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Game 4 – Nuggets vs. Suns Picks, Predictions, Odds

Michael Crosson
Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert
4 minute read

First Round | Second Round
Eastern Conference | Western Conference
NBA Championship Betting Trends

The NBA Western Conference Semifinals resume on Sunday night with a pivotal Game 4 showdown between the Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns. Coverage begins from the Footprint Center in Phoenix at 8:00 p.m. ET on TNT.

The Nuggets are 1-6 SU in their last seven road games. (Getty)

DENVER NUGGETS vs. PHOENIX SUNS BETTING PREDICTION

The Suns appeared to be in a heap of trouble early in this series, as they already trailed Denver 0-2 following ugly road losses in Games 1 and 2, and on top of that, Chris Paul suffered a groin injury in the second matchup, sidelining him for the foreseeable future. 

However, No Paul = No Problem in Game 3, as the Suns went to halftime of Friday’s contest leading Denver by a score of 67-52, and after a little bit of a scare in the third quarter, Phoenix managed to pull away with a 121-114 victory to cut the Nuggets’ series lead to 2-1.

In the first two matchups of this series, the Suns appeared to be thoroughly outmatched. So, it might’ve been a bit jarring to see the Nuggets shoot just 44% from the field and 33% from long-range in Game 3; but for bettors that have been following this Denver’ squad all year, their struggles on the road in Game 3 certainly didn’t come as a surprise.

At home, the Nuggets stand toe-to-toe with all the top teams in basketball, as they rank 2nd in offensive rating and 6th in defensive rating on their homefloor (120 ORtg, 110 DRtg), which fortunately, is the version of this Denver’ team that showed up for Games 1 of 2 in this series (119 ORtg, 104 DRtg). 

However, on the other side of that same coin, Denver is a completely different squad on the road, highlighted by the Nuggets ranking 14th in offensive rating and 21st in defensive rating in matchups away from their home arena (114 ORtg, 117 DRtg); and to no surprise, that’s the version of this team that showed up on the road in Game 3 (113 ORtg, 120 DRtg). 

Several question marks surrounded Suns entering this series, however, in the eight regular season contests that Kevin Durant played with them, plus their five-game set against the Clippers in the previous round, Phoenix posted a near perfect 12-1 record to go alongside an offensive rating of 122, which would pace the entire league if they managed to maintain a similar level of efficiency; and don’t forget, they also rank Top 10 in defensive rating as well.

Fortunately, though, such a high level of production isn’t necessary to beat the Nuggets in Phoenix. The Nuggets posted a head-scratching record of 19-23 on the road during the regular season, and they’ve posted a record of 1-2 in their three road playoff matchups thus far.

It’s a totally different story on Denver’s homecourt, but given the Nuggets’ track record, the Suns should continue to find success in their home building throughout this series.

DENVER NUGGETS vs. PHOENIX SUNS BETTING ODDS

Score Prediction: Suns 116, Nuggets 108
Best Bet: Suns -3 (-110)

Take PHX!
BET NOW!

