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NBA

Mar 27, 2022

Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Predictions, Picks, Odds

Sunday's NBA slate will conclude with a heavyweight Western Conference bout between the Utah Jazz and Dallas Mavericks. Coverage begins from American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Score Prediction

Jazz 109, Mavericks 104

Best Bets

Under 221 (-110) at FanDuel

Jazz vs. Mavericks Predictions

After earning the top spot in the West with a record of 52-20 SU last year, Utah initially kept that same train rolling with another dominant start the season, as the Jazz opened with an impressive 26-9 SU and 17-17-2 ATS run – with 20 of those SU victories coming by 10+ PTS.

The Jazz have been on quite the injury rollercoaster since mid-January though, considering Utah enters Sunday riding a bumpy 19-20 SU and 15-23-1 ATS skid – despite tallying 111.3 OPPG and allowing just 109.2 DPPG across that window.

On the other hand, Dallas stumbled out to a surprisingly poor start to this season, as the Mavericks kicked things off with a lackluster 16-18 SU and 13-21 ATS skid – with five of those SU losses coming matchups they were favored in.

Dallas has admirably ridden the coattail of its defense since that opening skid though, considering the Mavericks boast sturdy records of 29-11 SU and 25-15 ATS across their last 40 games – while allowing just 103.5 DPPG to their opponents during that timeframe.

I’ll take the under here, as the Mavericks are 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS in their last five games, while scoring just 105.6 OPPG and surrendering 107.3 DPPG during that span – setting the stage for a competitive low-scoring battle against a Jazz squad that’s averaging 109.9 OPPG across their latest 3-4 SU skid.

Jazz vs. Mavericks Betting Odds

More Odds | Futures Odds

Jazz vs. Mavericks Betting Resources

  • Matchup: Northwest vs. Southwest
  • Date: Sunday, March 27, 2022
  • Venue: American Airlines Center
  • Location: Dallas, TX
  • TV-Time: NBA League Pass - 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Injury Report

Utah Jazz Betting Analysis

  • SU: 45-29
  • ATS: 31-40-3
  • O/U: 33-39-2

The Jazz have been one of the most consistent squads in the West across the last few regular seasons, which is no fluke, as they continuously maintain a well-balanced attack, highlighted by Utah leading the league in offensive efficiency by a healthy margin (1.129 OE) – while also ranking 11th in defensive efficiency (1.070 DE).

However, Utah’s consistency quickly fades without the combined presence of Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert, considering the Jazz’ top-ranked offensive attack is averaging just 112.2 OPPG across their latest 19-20 SU stretch – with nearly half of those SU losses coming in the absence of Mitchell or Gobert (9).

Dallas Mavericks Betting Analysis

  • SU: 45-29
  • ATS: 40-33-1
  • O/U: 25-48-1

After another disappointing first-round exit from last year’s playoffs, Dallas briefly kept that same ball rolling with another slow start to this season, as the Mavericks opened with a lackluster 16-18 and 13-21 ATS stretch – with ten of those losses coming by seven points or more.

However, Dallas has recently found success by leaning on its defense, considering the Mavericks enter Sunday riding an impressive 29-11 SU run – despite averaging just 107.8 OPPG across that window.

The Jazz are 15-5 SU in their last 20 matchups against Dallas. (AP)

Jazz vs. Mavericks Head-to-Head

The Jazz won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Dallas last year, with all three contests staying under the total at an average of 218.3 PPG. Utah is also 2-1 SU against Dallas this season, with both Jazz’ victories going over the total at an average of 229.5 PPG – while the Mavs’ lone win stayed under with a score of 111-103 (U 217).

Key Players to Watch

  • UTA: Donovan Mitchell - SG (26.1 PPG, 4.2 REB, 5.4 AST)
  • UTA: Rudy Gobert - C (15.3 PPG, 14.6 REB, 2.1 BLK)
  • DAL: Luka Doncic - PG (27.7 PPG, 9 REB, 8.5 AST)
  • DAL: Jalen Brunson - PG (16.1 PPG, 3.7 REB, 4.9 AST)

Jazz vs. Mavericks Betting Conclusion

After extending their losing streak to three games with a loss in Charlotte on Friday night (L, 107-101), the Jazz hit the road again for Sunday’s contest as short underdogs against the Mavericks at American Airlines Center – marking the second time Utah has been an underdog in their last 24 games.

I’ll take the under here, as the Jazz are 3-4 SU and ATS in their last seven games, while tallying 109.9 OPPG and surrendering 108.3 DPPG during that timeframe – setting the stage for a hard-fought back-and-forth battle against a Mavs’ squad that’s averaging just 105.6 OPPG across their latest 4-4 ATS stretch.

Jazz vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five Jazz' games.
  • The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last five matchups against Utah.
  • The Jazz are 15-5 SU in their last 20 matchups against Dallas.
  • The Mavericks are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last ten Mavs' games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six matchups between Dallas and Utah.
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