NFL Playoff Predictions: NFL Divisional Round Predictions, Picks

NFL Playoff Predictions: NFL Divisional Round Predictions, Picks

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Here are my NFL Divisional Round predictions, featuring picks and predictions for every game in the divisional round of the NFL playoffs. game.

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Broncos vs. Bills Prediction

BUF @ DEN Odds

The Buffalo Bills won a close one against the Jaguars in the Wild Card Round, but the same concerns that I have had with the Bills exist. Their rush defense is not able to stop a nosebleed. In that game against the Jaguars, the Bills allowed Travis Etienne Jr. to rush for 67 yards on 10 carries (6.7 yards/carry) and Bhayshul Tuten to run for 51 yards on 4 carries (12.8 yards/carry).

The Broncos will have an advantage in the run game, which will open up the pass attack for Bo Nix. The bye proves fruitful for the Broncos and they come out on top.

Prediction: Denver Broncos Moneyline (-108)

49ers vs. Seahawks Prediction

SF @ SEA Odds

The Seahawks boast the best defense in football, allowing -.206 rush EPA/play. This is the best in the NFL by a wide margin. The 49ers are plagued with injuries offensively after George Kittle's early exit in the Wild Card Round. If the Seahawks can neutralize the 49ers' biggest offensive piece, Christian McCaffrey (like they did in Week 18), then this game can come up all Seahawks.

The Seahawks pass defense is also top-tier, ranking 5th in dropback EPA/play allowed. The 49ers will be struggling to gain any offensive momentum, and the Seahawks should dominate a divisional rival.

Prediction: Seattle Seahawks -7.5 (-105)

Texans vs. Patriots Prediction

HOU @ NE Odds

The Houston Texans defense can take control of a game at a moment's notice. We saw the havoc this defensive unit can create on display against the Steelers, where the defense scored 2 touchdowns. The chaos this unit can cause is unprecedented. Pair this with the Patriots' inflated statistics thanks to their weak strength of schedule metrics, and the pick for this matchup is easy.

The Texans beat the Steelers despite C.J. Stroud turning the ball over 3 times. This is not likely to be replicable. The Texans will learn from their mistakes, scheme up mistake-free football, and let their defense take control of this game.

Check out my full Texans vs. Patriots preview.

Prediction: Houston Texans +3 (-113) + ML (+130)

Rams vs. Bears Prediction

SF @ PHI Odds

The Rams are the unluckiest team remaining in the playoffs, according to Action Network's luck rankings. This is an indication that positive regression is due. On the flip side, the Bears rank as the 2nd luckiest team in the NFL. This is an indication that regression to the mean may also be due for the Bears.

The Bears rank 1st in turnover differential, 27th in total penalties, and 18th in red zone touchdown conversion rate. The Rams are more disciplined, more efficient, and more experienced. They dismantle the Bears in this matchup and punch their ticket to the NFC Championship game.

Check out my full Rams vs. Bears preview.

Prediction: Los Angeles Rams -3.5 (-110)