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Last Updated Mar 13, 2022, 01:04 AM

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Golden State Warriors Predictions, Picks, Odds

Nationally televised NBA action will resume on Saturday night with a heavyweight non-conference bout between the Milwaukee Bucks and Golden State Warriors. Coverage begins from Chase Center at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC.

Score Prediction

Bucks 124, Warriors 116

Best Bets

Bucks -1.5 (-110) at Caesars

Bucks vs. Warriors Predictions

After finishing ninth in the West with a record of 39-33 SU last year, Golden State bounced back with a triumphant start to this season, as the Warriors opened with an impressive 18-3 SU and 15-5-1 ATS run – with 14 of those victories coming by 10+ PTS.

The last couple of months have been shaky without Draymond Green though, considering the Warriors enter Saturday riding a relatively pedestrian 27-19 SU and 17-26-3 ATS stretch – despite getting tagged as favorites in 35 of those contests.

On the other hand, Milwaukee stumbled out to a surprisingly slow start to the season, as the Bucks kicked things off with a lackluster 6-8 SU and ATS skid – with four of those SU losses coming in matchups they were favored in.

The Bucks have quietly dominated since their opening skid though, considering Milwaukee enters Saturday riding a sturdy 35-17 SU run, with 27 of those victories coming by eight points or more – despite sitting just 24-28 ATS across that same window.

I’ll back Milwaukee here, as the Warriors are 4-9 SU and ATS in their last 13 games, while scoring just 112.4 OPPG and allowing 114.2 DPPG during that timeframe – setting the stage for an incredibly difficult matchup against a Bucks squad that’s averaging 127.7 OPPG across their latest 6-0 SU run.

Bucks vs. Warriors Betting Odds

More Odds | Futures Odds

Bucks vs. Warriors Betting Resources

  • Matchup: Central vs. Pacific
  • Date: Saturday, March 12, 2022
  • Venue: Chase Center
  • Location: San Francisco, CA
  • TV-Time: ABC - 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Injury Report

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Analysis

  • SU: 42-25
  • ATS: 31-36
  • O/U: 34-33

After finishing with the best record in the East in two of the last three regular seasons, Milwaukee’s rough start was a bit of a head-scratcher, as the Bucks’ compiled a record of 162-65 SU across the previous three seasons – and then opened this season just 6-8 SU.

Milwaukee has played excellent basketball, when healthy, since mid-November though, considering the Bucks enter Saturday riding a sturdy 35-17 SU run – with a decent chunk of those losses coming in the absence of two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo (5). 

Golden State Warriors Betting Analysis

  • SU: 45-22
  • ATS: 33-30-4
  • O/U: 29-36-2

After last year’s lackluster 39-33 SU showing, the Warriors returned seeking vengeance to start the new season, as Golden State kicked things off with wins in 18 of their first 20 games – with their only two losses across that window coming by slim margins of four points or less.

The Warriors’ marginal success has primarily come through defense since mid-December though, considering Golden State enters Saturday riding a relatively mediocre 27-19 SU stretch, while tallying just 109.9 OPPG and allowing 106.8 DPPG across that window. But Golden State’s mantra has slightly altered since the return of Klay Thompson, highlighted by the Warriors averaging 115.4 OPPG across their last 20 games.

The Bucks are 13-7 ATS in their last 20 matchups against the Warriors. (AP)

Bucks vs. Warriors Head-to-Head

The Warriors and Bucks split a two-game regular-season set this year 1-1 SU, with both matchups soaring over the total at an average of 240 PPG. The most recent meeting between these teams took place back in January of this season though, which resulted in a relatively low-scoring victory for Milwaukee (118-99, U 224.5).

Key Players to Watch

  • MIL: Giannis Antetokounmpo - PF (29.7 PPG, 11.5 REB, 6 AST)
  • MIL: Khris Middleton - SG (20.3 PPG, 5.3 REB, 5.4 AST)
  • GSW: Steph Curry - PG (25.8 PPG, 5.3 REB, 6.4 AST)
  • GSW: Klay Thompson - SG (16.8 PPG, 3.9 REB, 2.9 AST)

Bucks vs. Warriors Betting Conclusion

After extending their winning streak to six games with a victory over Atlanta on Wednesday night (W, 124-115), the Bucks hit the road for Saturday’s contest as short favorites over the Warriors at Chase Center – marking the fourth time Golden State has been an underdog across their last six games.

I’ll back Milwaukee here, as the Bucks are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last six games, while tallying 127.7 OPPG and allowing just 114.8 DPPG across that window – likely presenting a steep uphill battle for a Warriors squad that’s surrendered 120+ PTS in four of their last six contests (117.5 DPPG).

Bucks vs. Warriors Betting Trends

  • The Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
  • The Warriors are 7-13 ATS in their last 20 matchups against Milwaukee.
  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of the last 14 Bucks' games.
  • The Warriors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games.
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