Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Tampa Bay Rays (35-25) will take on the New York Yankees (44-16) Tuesday for game-one of a three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 PM ET at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York and can be viewed on TBS.  

Score Prediction

Yankees 5, Rays 3

Best Bets 

• Yankees -1.5 (+104) at BetRivers

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Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Betting Predictions

The Tampa Bay Rays enter this matchup third in the AL East standings, nine games behind the Yankees for first place. Tampa Bay most recently went 1-2 SU in a three-game series against the Minnesota Twins and have won six of their last 10 games. The Rays offense ranks in the bottom half of the league in terms of production and are averaging 4.25 runs per game. The bullpen has been solid on the season with a team ERA of 3.26. Right-handed pitcher Corey Kluber is scheduled to start Tuesday. Kluber is 3-2 in 11 games this season with an ERA of 3.88 and has given up 55 hits, 24 earned runs, and struck out 51 batters in 55.2 innings.  

New York is currently first in the AL East standings with an eight and a half game lead over the second place Toronto Blue Jays. The Yankees swept the Cubs in their most recent series and have won nine of their last 10 games. New York’s offense has been a nightmare for opposing pitchers, averaging 5.11 runs per game. The bullpen ranks amongst the best in the league this season and have a team ERA of 2.85. The right-hander Gerrit Cole is expected to take the mound on Tuesday. Cole is 5-1 in 12 games this season with an ERA of 3.63 and has given up 55 hits, 27 earned runs, and struck out 84 batters in 67.0 innings of work.  

The Yankees and Rays have played each other four times this season, each team winning twice. I like New York to win game-one of this series. The pitching in this matchup should be even, but the Yankees get a huge advantage on the offensive side. Expect a solid first five innings, but for the Yankees to take over towards the end of the game. Backing New York to cover the runline here as there is not much juice in the moneyline.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Betting Odds

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Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Betting Resources

• Date: Tuesday, June 14, 2022
• Matchup: AL East
• Stadium: Yankee Stadium
• Location: Bronx, New York
• TV-Time: TBS - 7:05 p.m.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Analysis

Through 60 games this season the Tampa Bay Rays are 35-25 SU, 29-31 ATS, and have an O/U record of 27-31-2. The total has gone under in four of Tampa Bay’s last six road games. Following this trend, the total has gone under in 12 of their last 16 against an AL East opponent. The Rays are 13-5 SU in their last 18 games when playing on the road against New York and 14-12 SU on the road this season.  

The Rays offensive production has been good, but not great this season. As a team Tampa Bay has a batting average of .233 (24th), on base percentage of .297 (26th), slugging percentage of .377 (23rd), and have scored 255 runs (20th). The first baseman Ji-Man Choi is hitting the ball well with a batting average of .284 (38-134), five home runs, and 31 RBIs. Right fielder Randy Arozarena is also having a nice season with a batting average of .268 (60-224), seven home runs, and 31 RBIs.  

Tampa Bay’s bullpen is a big part of why this ball club has been winning games this season. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .226 (5th), have a WHIP of 1.14 (5th), and have an ERA of 3.26 (4th). Right-handed pitcher Corey Kluber is scheduled to start Tuesday. Kluber is 3-2 in 11 games this season with an ERA of 3.88 and has given up 55 hits, 24 earned runs, and struck out 51 batters in 55.2 innings. In his one outing against the Yankees this season, Kluber struck out five batters in 6.0 innings while giving up three hits and one run.  

New York Yankees Betting Analysis

After sweeping the Cubs in their most recent series, New York is now 44-16 SU, 32-28 ATS, and have an O/U record of 26-32-2. The total has gone under in four of the Yankees last five games against Tampa Bay. Following this trend, the total has gone under in four of their last five against an opponent from the AL East. The Yankees are 10-0 SU in their last 10 home games and 26-7 SU at home this season.  

The Yankees have been getting excellent offensive production this season. As a team New York has a batting average of .250 (9th), on base percentage of .328 (3rd), slugging percentage of .441 (1st), and have scored 307 runs (3rd). Right fielder Aaron Judge has been a monster this season with a batting average of .318 (71-223), 24 home runs, and 48 RBIs. Designated hitter Giancarlo Stanton has been bringing is runs as well with a batting average of .276 (48-174), 13 home runs, and 40 RBIs  

New York’s bullpen is arguably the best in the league this season. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .215 (1st), have a WHIP of 1.06 (1st), and have an ERA of 2.85 (1st). The right-hander Gerrit Cole is expected to take the mound on Tuesday. Cole is 5-1 in 12 games this season with an ERA of 3.63 and has given up 55 hits, 27 earned runs, and struck out 84 batters in 67.0 innings of work. In his one outing against Tampa Bay this season, Cole struck out 10 batters in 6.0 innings while giving up two hits and one run. 

Key Players to Watch

• TMB: Manny Machado - SS (Last Game: 2-4, R)
• TMB: Eric Hosmer - 1B (Last Game: 0-2, RBI)
• NYY: Aaron Judge - OF (Last Game: 3-6, 2 R)
• NYY: Giancarlo Stanton - DH (2-4, 2B, 3 R, 3 RBI, 2 BB)

Probable Pitchers

• TMB: Corey Kluber - RHP (3-2, 3.88 ERA, 51 K, 1.15 WHIP)
• NYY: Gerrit Cole - RHP (5-1, 3.63 ERA, 84 K, 1.07 WHIP)

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Betting Conclusion

I like the Yankees to cover the runline in this matchup. The pitching should be evenly matched, but I expect New York’s lineup to get the best of the Rays eventually in this one. Backing New York to cover the runline as there is not much value in the moneyline.