Sunday Blitz – Week 6

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

7 minute read

Editor's Note: Kevin Rogers has won his last five NFL selections and is currently on a 7-2 guarantee run. He is locked and loaded with a trio of Sunday afternoon games. Click to win!

GAMES TO WATCH

Seahawks at Browns (PK, 46) – 1:00 PM EST

Seattle (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) escaped past Los Angeles in Week 5 with a nail-biting 30-29 home victory to improve to 2-0 in NFC West play. Russell Wilson continues to put together a terrific season for Seattle by throwing four touchdown passes, but the Seahawks dropped to 0-3 ATS at home after failing to cash as 1 ½-point favorites. The Seahawks have been solid to back on the road this season by winning at Pittsburgh and Arizona, while scoring 28 and 27 points, respectively in those victories.

On the flip side, the Browns (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS) have been tough to figure out this season. Granted, the expectations have been elevated, but Cleveland has not put together two solid performances in a row this season the Browns lit up the Ravens for 40 points, but were held to three points in last Monday’s blowout loss at San Francisco. The Browns have yet to win a game at home in two tries in 2019, but Cleveland has not dropped consecutive contests since Week 8 and Week 9 of last season.

Cleveland is 0-2 this season against NFC foes, while Seattle has beaten each of its two opponents from the AFC. Dating back to 2017, the Seahawks have covered eight consecutive games off an ATS loss, while the Browns’ offense has rebounded off a defeat this season by scoring 23 and 40 points following a setback.

Best Bet: Browns 26, Seahawks 24

Eagles at Vikings (-3, 44) – 1:00 PM EST

Two seasons ago, Philadelphia (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) destroyed Minnesota (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) in the NFC championship game as short underdogs on its way to the franchise’s first ever Super Bowl victory. The Eagles won that title behind Nick Foles at quarterback, as Carson Wentz looks to bring Philadelphia back into the top of the NFC. Wentz has led the Eagles to wins the last two games following a 1-2 start in victories over the Packers and Jets, as Philadelphia has topped the 30-point mark in each contest. The Eagles covered in their only underdog opportunity in 2019 at Green Bay, while posting a 3-0 ATS mark in their last three chances when receiving points.

The Vikings have cruised to home victories over the Falcons and Raiders by double-digits each, while coming off their first road win of the season against the Giants. Minnesota’s two losses came within the NFC North against Green Bay and Chicago, as the Vikings were limited 22 points in those defeats. The Vikings’ defense has been solid this season by allowing 16 points or fewer in four of five games, resulting in a 4-1 mark to the UNDER.

Minnesota avenged the 2017 NFC Championship loss by edging Philadelphia last season, 23-21 as 3 ½-point underdogs. The Vikings jumped out to a 20-3 advantage before the Eagles crept within two points in the final minute. Both Wentz and Kirk Cousins each threw for over 300 yards in that game, but each team was limited to below 81 yards on the ground.

Best Bet: Eagles 20, Vikings 17

49ers at Rams (-3, 50 ½) – 4:05 PM EST

Only one team remains undefeated in the NFC and it’s the 49ers (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS), who are fresh off a 31-3 blowout over the Browns last Monday. San Francisco easily cashed as five-point favorites off the bye, highlighted by an 83-yard touchdown run by Matt Breida and two touchdown passes from Jimmy Garoppolo. The Niners own a solid 10-2 record since 2017 with Garoppolo starting at quarterback, as five of those wins have come away from Levi’s Stadium.

The Rams (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS) sit in third place of the NFC West behind the 49ers and Seahawks entering Sunday’s action following consecutive losses to Tampa Bay and Seattle. Los Angeles has yielded 85 points in the past two losses, including 30 points in a one-point defeat at Seattle in Week 5. Rams’ quarterback Jared Goff threw for 395 yards, but L.A. suffered consecutive losses for only the second time under head coach Sean McVay. Running back Todd Gurley scored twice against the Seahawks, but the former University of Georgia standout will miss Sunday’s contest with a quadricep contusion.

Los Angeles swept San Francisco last season, but the Niners also played without Garoppolo in each of those games following his ACL tear last September. The Rams have scored 39 or more points in three of the past four meetings with the Niners, but San Francisco’s defense will be up to the task as it has yielded 57 points in four games this season.

Best Bet: Rams 27, 49ers 20

SUPERCONTEST PICKS

Kevin Rogers (3-2 last week, 14-11 this season)

Buccaneers +2 ½
Texans +4 ½
Eagles +3
Rams -3
Titans +2

Chris David (3-2 last week, 11-14 this season)

Panthers -2 ½
Ravens -11
Jaguars -1 ½
Rams -3
Packers -4

SURVIVOR PICKS

Kevin Rogers (3-1)

Eliminated – Rams lost to Buccaneers in Week 4

Chris David (5-0, Used Seattle, New England, Dallas, L.A. Chargers, Philadelphia)

Ravens over Bengals

BEST TOTAL PLAY

OVER 40 ½ - Titans at Broncos

Both Tennessee and Denver have struggled to score points this season as the Titans have scored 17 points or less three times, while the Broncos have posted 20 points or fewer on four occasions. However, Tennessee is coming off a loss to Buffalo last week, as the Titans have posted 43 and 24 points in the role of a road underdog this season. The Broncos have been a bit hit or miss defensively as they have given up 16 and 13 in two games, but also allowed 24, 26, and 27 in three losses.

TRAP OF THE WEEK

New Orleans has rolled to a 3-0 record with Teddy Bridgewater as its starting quarterback, including back-to-back home wins over Dallas and Tampa Bay. The Saints travel to Jacksonville to face the Jaguars, who continue to ride rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew. Jacksonville has covered in three of four games with Minshew starting, including in its last home game against Houston in Week 3. This is the first time that Jacksonville is favored this season, as the Saints may be in a look-ahead spot with a visit to Chicago next week.

BIGGEST LINE MOVE

The Chiefs opened as six-point favorites against the Texans at the Westgate Superbook last Monday, but that number has dropped to four. Kansas City is dealing with injuries on offense as wide receiver Sammy Watkins is listed as doubtful, while Tyreek Hill is a game-time decision after missing the last four games with an injury to his sternum. The Texans are 2-0 ATS on the road this season, including an outright underdog victory over the Chargers in Week 3. Dating back to 2018, Houston has covered in four of the past five opportunities in the road ‘dog role.

BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW

Since beating the Colts in Week 6 at home last season, the Jets have lost 13 of their past 14 games, including an 0-4 start in 2019. New York has failed to cover in its past seven opportunities at Met Life Stadium, while last cashing as a home underdog in Week 16 of the 2017 season against the Chargers. The Jets get quarterback Sam Darnold back in the lineup on Sunday as they face the Cowboys as seven-point underdogs.

You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at rogers@vegasinsider.com

Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.

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