Sign In $
NBA

Game 4 Props – Best Bets

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
4 minute read
The 2018 NBA Finals continue Friday with Game 4 between the Warriors and Cavaliers from Quicken Loans Arena. If you’re hesitant to back the side or total for the fourth and possibly final installment in this series, then we suggest you take a closer look at the available player props.

Our trio of experts have produced winning nights in each of the first three games, which includes a 6-3 (+460) mark in Game 3 on Wednesday. 

Through three games of the finals, the overall numbers from the group sits at 17-10 (+1,180).

Game 1 Results
Game 2 Results
Game 3 Results

Chris David: 6-3 (+1,160)
Kevin Rogers: 5-4 (-50)
Tony Mejia: 5-4 (+70)

Based on a five-unit bankroll, their top props are listed for Game 4 below.

Odds & Props provided by [...]

Chris David

3 Units – Over Rodney Hood Total Points 8 (-120)

Hood finally received some significant minutes (25) in Game 3 of the NBA Finals and he delivered with 15 points on 7-of-11 shooting. Some folks will criticize Cavs coach Tyronn Lue for not going to him earlier but those so-called pundits only look at his offense and not his defense. When he’s played over 20 minutes in this year’s playoffs, he’s averaging close to double digits (9.6 PPG). However he’s also produced a minus-61 for his team in five games, which has led to a 1-4 record. When he was with Utah, he dropped 26 on Golden State earlier in the regular season. He’s got plenty of confidence and most of his points come at the rim, something the Warriors don’t mind surrendering. As long as he gets the time, this ‘over’ is more than doable.

2 Units – Over Stephen Curry Total Rebounds, Assists 12.5 (-115)

Rather than play the ‘bounce-back’ narrative with Curry and expect him to light up the Cavaliers with 30-something points on Friday, I’m going to back two other categories instead. He’s an underrated rebounder and also one of the best passers on this team. He’s averaging 6.0 RPG and 7.7 APG in this series and as I told Tony Mejia in his Game 4 Preview, recent playoff history has shown us that these possible sweep games are high-scoring affairs. With that being said, I expect points from the Warriors and Curry should be able to fill up these numbers.

Kevin Rogers

2 Units - Stephen Curry Total Made 3-Pointers Under 4.5 (Even)

Curry is coming off a horrific shooting effort in Game 3 by hitting 3-of-16 shots from the floor and 1-of-10 attempts from downtown. The only three-pointer Curry hit came in the fourth quarter as the two-time MVP has hit four treys or more on the road in the playoffs twice in seven games. Curry's three-point numbers are down from the regular season where he shot 42% from beyond the arc, compared to nearly 39% in the playoffs.

2 Units - Klay Thompson Total Made Free Throws Over 1.5 (-150)

Thompson is a career-high 85% free throw shooter, but hasn't gotten to the line very often in the Finals. The shooting guard is 4-of-5 through the first three games of this series, while not attempting a free throw in Game 3. The question isn't if he can hit two free throws, since he is nearly automatic at the line. The question is if he drive to the basket and get to the line. I'll take that bet that he can.

1 Units - Jeff Green Total Points Over 7.5 (Even)

Green has been non-existent offensively for Cleveland in the NBA Finals following a strong finish to the Eastern Conference Finals. The veteran guard has scored 16 points in three games, but has attempted 20 shots, including 11 from downtown, so he is getting looks.

Tony Mejia

2 Units - Under Draymond Green 28 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115)

The quarterback of the Warriors' defense has definitely had a positive impact on the series, getting in Tristan Thompson's head and serving as rim protector and playmaker, but his rebounding and scoring numbers are down. Considering he could again find himself in foul trouble and is prone to lulls now that the series is basically in hand, fading his energy level here becomes my top play.

1.5 Units - Under Kevin Durant 30.5 points (-115)

Following a career-high 43 points to help swing Game 3 to Golden State, Durant is now shooting 25-for-37 over the past two games. Expect running a second body in his direction to replace trapping Curry as the focal point defensively for Cleveland. His assists may go up but I don't see him wrapping up a likely Finals MVP with another huge outburst.

1.5 Units - Under LeBron James 57 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115)

He's pointed out that nagging injuries or a daunting series deficit won't keep him from putting his best foot forward in what may be his final game ever with the Cavs, but I don't see him producing as much as he has through the first three contests. He's already looked fatigued and may not be as locked in given the circumstances, though his desire to go down swinging does make this a dicey proposition since we're poking the bear here.


Nba News

VegasInsider Staff

VegasInsider Staff

More from VegasInsider Staff
•