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Mar 21, 2022

NBA Prop Bets for Monday, March 21

Prop betting expert Stuart Durst gives his top prop bets to consider for NBA action on Tuesday, March 15. Check out his top plays for today's hardwood action below.

  • Lauri Markkanen (CLE) To Score 20+ Points +250 at FanDuel
  • Kevin Durant (BKN) Over 30.5 Points -105 at BetMGM
  • Jalen Green (HOU) To Score 25+ Points +650 at DraftKings

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Lauri Markkanen (CLE) To Score 20+ Points +250

Matchup: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (NBA League Pass, 7:00 p.m. ET)

We normally dont have a player implied for 16 points (O/U currently 15.5) at -110, have a line this generous for 20+ points. Markkanen has played very well with the absence of Jarrett Allen, averaging 17.5 points since he went down with a broken finger. The Lakers absolutely don't have the size to deal with the Cavaliers' size, and we just saw what Porzingis did to them scoring 23 points last game. Lauri scored 17 points vs LA earlier this year, in a game with a healthier team, and I’m expecting another good game. LA gives up the 9th most points to opposing PF’s, Johnson/Lebron/Gabriel are all to small. 

Kevin Durant (BKN) Over 30.5 Points -105

Matchup: Utah Jazz vs. Brooklyn Nets (NBA TV, 7:30 p.m. ET)

Since returning, Durant is averaging 30.4 points, 6.3 REB & 7.3 AST - helping the nets to be first in offensive rating & 6th in point differential over that span. The Nets are in desperate need of wins, and with a couple exposition Kyrie games + blowouts, feels like we are getting good value here. The Jazz are a strong defensive team, but really the only way to slow down a guy like Durant is with extreme double teams. With Utahs defensive setup, they are absolutely not used to having to double. With Rudy Gobert holding down the paint, I expect Durant to continue to thrive in the midrange once again. 

Jalen Green (HOU) To Score 25+ Points +650

Matchup: Washington Wizards vs. Houston Rockets (NBA League Pass, 8:00 p.m. ET)

Love that we are getting this price at +650 on DK vs +500 on Fanduel, already some good line value. Wizards have been one of the worst defenses in the NBA since the all-star break, and I expect that to continue against the Rockets. I'm expecting a high pace, low defense game script similar to their first matchup. Green is playing some of his best basketball of the season, averaging 19.9 points in the month of March. With his good recent form, and already having a 22 point performance against the Wizards, I’m expecting to see between 15-18 shot attempts, which hopefully should be enough to get him over this mark.

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