Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans Predictions, Odds, Picks

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

7 minute read

Oct. 24, 2021

Joe Williams
VI Betting Expert
VegasInsider.com

The Kansas City Chiefs (3-3) travel to meet the Tennessee Titans (4-2) at Nissan Stadium in Nashville for a Week 7 battle Sunday. Kick off is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and the game can be viewed on CBS.

Score Prediction

Titans 34, Chiefs 30

Best Bets

Titans +5.5

Over

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans Predictions

The Chiefs just haven’t been firing on all cylinders, and the defense is to blame. It’s just one week, but the defense allowed just 13 points last week at Washington in an 18-point win. Yes, it was QB Taylor Heinicke, and not one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL, but it’s a start.

Offense hasn’t been the issue for the Chiefs, going for 20 or more points in each of their six games, and 31 or more points in four of six outings, including last week in D.C. They head into this one as a 5.5-point favorite, and the Chiefs are 2-0 ATS in the past two when favored by five or more points.

The Titans are coming off a short week after a thrilling Monday night win in a marquee battle against the Buffalo Bills. RB Derrick Henry rolled up 143 yards and three touchdowns on the ground against Buffalo, and he has five straight games with 113 or more yards while running for 10 touchdowns. He is putting up MVP numbers through the first six weekends.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Odds

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Resources

• Matchup: AFC West vs. AFC South
• Date: Sunday, October 24, 2021
• Venue: Nissan Stadium
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee
• TV-Time: CBS - 1:00 p.m. ET

• Weather Report
• Injury Report
• Super Bowl 56 Betting

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 3-3
• ATS: 2-4
• O/U: 4-2
• ATS - Home: 0-3
• ATS - Away: 2-1

The Chiefs went 14-2 SU last season, and their second loss of the season came in Week 17 against the Los Angeles Chargers in a meaningless game when they rested starters. Kansas City is in rather uncharted territory lately, and that’s because they just cannot stop anybody.

Starting with the good things, Kansas City ranks second in the NFL with 433.5 total yards per game and 308.5 passing yards per outing. It’s also fifth in the NFL with 30.8 PPG, and they’re 10th in the league with 125.0 rushing yards per game. However, you can expect the latter to take a hit, as RB Clyde Edwards- Helaire is on the IR and out indefinitely.

Now for the bad. The Chiefs are giving up 410.5 total yards per game to rank 28th , and they’re also 28th in the NFL with 29.3 PPG allowed. And the Chiefs rank 27th in the league with 133.2 rushing yards per game allowed, which isn’t a terribly encouraging number with Henry on the other side of the field.

The Chiefs have hit the OVER in four of six games, including a 2-1 mark in three games on the road. Kansas City is also 2-1 SU/ATS in three games away from home.

Tennessee Titans Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 4-2
• ATS: 4-2
• O/U: 4-2
• ATS - Home: 2-1
• ATS - Away: 2-1

The Titans have been getting home run after home run from Henry, as he has three games with three rushing touchdowns this season. And surprisingly, he has gotten better as the games have gone on. He has just 102 yards and a 2.6 yards per carry average in the first quarter. In the second he has 188 yards with 6.1 yards per attempt and two scores. In the third, he has 201 rushing yards and 4.8 yards per attempt with three touchdowns. He saves his best for last, going for 260 yards, 6.2 yards per attempt and five visits to the end zone in the final stanza.

If you’re behind, or it’s a close game, you can usually expect Henry to be the closer and put up big numbers to rescue Tennessee.

Tennessee has posted a 4-1 ATS mark in five games overall, and the OVER is 26-9-1 in the past 36 games overall for the Titans. The OVER is also 8-1 in the past nine as an underdog, including Monday night against the Bills. Can lightning strike twice?

The Kansas City Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games when facing the AFC. (AP)

Inside the Stats - Kansas City Chiefs

• Record: 3-3
• Division Standing: 3rd - AFC West
• Points Scored: 185
• Points Allowed: 176
• PS/G: 30.8 (5th)
• PA/G: 29.3 (28th)

Inside the Stats - Tennessee Titans

• Record: 4-2
• Division Standing: 1st - AFC South
• Points Scored: 166
• Points Allowed: 161
• PS/G: 27.7 (8th)
• PA/G: 26.8 (24th)

Key Players to Watch

• KNC: Patrick Mahomes - QB (167/242, 1,887 yards, 18 TD, 8 INT)
• KNC: Tyreek Hill - WR (46 catches, 592 yards, 5 TD)
• TEN: Ryan Tannehill - QB (128/202, 1,467 yards, 6 TD, 4 INT)
• TEN: Derrick Henry - RB (162 carries, 783 yards, 10 TD)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Conclusion

It’s difficult to make the quick turnaround after a Monday night affair, especially going from one marquee to another with one less day of refractory time. But if anybody can do it, it’s the Titans. Henry is just in a world of his own right now, and no other running back in the NFL is close to his production.

WR Julio Jones didn’t practice with the Titans Wednesday due to a hamstring injury, an ailment which has plagued him all throughout his career. WR A.J. Brown also didn’t practice Wednesday, as he deals with a non-COVID illness. OT Taylor Lewan suffered a concussion last week and is also a question mark.

The Chiefs have had issues against teams who have keyed on doubling WR Tyreek Hill or TE Travis Kelce, taking one or both out of the game. Opposing defenses, at least the good ones, are daring Mahomes to pass and include the likes of WRs Mecole Hardman, Demarcus Robinson or somebody else to step up, but to date, nobody has answered the bell.

The Titans are a good opponent with a big run game, and the Chiefs have a shaky defense. That will be the battle, and the home side will win it, and win the game.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Trends

• Tennessee has won four of its last five games when facing Kansas City as the underdog.
• Tennessee has gone OVER the point total in eight of its last nine games when playing as the underdog.
• Kansas City has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games when facing the AFC.

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• Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
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