt Fitzpatrick, who's five shots back at 204.

The second choice is actually Rory McIlroy, despite being six shots behind at 205. Still, McIlroy – who fired a 66 today – is at a comparatively distant +2000 in Open Championship odds.

"Of course, Scheffler is expected to win at this point. But in this environment, a double bogey can bring the next group of golfers into play," Sherman said. "I would expect McIlroy to make a charge if anybody. In this position he has a nothing-to-lose mentality, after his Masters win."

Tyrrell Hatton, Harris English and Chris Gotterup – who won the Scottish Open last weekend – are tied for fourth with McIlroy. But those three are much longer shots to rally Sunday, with Hatton +4500, Gotterup +7000 and English +8000.

Also at +8000 in British Open odds: Defending champion Xander Schauffele, who is seven shots back at 206. Beyond Schauffele, no other player is shorter than +25000 (250/1).

"Our best outcomes are Li, Scheffler, then Gotterup," Sherman said. "We don't have any liabilities near the top. But the smaller win amounts would be Fitzpatrick, Hatton and McIlroy."

Great Scottie

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Scottie Scheffler shot a more-than-respectable 3-under 68 in Thursday's first round, putting him one shot off the lead. Friday, he posted a blistering 7-under 64, the low round of the tourney so far, for a 10-under 132 total and a one-shot lead.

Pre-tourney, Scheffler was the +600 favorite in The SuperBook's Open Championship futures odds. After Round 1, he moved into +250. Following today's heroics, Scheffler is -160 chalk to hoist the claret jug.

"Scottie is actually a solid position for us. Most of the support we saw on Scheffler didn't include some of the larger tickets we took on the tournament," SuperBook vice president of risk Jeff Sherman said.

But Scheffler has some challengers, to be sure. Matt Fitzpatrick followed his opening 67 with a 66 for a 9-under 133 total. One shot back, Fitzpatrick is the +500 second choice in British Open odds.

Brian Harman, who won the 2023 Open Championship, shot 69-65 for an 8-under 134 total, tied for third with the surprising Haotong Li (67-67). Harman is the +1400 third choice.

From there, the odds drop off to +2500 for Li, Tyrrell Hatton and Rory McIlroy. Hatton is tied for fourth at 137, and McIlroy is tied for 12th at 139.

Prior to Round 1, Li was available at a massive 500/1.

Winners and ... More Winners

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: With most of the stars not shining so brightly this week, The SuperBook is in a good spot to almost everyone at the top of the 2025 Open Championship odds board.

"Fitzpatrick would equate to a small win, Harman would also be a marginal win," Sherman said of good results for the book. "Li would be one of our better outcomes. Hatton would be a small win, similar to Fitzpatrick.

"Rory would be a small win, and Robert MacIntyre would be a decent win. We don't have any liabilities until we get down to Justin Rose at 200/1."

Rose was in the mix after 2-under 69 Thursday, but he lost ground in shooting even-par 71 today. MacIntyre is part of a five-way tie for fifth at 137 and is the +3000 seventh choice.

Fitzpatrick took fourth in last week's Scottish Open and has maintained that form. Sherman likes the Englishman's chances.

"With the momentum that Fitzpatrick came into this tournament with, I think he can keep pushing forward and give Scottie a real test in this environment. He was one of my pre-tournament selections at 61/1," Sherman said.

Bryson DeChambeau struggled to a 7-over 78 in Round 1, but rebounded huge with a 6-under 65 today. DeChambeau made the cut right on the number, at 1-over 143.

"DeChambeau making the cut helped out, as he would have paid +330 on a missed cut," Sherman said.

Crowded at the Top

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: It's not Scottie Scheffler at the top of the leaderboard. Nor is it Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm or any other high-profile player.

Rather, the best-known players among five who shot 4-under 67 today are Matt Fitzparick and Harris English. Fitzpatrick at least has a major to his name, winning the 2022 U.S. Open.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout also shot 67, as did relative unknowns Jacob Skov Olesen and Haotong Li.

Fitzpatrick is now the +1000 third choice in The SuperBook's Open Championship odds, while English is the +1800 sixth choice. Fitzpatrick closed at +3500 pre-Round 1, while English closed +9000.

None of the other leaders are shorter than +3000.

"We would be a small winner to Fitzpatrick, a decent winner with English and a solid winner with Bezuidenhout, who closed 250/1," SuperBook vice president of risk Jeff Sherman said. "We had zero tickets on Haotong Li and Jacob Skov Olesen."

Bezuidenhout is now the +3000 co-ninth choice with Shane Lowry, who shot 1-under 70. Li was +50000 (500/1) before Round 1 and is now +5000, while Oleson was +100000 (1000/1) and is now +10000.

Playing Favorites

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Scheffler shot 3-under 68 to remain the favorite in Open Championship futures odds. In fact, he shortened from his pre-tourney +600 to +250. Rory McIlroy shot 1-under 70 and remained the second choice, now at +800.

"Scheffler finished fifth in tickets and third in money wagered pre-tournament. We did not have any standout wagers on him in this major, so he is a strong result for us at this point," Sherman said.

But there are a few concerns behind the counter.

