Opening Line Report – Week 8Editor's Note: Don't miss out on Winning Football Picks from Joe Williams for the 2018 NFL regular season. Click to win!
The jewel of the Week 8 schedule appears to be the NFC Divisional Round playoff rematch between the Minnesota Vikings and New Orleans Saints. The Saints were one of the teams benefiting from a fortitous situation involving a kicker. There were a ton of bad beats in Week 7, but then again there were also a bunch of people who were on the winning side, too. Hopefully you were one of the fortunate.
Four more teams are resting their bumps and bruises on their bye week, and we'll have a second London game at 9:30 am ET. The Jacksonville Jaguars and Philadelphia Eagles go across the pond in search of a much-needed win. Desperation might cause this one to be a pretty good battle.
(Consensus Odds as of Tuesday)
Thursday, Oct. 25
Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans (-7.5, 44.5)
It's already time for the Brock Osweiler revenge game? 'Brocktober' rolls on and he'll face his former team in Houston. OK, it's not exactly Joe Montana returning to face the 49ers as a member of the Chiefs in 1994, but anyway. This line opened anywhere from -7 to -7 1/2 depending on the shop. Southpoint and Treasure Island are among the books you can go if you really like the Texans and don't want to lay the hook, but act quickly.
Sunday, Oct. 28
Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 41.5) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jags are in their second 'home', playing overseas in London in the morning game. Both of these teams desperately need a win, as each of the Super Bowl contenders from the preseason arrive in England's capital city with a 3-4 record. Vegas likes the defending champs, as they opened as a field-gial fave at most shops, and Caesars/Harrah's has it up to -3 1/2. If you're feeling the Eagles and want a bargain, Mirage-MGM had it down to -2 1/2 as of early Monday evening from an open of -3.
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-8, 51)
These two sides met in Week 1 on the shores of Lake Erie, and they decided nothing in a 21-21 tie to open the season. Cleveland has posted a 3-0-1 ATS mark over the past four meetings in this series. The Browns have been involved in four overtime games, including Week 1 obviously, in their seven battles. Pittsburgh is coming off a bye, and the public is feeling the Steelers at home. The line opened at -7 1/2 at most shops and rose to -8 at Atlantis, Jerry's Nugget, Southpoint and Stratosphere.
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (-10, 55)
These teams met in a Monday nighter earlier this season, with Kansas City winning 27-23 on a -3 1/2-point line. They opened as 10-point favorites everywhere except for -9 at Westgate Superbook, while Mirage-MGM opened the Chiefs as high as -10 1/2.
New York Jets at Chicago Bears (-7, 46)
The Jets were routed at home by an NFC North team last week, while the Bears came up a yard short at home on a near miracle to at least tie their game against an AFC East foe and perhaps force overtime. TI opened htis game at -6, and most other shops opened it at -6.5, and the money has been on the home side, driving the Bears up to -7 at most books.
Washington Redskins (-1, 42) at New York Giants
The 'Skins squeaked by the Cowboys on a missed field goal off the upright, while the Giants scratched back for a backdoor, raw bad beat cover in the ATL on Monday night, losing 23-20. While the books give the slight edge to the first-place Redskins, the home team is 5-2 ATS in the past seven in this series. The 'under' is also 12-3 in the past 15 meetings in metro NYC.
Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions (-3, 49.5)
A pair of .500 clubs hook up in the Motor City, and the public is feeling the home side. Detroit opened at -2 1/2 at Coasts, Golden Nugget, Mirage-MGM, the Strat and Wynn, among others, but it's up to the Lions -3 nearly across the board. TI opened the game at -2 and you can still catch the home side at -2 1/2 if you hurry.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals (-4.5, 54)
The Buccaneers snuck by the Browns in OT, while the Bengals were emasculated in K.C. by the Chiefs. The Bengals opened at -6 on Monday afternoon, but the money has streamed in on the underdog, dropping the Bengals to -4 1/2 at Atlantis, Coasts, the Strat, Westgate and Wynn. There are still a few places you can catch the Bucs with five still, but no one appears to be buying the home side.
Baltimore Ravens (-2, 43) at Carolina Panthers
This is a curious line, as the Ravens fell at home on a missed extra point in the final minute of regulation, while the Panthers won a road game against the defending champs in miraculous comeback fashion. Baltimore opened as a Pick 'em at Westgate, and quickly rose to Ravens -1 1/2. Mirage-MGM, Stations and Wynn has the Ravens all the way up to -2. It's likely the public weighs in and drops this line back down, backing the home side, but we'll see. The sharps are likely a bounce-back for the boys from Charm City after a Week 7 gut punch.
Indianapolis Colts (-3, 50) at Oakland Raiders
The Colts blasted league punching bag Buffalo, while the Raiders are careening out of control and they just traded WR Amari Cooper to the Dallas Cowboys. Indy opened at -1 1/2 at most shops and were quickly bet up to -3 at nearly all shops. Jerry's Nugget and TI still had Indy at -2 1/2 as of early Tuesday morning, but you better act quickly if you like the road side.
San Francisco 49ers (at Arizona Cardinals (PK, 43)
These teams just met a few weeks ago in San Francisco, and it was rookie QB Josh Rosen and the Cards coming away with the a victory, 28-18. San Francisco has posted a 5-2 ATS mark in their past seven on the road, and they're 7-3 ATS in the past 10 inside the NFC West. They have also covered nine of their past 12 trips to Arizona. This game is listed as a pick 'em mostly across the board, although Coasts and Jerry's Nugget had the game with the Cards -1. Expect movement in this one.
Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Rams (-9, 57)
The Golden Nugget opened the Rams at -9 1/2, and the line dropped to -9 in the matter of three hours on Monday evening. Most every shop has this game with the home side laying the nine, except for TI, which had the line down to -8 1/2. The Packers are coming off their bye week, so they will enter the game well rested.
New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings (-1, 53)
It's a rematch of a playoff game last season which was won in miraculous fashion on the final play of the game. Case Keenum isn't walking through that door, though, although Kirk Cousins is likely an upgrade. The money has been on the Saints, as the line was driven down from -1 1/2 to a Pick 'em at Stations. Westgate opened the Vikings at -2 1/2, and it's down to -1 as of the overnight Tuesday. Early bettors just aren't feeling the home side in this one.
Monday, Oct. 29
New England Patriots (-13.5) at Buffalo Bills
The Patriots usually dominate the Bills, but Buffalo is a solid 2-0 ATS as a double-digit 'dog this season, including an outright win in Week 3 at Minnesota. The 'under' has connected in five in a row for Buffalo, too.
It hasn't matter in early betting, as the line pushed up from -13 1/2 to -14 at Atlantis, while going from -13 to -14 at the Strat. If you're feeling the Pats and do not want to lay the full two TDs, TI and Wynn still had it listed at -13 1/2 heading into the overnight on Tuesday. The total has held steady at 44 1/2 at most shops.
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