Last Updated Sep 09, 2022, 11:25 PM
Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams Same Game Parlay Picks
Sports Betting Expert
Bills vs. Rams SGP Picks
- Bills ML
- Stefon Diggs (BUF) Over 64.5 Receiving Yards
- Allen Robinson II (LAR) Over 59.5 Receiving Yards
Week 1 of the NFL season will kick things off with a heavyweight non-conference clash between the Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams. Los Angeles played solid football all season, as the Rams claimed the NFC West crown with a sturdy 12-5 record, earning the fourth seed in the conference and eventually going on to the win the Super Bowl. However, Los Angeles wasn’t considered an NFC powerhouse for most of the season, as L. A.’s defense finished the year ranked ninth in scoring and 13th in total yardage (21.3 DPPG, 373 YPG); while offensively, they ranked sixth in scoring and seventh in total yardage (27 OPPG, 373 YPG).
On the other hand, Buffalo was considered a legitimate AFC contender for most of the year, as the Bills won the AFC East with a record of 11-6 last season; while defensively, leading the league in both scoring and total yardage (18.3 DPPG, 289 YPG), and offensively, finishing third in scoring and fifth in total yardage (29.8 OPPG, 389 YPG). Regardless of how you slice it, Buffalo and L. A. are two of the best teams in the league. But the Bills have pondered their heartbreaking playoff loss to Kansas City for an entire offseason now (L, 42-36 OT), and with early reports indicating Rams’ QB Matt Stafford is dealing with a lingering elbow issue, I naturally gravitate towards Buffalo in Thursday’s matchup.
It wasn’t quite up to par with his first campaign in Buffalo, but Stefon Diggs was still phenomenal for the Bills last year, as the 28-year-old wideout hauled in 103 receptions for 1,225 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns in his second season since departing Minnesota; finishing fourth in the AFC in receiving yards only behind Ja’Marr Chase, Mark Andrews, and Tyreek Hill. However, Diggs has seen a particularly heavy workload in both Week 1 matchups since joining the Bills, as he hauled in eight receptions for 86 receiving yards against the Jets in 2020, and he tallied nine receptions for 69 yards against the Steelers last season. His overall numbers weren’t quite as impressive, but Diggs still eclipsed 60+ receiving yards in 12-of-17 regular season matchups last year (72.1 YPG); and tied his season-high in receptions in Week 1. So, I’ll back Allen to lean on his favorite target again in Thursday’s matchup.
Allen Robinson had the worst campaign of his career in Chicago last year, as he caught just 38-of-66 targets for 410 receiving across 12 contests in rookie QB Justin Fields’ first season at the helm, who led Chicago’s offense to a whopping 18.3 PPG on 189 PYPG. However, Robinson posted back-to-back 1,100-yard campaigns prior to last season, resulting in averages of 71.7 YPG and 78.1 YPG with far worse QB’s under center than Stafford. Obviously, he’ll be competing for targets with reigning OPOY Cooper Kupp. But after his monstrous 1,947-yard, 145-reception, 16-touchdown campaign last year, I think we’ll see much heavier coverage surrounding Kupp this season, which should ultimately free things up for the Rams’ other talented playmakers such as Robinson.