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NBA

Mar 07, 2022

Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Predictions, Picks, Odds

Regular-season NBA action will resume on Monday night with a heavyweight Western Conference bout between the Utah Jazz and Dallas Mavericks. Coverage begins from American Airlines Center in Dallas at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Score Prediction

Jazz 112, Mavericks 108

Best Bets

Jazz +1.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Jazz vs. Mavericks Predictions

After earning the top spot in the West with a record of 52-20 SU last year, Utah kept that same momentum going with another triumphant to start the season, as the Jazz opened with a dominant 28-10 SU and 19-18-1 ATS run – with 20 of those SU victories coming by 10+ PTS.

Utah has been on quite the injury rollercoaster since New Year’s Day though, considering the Jazz went just 4-12 SU and 4-11-1 ATS across the month of January – and now boast records of 9-2 SU and 6-5 ATS across February and March.

On the other hand, Dallas stumbled out to a surprisingly slow start to the season, as the Mavericks kicked things off with a lackluster 16-18 SU and 13-21 ATS skid – with five of those SU losses coming matchups they were favored in.

Dallas admirably rode the coattail of its defense through the winter months though, considering the Mavericks boast records of 23-7 SU and 20-10 ATS across their last 30 games – while surrendering just 102.4 DPPG to their opponents across that timeframe.

I’ll back Utah here, as the Jazz are 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS in their last ten games, while scoring 115.3 OPPG and allowing just 107.1 DPPG across that window – likely serving as a difficult task for a Mavs’ squad that’s already 0-2 SU against Utah this year, and has allowed 113+ PTS in four of their last six contests (110.5 DPPG).

Jazz vs. Mavericks Betting Odds

More Odds | Futures Odds

Jazz vs. Mavericks Betting Resources

  • Matchup: Northwest vs. Southwest
  • Date: Monday, March 7, 2022
  • Venue: American Airlines Center
  • Location: Dallas, TX
  • TV-Time: NBA League Pass - 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Injury Report

Utah Jazz Betting Analysis

  • SU: 39-23
  • ATS: 27-33-2
  • O/U: 30-31-1

The Jazz have been one of the most consistent squads in the West across the last few regular seasons, which is no coincidence, as they continuously maintain a very well-balanced attack, highlighted by Utah pacing the league in offensive efficiency by a healthy margin (1.127 OE) – while also ranking top ten in defensive efficiency (1.067 DE).

Utah’s consistency quickly fades without the combined presence of Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert though, considering the Jazz’ top-ranked offensive attack has scored just 110.2 OPPG across their latest 11-13 SU skid – with nine of those SU losses coming in the absence of Mitchell or Gobert.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Analysis

  • SU: 39-25
  • ATS: 35-28-1
  • O/U: 23-40-1

After another frustrating first-round exit from last year’s playoffs, Dallas briefly kept that train of disappointment rolling with another slow start to this season, as the Mavericks opened with a lackluster 16-18 and 13-21 ATS stretch – with ten of those losses coming by seven points or more.

Dallas has recently found success by leaning on its defense though, considering the Mavericks enter Monday riding a sturdy 23-7 SU run – while surrendering 100 PTS or less in 15 of those contests (102.4 DPPG).

The Mavericks are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games. (AP)

Jazz vs. Mavericks Head-to-Head

The Jazz won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Dallas last year, with all three contests falling under their respective total at an average of 218.3 PPG. The Jazz are also 2-0 SU against Dallas this season, yet both matchups went over the number at an average of 229.5 PPG. 

Key Players to Watch

  • UTA: Donovan Mitchell - SG (25.9 PPG, 4 REB, 5.2 AST)
  • UTA: Rudy Gobert - C (15.8 PPG, 14.8 REB, 2.2 BLK)
  • DAL: Luka Doncic - PG (27.8 PPG, 9.2 REB, 8.8 AST)
  • DAL: Jalen Brunson - SG (16.2 PPG, 3.7 REB, 5.3 AST)

Jazz vs. Mavericks Betting Conclusion

After extending their win streak to four games with a victory over Sacramento on Saturday night (W, 114-113), the Mavericks enter Monday’s contest as short home favorites over the Jazz at American Airlines Center – marking the first time Utah has been an underdog since January.

I’ll back Utah here, as the Mavericks are 10-2 SU and 9-2-1 in their last 12 games, while scoring 110.7 OPPG and allowing just 103.4 DPPG during that span – but my vote of confidence still belongs to a Jazz squad that’s averaging 115.3 OPPG across their latest 8-2 SU stretch.

Jazz vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

  • The Jazz are 2-4 ATS in their last six matchups against Dallas.
  • The Mavericks are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of the last seven matchups between Utah and Dallas.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of the last six Mavericks' games.
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