DEN @ PHO Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Denver Nuggets 539 Nuggets
+4 -110 +0.5 -118 +0.5 -115 +0.5 -115 +0.5 -115 N/A N/A +1 -110  
Phoenix Suns 540 Suns
-4 -110 -0.5 -104 -0.5 -105 -0.5 -105 -0.5 -105 N/A N/A -1 -110  
Final
Denver Nuggets 539 Nuggets
o226 -110 o115.5 -110 o115.5 -110 o115.5 -110 o115.5 -110 N/A N/A o226 -110  
Phoenix Suns 540 Suns
u226 -110 u115.5 -110 u115.5 -110 u115.5 -110 u115.5 -110 N/A N/A u226 -110  
Final
Denver Nuggets 539 Nuggets
+146 -110 -105 -105 -105 N/A N/A -105  
Phoenix Suns 540 Suns
-174 -110 -115 -115 -115 N/A N/A -116  
Final
Denver Nuggets 539 Nuggets
+4 -110 +0.5 -120 -0.5 even PK -115 -0.5 -105 N/A N/A +1 -110  
Phoenix Suns 540 Suns
-4 -110 -0.5 -102 +0.5 -120 PK -115 +0.5 -115 N/A N/A -1 -110  
Final
Denver Nuggets 539 Nuggets
o226 -110 o57.5 -118 o57.5 -115 o58 -115 o57.5 -115 N/A N/A o226 -110  
Phoenix Suns 540 Suns
u226 -110 u57.5 -108 u57.5 -105 u58 -115 u57.5 -105 N/A N/A u226 -110  
Final
Denver Nuggets 539 Nuggets
+146 -108 -115 -115 -115 N/A N/A -105  
Phoenix Suns 540 Suns
-174 -112 -110 -115 -105 N/A N/A -116  
Final
Denver Nuggets 539 Nuggets
+4 -110 +0.5 -122 N/A +1.5 -150 +0.5 -115 N/A N/A +1 -110  
Phoenix Suns 540 Suns
-4 -110 -0.5 even N/A -1.5 +120 -0.5 -105 N/A N/A -1 -110  
Final
Denver Nuggets 539 Nuggets
o226 -110 o57.5 -120 N/A o58.5 -105 o57.5 -110 N/A N/A o226 -110  
Phoenix Suns 540 Suns
u226 -110 u57.5 -106 N/A u58.5 -125 u57.5 -110 N/A N/A u226 -110  
Final
Denver Nuggets 539 Nuggets
+146 -110 N/A N/A even N/A N/A -105  
Phoenix Suns 540 Suns
-174 -110 N/A N/A -120 N/A N/A -116  
Final
Denver Nuggets 539 Nuggets
+4 -110 +0.5 -122 N/A -1.5 +120 +0.5 -105 N/A N/A +1 -110  
Phoenix Suns 540 Suns
-4 -110 -0.5 even N/A +1.5 -150 -0.5 -115 N/A N/A -1 -110  
Final
Denver Nuggets 539 Nuggets
o226 -110 o54.5 -125 N/A N/A o55.5 -105 N/A N/A o226 -110  
Phoenix Suns 540 Suns
u226 -110 u54.5 -102 N/A N/A u55.5 -115 N/A N/A u226 -110  
Final
Denver Nuggets 539 Nuggets
+146 -110 N/A N/A +105 N/A N/A -105  
Phoenix Suns 540 Suns
-174 -110 N/A N/A -125 N/A N/A -116  
Final
Denver Nuggets 539 Nuggets
+4 -110 +0.5 -120 N/A -1.5 +120 PK -110 N/A N/A +1 -110  
Phoenix Suns 540 Suns
-4 -110 -0.5 -102 N/A +1.5 -150 PK -110 N/A N/A -1 -110  
Final
Denver Nuggets 539 Nuggets
o226 -110 o54.5 -113 N/A N/A o54.5 -120 N/A N/A o226 -110  
Phoenix Suns 540 Suns
u226 -110 u54.5 -113 N/A N/A u54.5 even N/A N/A u226 -110  
Final
Denver Nuggets 539 Nuggets
+146 -108 N/A N/A -110 N/A N/A -105  
Phoenix Suns 540 Suns
-174 -112 N/A N/A -110 N/A N/A -116  

DENVER NUGGETS vs. PHOENIX SUNS BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Sunday, May 7, 2023
Venue: Footprint Center
Location: Phoenix, Arizona
TV-Time: TNT, 8:00 p.m. ET
Matchup
Expert Picks

NBA Finals Betting Odds

DENVER NUGGETS vs. PHOENIX SUNS BETTING STATS

Denver Nuggets
SU: 59-31
ATS: 50-40
O/U: 43-47
PPG: 115.8
OPPG: 112.5

Phoenix Suns
SU: 50-40
ATS: 46-43-1
O/U: 48-42
PPG: 113.6
OPPG: 111.6

Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS), Over-Under (O/U)
Points Per Game (PPG), Opponents Points Per Game (OPPG)

The Suns are 6-1 SU in their last seven home games against Denver. (Getty)

DENVER NUGGETS vs. PHOENIX SUNS BETTING TRENDS

  • The Nuggets are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of Denver's last seven games.
  • The Nuggets are 7-2 SU in their last nine games.
  • The Suns are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
  • The total has gone OVER in eight of Phoenix's last 11 games.
  • The Nuggets are 1-6 SU in their last seven road games.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of Phoenix's last six home games.
  • The Suns are 6-1 SU in their last seven home games against Denver.
  • The Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last five matchups against Phoenix.

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson
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