Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:52 PM
Week 9 Exotic Wagers, Parlay & Teaser Bets
Week 9 of the NFL season is here and as division races start to tighten up and contenders begin to take form, now is a better time than ever for bettors to exploit crucial betting angles now that we have almost half of a season’s worth of statistics and film from 2020 to help make picks.
After being just one snap away from cashing two out of three parlays in Week 8, I have chosen to give out my picks for two parlays and one teaser for Week 9, hoping to help NFL bettors cash winning tickets or inspire them to build parlays of their own.
My top selections for Week 9 can be found below.
NFL Week 9 Parlay Best Bets
MVP Road Special
- Seattle Seahawks -3 at Buffalo (-102)
- Baltimore Ravens -1.5 at Indianapolis (-114)
Payout: 2-Team Parlay +272 at FanDuel
The reigning MVP, Lamar Jackson, and the Baltimore Ravens will hit the road this Sunday to take on the Indianapolis Colts in what is set to be a defensive-packed AFC showdown (both teams allowing under 20 points per game).
Baltimore now sits at 5-2 on the season, after losing to Kansas City in Week 3 and Pittsburgh this past weekend. The Ravens, as a unit, played well enough to beat the Steelers last Sunday (L, 28-24), but the reigning MVP threw two pivotal interceptions and lost two fumbles in the contest.
Prior to last week’s matchup, Jackson had only turned the ball over three times this season and had gone three consecutive weeks without fumbling the football.
The Ravens kept themselves in the game against the Steelers by gashing the Pittsburgh defense for over 265 rushing yards, which prior to last week was allowing less than 70 rushing yards per game and ranked second in the NFL.
Lamar’s four turnovers, including an interception that was returned for a touchdown on his second pass attempt of the game, was barely enough to get the undefeated Steelers over the hump against the Ravens…
I think 38-year old Phillip Rivers is in for a long afternoon this Sunday against a Baltimore defense that has held four out of the seven teams it has faced this year under 20 points. The Ravens are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games and are 3-0 SU in away games so far this season.
The Colts’ sit at 5-2 SU on the season, but their path so far has been extremely weak with their schedule consisting of the Jaguars, Jets, Browns, Lions, and Bengals. I am not buying into Indianapolis yet.
Give me Baltimore -2.5 to go on the road and take it to the Colts.
On the other side of the coin, the current favorite to win this year’s MVP, Russell Wilson (-160 – FDSportsbook), will visit the Buffalo Bills on Sunday afternoon, who are 0-4 ATS in their last four and 2-2 SU with their wins coming in nail-biters against the Patriots and Jets.
After averaging 30.8 points per game in the club’s first four contests, the Bills have eclipsed 20 points just one time in their last four games.
Seattle’s secondary has been miserable statistically so far this season, ranking dead last in passing yards allowed per game (358.7) and 24th in points allowed per game (28.4). Some of that can be blamed on their All-Pro safety, Jamal Adams (returns this week), being sidelined with a groin injury since Week 3, but some of that can also be attributed to the Seahawks scoring a league-high 34.3 points per game this season, creating plenty of extra possessions for opposing teams.
Adams’ return to the lineup should provide an enormous boost for the Seahawks’ defense, and it always feels good riding with the current MVP favorite on the offensive side of the ball.
This contest should end up a little closer than the Baltimore game, but I think Seattle still gets the Bills by at least a field goal. Give me the Seahawks -3 here.
Money Line Parlay: Defending the Home Turf
- Washington Football Team (-138) vs. N.Y. Giants
- Arizona Cardinals (-225) vs. Miami
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-225) vs. New Orleans
Payout: 3-Team Parlay +277 at FanDuel
My final parlay of the week consists of three teams who were victorious in their most recent outings, and now I am backing them to come back home this week and defend their turf as home favorites against inferior opponents.
The Giants will square off with Washington for the second time this season on Sunday, and if you remember the last time these teams met up, Kyle Allen threw what appeared to be a game-tying touchdown to Cam Sims with 36 seconds on the clock, but “Riverboat” Ron Rivera decided to put it all on the line with the two-point conversion and they paid the price of a loss for the failed attempt.
This time around, the Giants are coming off a short week after losing to the Buccaneers on Monday Night Football, while Washington has not played since its blowout win over Dallas on October 25th.
We knew Washington would have a ferocious front-for this season when they drafted Ohio State product, Chase Young, but the Giants’ defense has been one of the pleasant surprises of the 2020 season, as the Giants D ranks 12th in opponents’ points per play (.376) and 15th in points allowed per game (24.9).
Unfortunately for this stout Giants’ defense though, Daniel Jones has turned the ball over 13 times through his first eight games this season, which is a recipe for losses and this defense not getting the credit it deserves.
I think this game goes down to the wire, but Washington is 2-1 inside the NFC East so far this season, and after seeing how close Washington was to knocking the G-men off back in their Week 6 matchup, it would be a massive disappointment for Rivera’s team if they end up getting swept by the Giants in the season series.
