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Horse Racing

At the Gate – Wednesday

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
4 minute read
Where has the summer gone? We enter the last week of the Saratoga meeting, just six racing days remain with the Labor Day card the final day of the meeting.

We have a good week on tap with 10 stakes including the $750,000 Woodward (G1) on Saturday, the $350,000 Spinaway (G1) on Sunday and Monday’s closing day feature is the $350,000 Hopeful (G1).

Wednesday’s feature is a tough one. A field of eight juveniles line up in the $150,000 With Anticipation (G3). The lone runner in the field with stakes experience is Tuggle, who was third in the Saratoga Special (G2) in his last start on the main track.

The Jeremiah Englehart trainee is the 5-2 morning line favorite despite not having a start on turf.





There is an 80% chance of rain this afternoon, but the worst of it is forecast to come later in the day so I am hoping we stick on the turf this afternoon.

In the jockey race with a week to go the Ortiz brothers are battling for the title. Jose Ortiz leads all jockeys with 49 winners, winning at a 21% clip. His brother Irad is second in the standings with 43% winners, hitting at a 20% rate.

Chad Brown is well on his way to another trainer title. The barn has won 34 races with Pletcher a distant second with 17 winners. Brown won the title last summer with 46 winners and in 2017 with 40, edging Pletcher by one.

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Here is the second race (the opening race is a jump race) from Saratoga to get the day off to a good start:

SAR Race 2 OClm $25,000SAL (1:22 ET)
#1 Jump for Joy 7-5
#4 Mo Flash 2-1
#5 La Weekend 3-1
#6 Madame Barbarian 8-1

Analysis: Jump for Joy pressed the early pace and weakened to finish fifth last out against $40,000 starter allowance foes. Two back the mare beat Pa bred allowance foes at Philly in a gate to wire score. She owns solid early and mid pace numbers and catches a field here she should be able to handle. She also will not mind of the rains come early, she has landed in the exacta in 5 of 8 trips on wet tracks.

Mo Flash tracked the early pace and weakened to finish a well beaten fourth last out against $25,000 starter allowance company here. Four back this filly beat Alw-1 foes at the Big A over a wet track. She has landed in the money in five of six starts on off going. The Barker trainee catches a bit easier here.

Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 8-5 or better.
EX: 1,4 / 1,4,5
TRI: no play


Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Saratoga:

SAR Race 9 The With Anticipation G3 (5:06 ET)
#2 Our Country 7-2
#8 Field Pass 9-2
#5 Eagerly 7-2
#1 Tuggle 5-2

Analysis: Our Country stalked the early pace and came with a good late rally to graduate in his second career outing for the Weaver barn that is having a tough meeting, wining with just two of his 29 starters. The colt was fourth in his debut two back at 12-1 behind Field Pass over good ground, a race that [produced two other next out graduates. The colt was a $70,000 purchase, by Constitution out of an unraced Tiznow mare that has dropped one other foal to race, stakes winner Bye Bye Hong Kong ($97,776). This guy should get an honest pace to run at and he is already proven at the distance.

Field Pass graduated last out in his second start and was ahead of our top pick in the race The colt got a great trip tracking the early pace while saving ground and took over, holding on to win by ¾ of a length and earned the top last out speed fig. The colt was a game second two back in his debut going 5 ½ furlongs on the turf at Churchill Downs. The winner Axiomo came back to beat Alw-2L foes at Indiana Grand in his next outing on July 24. The colt is bred for turf, by Lemon Drop Kid out of a Runway Groom mare that has dropped one other foal to race, a turf winner.

Eagerly was outrun early after getting bumped coming out of the gate in his debut and came with a good late run to finish a close up third, beaten ¾ of a length for the top spot. This guy is bred to be a good one, by American Pharoah out of the turf stakes winner Excited ($244,796) who has dropped two other foals to race, both turf winners, top earner stakes winner Thrilled ($333,153). Pletcher has won this race six times including last year with Opry.

Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 2,8 / 1,2,5,8
TRI: 2,8 / 1,2,5,8 / 1,2,3,5,8

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Saratoga
R1: #4 Zanzi Win 8-1
R1: #2 Go Get to Basil 8-1
R2: #6 Madame Barbarian 8-1
R3: #8 Out of Trouble 8-1
R6: #5 Macho Boy 8-1
R7: #6 Selflessly 8-1
R7: #9 Tulanian 15-1
R10: #4 Mz Seb Pat 8-1
R10: #2 Abby Normal 10-1

Good luck today!

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