Create FREE Account

Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:50 PM

Thursday's Picks from Saratoga

Entries came out for Saturday’s big day at Saratoga, with a 12-race card on tap including three Grade 1 races.

It is a big day but the feature has a small field. Just five will go in the $1 million Whitney (G1), which is a “Win and You’re In” race for the Breeders;’ Cup Classic (G1).


While the quantity is not there, the quality is as it is a solid group including the filly Swiss Skydiver, who will take on the boys. She beat the boys last year winning the Preakness Stakes (G1).

She will get quite a test as she faces Maxfield, a winner of seven of his eight career starts and Knicks Go, last year’s Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (G1) winner who won the Pegasus World Cup (G1) in January.

The co-features are the $1 million Saratoga Derby Invitational (G1) and the $500,000 Test (G1).

The feature on Thursday at the Spa is the $120,000 Birdsome, a 1 3/4-mile marathon on the main track that drew a field of seven.

Lone Rock is the even money favorite on the morning line. The Robertino Diodoro trainee has won his last three starts by a combined 21 ¾ lengths. He won the Brooklyn (G2) last out by11 ¼ lengths.

Moretti (5-2) is the logical threat but Shooger Ray Too, who ships in from Philly for the JT Servis barn may be worth a look if he goes off near his 15-1 morning line. Joel Rosario gets the call and this gelding might be able to handle the added distance.

“Saratoga Live” is on FS2 (and streaming on YouTube) from 1:00 to 6:30 ET this afternoon. Looking to play the ponies? TVG is offering new players  up to a $300 Risk Free wager.  In addition, AmWager is offering up to a $500 bonus for new horseplayers.

To purchase my Saratoga Report for Thursday click here .

Here is the opener from Saratoga to get the day off to a good start:

SARATOGA 1 ANALYSIS (1:05 P.M. ET)

 Race 1 Md Sp Wt

  • #6 Mostly Harmless 10-1
  • #1 Mystic Eyes 7-5
  • #5 Cost a Fortune 10-1
  • #2 I'm So Sorry 3-1

Analysis: Mostly Harmless is a $30,000 Ocala purchase by Violence out of the stakes winner Burban ($289,087) who was a nice sprinter who ran second in the '13 Humana Distaff (G1). She has dropped one foal to race, dirt winner Botero (5 for 18, $76,050). Solid works on the morning tab at Monmouth Park for the Begg barn that is showing a 0 for 1 mark with first timers. The trainer is a former assistant to Mark Casse who started his first on his own last December. He attracts Rosario and is going to be a decent price in this spot.

Mystic Eyes debuts for the Pletcher barn that won with four debut runners here last year and so far this year is 1 for 6. The filly was a $40,000 Keeneland purchase, by Maclean's Music out of the stakes winner Cloudburst ($71,800) who has dropped four winners including one turf winner. She has worked sharply in the mornings and had a trip over the turf on July 31 over the training track. She figures to be ready to go at first asking and Johnny V is up and has not ridden much for the barn at this meeting, just six mounts with no wins.

SARATOGA 7 ANALYSIS (4:29 P.M. ET)

Race 7 Alw $50,000s

  • #5 Mr. Kringle 6-1
  • #9 Life On Top 7-2
  • #10 Public Information 8-1
  • #7 Landbiscuit 5-2

Analysis: Mr. Kringle broke alertly, was taken back to track the early pace, then got caught in behind foes in the stretch, put on hold with no running room, found a seam toward the inside and finished up well for the runner up spot while the winner got a clear run to the outside. He showed an improved effort with blinkers added despite the poor trip, a cleaner trip here makes him a major threat for the Terranova barn looking to get off the duck at the meet. This guy ran well at this level here last year with a second and a third. The 6-1 morning line looks more than fair in this spot.

Life On Top had a tough spot last out, broke toward the back of the field, raced a bit awkwardly heading down the backstretch, had to wait for some running room briefly and finished evenly in a fifth-place finish last out as the beaten chalk. He was the beaten fav two back as well where he came with a good late run to finish in the runner up spot behind repeat winner Chocolate Br who came back to beat Alw-1 company in his next outing on Feb. 20 at Gulfstream Park.

LIVE LONGSHOTS

These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their Pick 4 and Pick 5 wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win wager. 

Saratoga

  • R1: #6 Mostly Harmless 10-1
  • R1: #5 Cost a Fortune 10-1
  • R2: #5 Lass 12-1
  • R2: #7 Fastelle 12-1
  • R4: #7 Chulainn 8-1
  • R5: #2 Operative 12-1
  • R5: #5 Chase Tracker 8-1
  • R6: #9 Eridromos 10-1
  • R6: #4 Open Til Midnight 8-1
  • R7: #10 Public Information 8-1
  • R8: #7 Joey Loose Lips 15-1
  • R9: #5 Shooper Ray Too 15-1
  • R9: #2 He’s No Lemon 20-1

Good luck today!

Daily Newsletter - Sign Up Today!

Sign up to get daily betting columns and advice delivered directly to your inbox.
by submitting your data, you agree to VegasInsider.com Privacy Policy
We may be compensated by the company links provided on this page. Read more

Horses News