Give me the more rested team in a defensive battle. Washington -138.
The Cardinals and Dolphins will meet up on Sunday afternoon, and this game could sneakily be one of the most exciting matchups of the afternoon, as Kyler Murray will host rookie Tua Tagovailoa in his first NFL road-start.
Tua made his NFL debut against the Rams last week in a game the Dolphins reigned victorious (28-17), while the rookie completed 12 of 22 passes for 93 passing yards and one TD.
On the other side of things, Arizona’s offense is finally becoming the juggernaut we thought it would be, scoring 30+ points in three consecutive games, now averaging over 29 points per game on the year.
If Brian Flores decides to unleash Tua this week and can keep up with the Cardinals’ on offense, we could be in for an electrifying shootout on Sunday afternoon between two premier arm-talents, but I do not believe that will be the case.
Throwing for less than 100 yards and one TD will not be nearly enough to compete with the red-hot Cardinals on Sunday. Give me Arizona -225 here.
My last pick of the week comes from what is set to be a Sunday Night Football blockbuster between the Buccaneers and Saints, and while New Orleans stole the first matchup between these teams(34-23), I am going to have to roll with the Bucs this time around.
Back in Week 1 the Saints caught Tom Brady in his first start in a Bucs uniform, having no pre-season experience with his new team, in New Orleans’ Mercedes-Benz Superdome…
Now the Buccaneers appear to be hitting their stride on both sides of the ball, and are a reinvigorated team heading into this week’s primetime grudge match with the Saints.
New Orleans is banged up to say the least heading into this game, as Saints’ stars Alvin Kamara (foot), Drew Brees (shoulder), and Michael Thomas (hamstring/ankle) have all been reported as limited participants at practice this week.
This game feels like a perfect storm for Tampa Tom to prove a point to his new division rival on football’s biggest stage. Give me the Bucs -210 over the Saints to complete this parlay.
NFL Week 9 Teaser Bets
- Pittsburgh Steelers -7.5 (-13.5) at Dallas
- Kansas City Chiefs -4.5 (-10.5) vs. Carolina
- New England Patriots -1 (-7) at N.Y. Jets
Payout: 3-Team Six-Point Teaser +140 at FanDuel
The poor Dallas Cowboys have been ravaged by injury so far this season on both sides of the ball, and now they find themselves in a position where Garrett Gilbert and Cooper Rush are battling out in practice during the week to determine who will get the starting quarterback gig this Sunday against the undefeated Steelers.
Dallas’ defense ranks dead last in the league in most statistical categories, including points allowed per game (33.2), which does not typically pair well with an offense that has put up a combined 22 points in its last three contests (Philadelphia – 9, Washington – 3, Arizona – 10).
I do not care who is playing quarterback for the Cowboys this Sunday. Give me the Steelers -7.5 by at least two scores to kick off this 6-point teaser.
The Kansas City Chiefs are now 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games after the team’s blowout win over the Jets last week. Patrick Mahomes threw for five touchdowns in the contest and currently has the second highest odds to take home the MVP according to Fanduel Sportsbook (+350).
Aside from the Panther’s 34-point outbreak in the club’s Week 1 victory over the Raiders, Carolina’s offense has really struggled to put the ball in the endzone without RB Christian McCaffrey, scoring just 22 points per game on the season (25th in NFL), which has led to the team’s lackluster 3-5 record in Matt Rhule's first season as head coach.
There is a good chance McCaffrey is able to return to the Panthers’ offense this week against KC after logging his first padded practice since Week 2 on Wednesday, but even if CMC’s ankle was feeling back to 100%, the RB’s dynamic playmaking ability would most likely not be enough to keep up with the second-highest scoring offense in the league (KC – 31.4 ppg).
This game seems like relatively simple math to me. One team has eclipsed 30 points just one time this year and is near the bottom of the league in scoring, while the other averages over 30 points per game and is just a field goal per game shy of being the NFL leader in scoring.
I am rolling with the defending Super Bowl champs this Sunday, but 10+ points is always a tough number to lay in an NFL contest. Give me the Chiefs -4.5 just to prevent from a sneaky backdoor cover.
The final leg of this teaser comes from this week’s Monday Night Football matchup between the Patriots and the Jets, and I can most certainly say none of my money will be placed on the third best team from the state of New York.
New England has all but fallen apart since Cam Newton’s battle with COVID-19, as the Patriots dropped their fourth consecutive game last week against the Bills. Luckily for New England though, they get to square off against a team completely depleted of talent this week in the Jets, who are averaging a whopping 11.8 points per game on the year.
The Pats might not have the talent level their fans have become accustomed to over recent years, but they still have Bill Belichick and I expect him to out coach Adam Gase by a country mile in this game.
It probably won’t be pretty for New England, but realistically it should not take much more than two touchdowns to beat the Jets this week, and I trust any team coached by Belichick will have no problem doing that against a team constructed this poorly.
Give me New England -1 to snap its four-game losing streak against the worst team in the league.
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