Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:51 AM
Sunday's Divisional Playoff Parlay & Prop Best Bets
The second half of the NFL Divisional Round is set to take stage on Sunday with another duo of nationally televised matchups up on the board to cap off another great weekend of sports.
- Cleveland at Kansas City (3:05 p.m.)
- Tampa Bay at New Orleans (6:40 p.m.)
Once again, VI has you covered with more parlay and prop suggestions to help handicap all the action.
My selections for Sunday's action can be found below.
NFL Divisional Round Parlay Best Bets
Two-Team Money-Line Parlay
- Cleveland Browns +10 (-115)
- New Orleans Saints -3 (-115)
Payout: +250 at FanDuel
The Browns and Chiefs will meet up for the first matchup on Sunday afternoon, and Kansas City heads into this contest as a 10-point favorite – marking the largest point-spread on the NFL board this weekend.
While the Chiefs finished as the top seed in the AFC and the best record in the NFL (14-2), they tend to sleepwalk a little bit in games that they are expected to win handedly – Kansas City going 2-4 ATS this season in contests that they closed as a double-digit favorite.
Prior to this week, the only teams the Chiefs had been listed as double-digit favorites against were the Falcons, Broncos, Panthers, Jets, Raiders, and Patriots – all teams either .500 or worse.
Cleveland heads into this contest bearing all the momentum, coming off a triumphant road victory over a divisional rival in the Steelers on Wild Card Weekend (48-37).
Kansas City has not fared well as a double-digit favorite so far this year, and that conclusion comes from what we have seen from the Chiefs in matchups against teams far worse than the Browns.
I like Cleveland with the points to kick off this parlay.
The final matchup of this jam-packed divisional round is between the Buccaneers and the Saints – a matchup that we have seen twice already this season.
Quarterback Tom Brady made his Tampa Bay debut in the first meeting between these teams, and he really struggled – completing just 23 passes for 239 yards with two TD’s and two picks in an 11-point Saints’ victory (34-23).
The second time around was even more disastrous for the Bucs with Brady throwing for just 209 yards and three picks in a 38-3 blowout loss, completing the first ever 2-game regular season series sweep of TB12.
I expect most people to back Tampa Bay here with the mentality, “It is extremely difficult to beat a team three times in a single season.”
But I see the Saints as a team that appears to be very familiar with Brady’s game and has been ready for everything Tampa Bay has shown them so far this year.
Games like this Sunday are the ones where I expect Brady’s vulnerabilities to show through the most without Belichick in his corner.
I’ll back the Saints to beat the Bucs by at least a field goal to close out this parlay.
NFL Divisional Round Prop Best Bets
Odds & Props Available at FanDuel
Cleveland RB Nick Chubb – Over 70.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
While the Browns are expected to trail for the length of this contest and be forced to throw the ball an uncomfortable amount, I still believe Nick Chubb’s rushing yards line is stationed a bit too low. Considering he has posted less than 70 yards on the ground in just four games so far this season and only two of those ‘unders’ came during losses.
I think Sunday afternoon’s contest will actually be much tighter than most expect, largely due to the efficiency of Cleveland’s ground game.
Back Chubb to rush for at least 71 yards against a Kansas City defensive front ranking 21st in yards allowed per rush attempt (4.5) and 19th in rushing yards allowed per game (122.1).
Tampa Bay WR Antonio Brown – Anytime TD Scorer (+210)
It took Antonio Brown about five weeks to start blending into the Buccaneers’ offensive game plan, but he appears to be hitting his stride at Tampa Bay’s optimal timing – corralling four touchdowns in his last three regular season games and one last week in his NFC Playoff debut against the Football Team.
While I don’t necessarily expect the Bucs to win this game, I do expect Brady to perform at a much higher level than he did in his previous two outings against New Orleans, which should lead to more opportunities for AB to find the endzone.
A +210 payout for an anytime TD is an awfully tempting price tag for one of the league’s top premier wideout talents currently riding a 4-game scoring streak.
I’ll take AB to punch in another touchdown as my final prop of the week.