"Liabilities near the top include Jon Rahm, Lowry, Justin Rose and Lee Westwood. All others in that range are good for the book, as of now," Sherman said.

Rahm is the +1100 fourth choice and Rose is +2000. Westwood is a big surprise, two shots off the pace after a 2-under 69. But he's still a distant +15000 (150/1) in 2025 British Open odds, after closing +40000 (400/1) pre-tourney.

Meanwhile, Bryson DeChambeau imploded in the first round, shooting 7-over 78 to stand tied for 144th in the 156-player field.

"DeChambeau closed 25/1 after seeing minimal support leading up to the tournament. We finally saw some action when we reached 25/1, but very little prior," Sherman said. "Sharp bettors played DeChambeau to miss the cut +330, so they are in a good spot at this point."

DeChambeau is now a massive +100000 (1000/1) to win the tournament.

Final Pre-Tourney Update

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The tournament starts in about two hours, when the first threesome tees off at Royal Portrush. At BetMGM, Scottie Scheffler is the +550 favorite.

That's shorter than Scheffler's +600 opening odds months ago, but he was at +450 on July 8, so he's slid out a bit.

Scheffler leads in both tickets and money in BetMGM's digital wagering (mobile/online). However, he's not a liability.

"Surprisingly, World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is currently a positive result for us, with his short odds, despite the public action," BetMGM senior trader Matt Wall said.

Also not surprising, bettors are backing players more familiar with surroundings this weekend, including the weather.

"BetMGM customers have [mostly] sided with the European players so far, with Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg and Tommy Fleetwood all gaining solid action," Wall said, while adding that Bryson DeChambeau joins Scheffler as a popular wager among American golfers.

McIlroy is the +750 second choice, Rahm follows at +1200, then it's DeChambeau and defending champion Xander Schauffele at +2200. Aberg and Fleetwood are both +2500.

Slowing Down On Scheffler

UPDATE NOON ET TUESDAY: Back in December, when The SuperBook first posted 2025 British Open odds, Scottie Scheffler opened at +550. He got as low as a tidy +350 in June, but he's now out to +600, two days before play begins.

"There are a lot less larger wagers on Scheffler for this tournament, understandably. He has not dominated recently, and this tournament has more variables that come into play than the other majors," SuperBook vice president of risk Jeff Sherman said.

Indeed, while still playing well, Scheffler hasn't been the unstoppable force he was in May/early June. In a four-tournament stretch, he won the Byron Nelson, the PGA Championship, took fourth in the Charles Schwab Challenge, then won the Memorial.

Since then, he's got three straight top-10s – a tie for seventh in the U.S. Open, tie for sixth in the Travels and tie for eighth in the Scottish Open – but no victories.

The Story on Rory

UPDATE NOON ET TUESDAY: Rory McIlroy, who won the Masters in March to end an 11-year majors drought, is the +750 second choice in Open Championship futures odds, after opening +1000. McIlroy has some momentum, too, after taking second in last weekend's Scottish Open.

"Prior to the Scottish Open, bettors had shied away from Rory for the Open Championship," Sherman said. "Many feel that he is satisfied with his Masters win and not playing with the same fervor as prior to that."

McIlroy finished in a disappointing tie for 47th in the PGA Championship and tied for 19th in the U.S. Open. And although this year's British Open is at Royal Portrush, in McIlroy's home country of Northern Ireland, that might not help much.

"They have played Royal Portrush only once with this generation of golfers, in 2019. Rory missed the cut after lofty expectations were too much to overcome," Sherman said. "If he can get past that, he definitely can be in the mix.  He is second in ticket count, so he is garnering interest now."

More Popular Plays

UPDATE NOON ET TUESDAY: At the moment, The SuperBook's top three players in ticket count are:

• Collin Morikawa
• McIlroy
• Ludvig Aberg

The top three in money are:

• Jon Rahm
• McIlroy
• Aberg

Rahm is the +1100 third choice in The SuperBook's Open Championship odds. Then there's a sizable odds drop-off to Xander Schauffele, Bryson DeChambeau and Tommy Fleetwood, all at +2000.

Then comes a trio at +2500: Aberg, Viktor Hovland and Tyrrell Hatton. Shane Lowry is the +3000 co-10th choice, along with Robert MacIntyre, followed by Morikawa at +3500.

"Aberg, Morikawa and Fleetwood are getting most of the attention in that 20/1 to 30/1 range," Sherman said. "Our liabilities consist of Rahm, Aberg, Morikawa, Tom Kim, Sahith Theegala, Cameron Young and Justin Rose at this point."

Among those last four players Sherman noted, Rose has the shortest odds, at +6000. Cameron Young is +9000, Kim is +12500 (125/1), and Theegala is a distant +30000 long shot (300/1).

"Bettors have been on Justin Rose over 60/1, Maverick McNealy over 100/1 and Cameron Young over 80/1," Sherman said.

Some sharp bettors are steering away from 2025 Open Championship futures odds, for the moment.

"Sharp play has been mostly on tournament matchups, in support of McIlroy against both Scheffler and Rahm, and with Schauffele against DeChambeau," Sherman said.