Denver Broncos vs. Dallas Cowboys Predictions, Odds, Picks

Nov. 7, 2021
Dan Dobish
VI Betting Expert

The Denver Broncos (4-4) travel to meet the Dallas Cowboys (6-1) at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas for a Week 9 AFC-NFC battle. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET and the game can be viewed on FOX.

Score Prediction

Cowboys 29, Broncos 18

Best Bets

Cowboys -10 (-110)

Under 49.5 (-110)

Denver Broncos vs. Dallas Cowboys Predictions

The biggest news story for this game focuses on the quarterback position for the Dallas Cowboys. QB Dak Prescott (calf) suffered a calf injury on the final play of the Week 6 win at New England. The team had a bye, and all was expected to be well after a two-week rest. However, after pre-game workouts last Sunday night, it was determined Prescott would rest and QB Cooper Rush would make his first NFL start.

Now, Rush did a great job, completing 24-of-40 passes for 325 yards, two touchdowns and just one interception in a 20-16 win in Minnesota. If he is capable of that on the road, against a solid pass rush, whether or not Dak is able to play Sunday is neither here nor there. Rush can easily lead this team to a victory, and he seems to have a very nice rapport with WR CeeDee Lamb, as well as WR Amari Cooper.

The Broncos also made headlines this past week, but not in a way which was pleasing to fans. Fan favorite LB Von Miller was shipped to the Los Angeles Rams for a pair of draft picks prior to Tuesday’s NFL trade deadline.

Denver Broncos vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Odds

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Denver Broncos vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Resources

  • Matchup: AFC West vs. NFC East
  • Date: Sunday, November 7, 2021
  • Venue: AT&T Stadium
  • Location: Arlington, Texas
  • TV-Time: FOX - 1:00 p.m. ET

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Denver Broncos Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 4-4
  • ATS: 4-4
  • O/U: 2-6
  • ATS - Home: 2-2
  • ATS - Away: 2-2

The Broncos scratched out a 17-10 victory over the Washington Football Team last Sunday at Empower Field at Mile High, covering a four-point number as the UNDER easily connected. That win snapped an 0-4 SU/ATS slid dating back to Sept. 26. On a positive note, Denver is now 2-0 SU/ATS in two games against NFC East teams this season, cashing the UNDER in each meeting.

It will be interesting to see how the defense makes it through its first game without Miller. While the offense has been rather moribund for a good chunk of the season, the losing ways of the Broncos lately hasn’t been the fault of the defense for the most part. Denver’s D did allow 34 points in a loss at home to the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 6, and 27 on the road in a loss at Pittsburgh in Week 5. But overall this defense has yielded just 325.8 total yards per game to rank sixth, 224.9 passing yards per game to rank 10th, 100.9 rushing yards to rank ninth and 17.1 PPG to rank second in the NFL.

The biggest question is whether the Broncos flagging offense can keep up. QB Teddy Bridgewater has been a caretaker, doing nothing flashy. The offense ranks in the bottom third of the league in most categories, including 19.6 PPG to rank 23rd in the league.

Dallas Cowboys Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 6-1
  • ATS: 7-0
  • O/U: 5-2
  • ATS - Home: 3-0
  • ATS - Away: 4-0

The Cowboys should be fine whether or not Dak is able to play. With a 6-1 SU record, and 3 ½-game lead in the NFC East, it might behoove the Cowboys to rest Prescott for one more week just to make sure he is 100 percent and doesn’t do something to aggravate the injury and force him to miss a lengthy amount of time.

Even if Dak sits, Rush proved he is a cerebral quarterback capable of leading this team, if needed. He didn’t just come in and play it safe, he was a huge reason why the team ended up pushing the Vikings aside in their own place.

Dallas has now only won six games in a row, the Cowboys are a perfect 7-0 ATS overall this season. In fact, the Cowboys are the only team in the NFL without a non-cover or push this season. The Cowboys have covered the spread in five straight at home, while going 4-0 ATS in the past four as a favorite. Not only are they 7-0 ATS this season, the Cowboys are 10-1 ATS in the past 11 games dating back to last season.

The Denver Broncos have lost nine of their last 10 games when facing a team with a winning record. (AP)

Inside the Stats - Denver Broncos

  • Record: 4-4
  • Division Standing: 0-1
  • Points Scored: 157
  • Points Allowed: 137
  • PS/G: 19.6
  • PA/G: 17.1

Inside the Stats - Dallas Cowboys

  • Record: 6-1
  • Division Standing: 2-0
  • Points Scored: 225
  • Points Allowed: 162
  • PS/G: 32.1
  • PA/G: 23.1

Key Players to Watch

  • DEN: Teddy Bridgewater - QB (181/257, 1,914 yards, 13 TD, 5 INT)
  • DEN: Melvin Gordon III - RB (88 attempts, 397 yards, 3 TD)
  • DAL: Dak Prescott - QB (158/216, 1,813 yards, 16 TD, 4 INT)
  • DAL: CeeDee Lamb - WR (39 catches, 609 yards, 4 TD)

Denver Broncos vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Conclusion

The Broncos will have trouble on the road against the first-place Cowboys, regardless of which quarterback is under center for the home team. Denver has cashed in just one of the past five tries against teams with a winning overall record. The Broncos have posted just 19.6 PPG this season, ranking 23rd in the NFL, and they just do not have the horses to hang with the high-octane Cowboys.

In addition, Denver’s sacks leader with 4.5, Miller, is now in Los Angeles wearing a new uniform. The Broncos could have some trouble putting pressure on the quarterback for Dallas. It’s going to be a lower-scoring game, and the UNDER is the best play on the board. Don’t expect Denver to get out of the teens. That type offensive production simply won’t do against a top NFC contender in their place.

Denver Broncos vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Trends

  • Denver has lost nine of its last 10 games when facing a team with a winning record.
  • Dallas has covered the spread in seven straight games.
  • Dallas has gone OVER the point total in six straight home games.
  • Denver has lost four of its last five games.
  • Denver has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last eight games.

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