Last Updated Oct 16, 2022, 4:43 PM
NFL Week 5 Rewind
Sports Betting Expert
The Week 5 schedule started off with a stinker, as the Indianapolis Colts-Denver Broncos game on Thursday Night Football might have gotten some rating...but that's because so many people fell asleep and left their TVs streaming Amazon Prime. That was a hard watch. Things got much better, especially starting with the London game between the New York Giants-Green Bay Packers, which was a nailbiter.
The Sunday Night Football game between the Cincinnati Bengals-Baltimore Ravens was anything but a stinker, too, as it went down to the bitter end, as it should between AFC North rivals. And we also had a terrible bad beat in the nation's capital, but most people are used to getting screwed by news coming out of D.C. by now.
The UNDER went 2-1 in primetime after the snoozer in Denver, and after the Sunday Night Football showdown in Charm City, and the high-scoring Monday Night Football game between the Las Vegas Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs. Overall, the UNDER is still cashing at a 47-32-1 (59.5%) clip. The UNDER is 11-5 (68.8%) through 15 primetime games so far through Week 5.
NFL WEEK 5 RESULTS
Straight Up (SU): 11-5
Against the Spread (ATS): 6-10
Straight Up (SU): 8-8
Against the Spread (ATS): 5-11
WAGER (Totals O/U)
NFL SEASON RESULTS
Straight Up (SU): 47-32-1
Against the Spread (ATS): 33-46-1
Straight Up (SU): 41-38-1
Against the Spread (ATS): 38-41-1
WAGER (Totals O/U)
BIGGEST UNDERDOGS TO CASH
Giants +9.5 (ML +335) 27 @ Packers 22 (in London)
Texans +7 (ML +260) 13 @ Jaguars 6
Cowboys +5 (ML +190) 22 @ Rams 10
Colts +3 (ML +150) 12 @ Broncos 9 (OT)
Jets +3 (ML +145) 40 vs. Dolphins 17
BIGGEST FAVORITES TO CASH
Bills (-14) 38 vs. Steelers 3
49ers (-6) 37 @ Panthers 15
Saints (-5.5) 39 vs. Seahawks 32
Patriots (-3) 29 vs. Lions 0
BIGGEST ROAD FAVORITES TO CASH
49ers (-6) 37 @ Panthers 15
Chargers (-1.5) 30 @ Browns 28
BIGGEST BAD BEAT OF THE WEEK
It was a seesaw affair in the nation's capital, or really just outside of D.C. in Landover, Maryland. Anyway. The Commanders (-105 ML) headed to the fourth quarter down 21-17, and OVER (43) bettors simply needed six points in the final 15 minutes to nudge this one OVER the line, literally.
The fourth quarter was scoreless, but the Commanders were driving. Deep. Washington got into the red zone, and Tennessee's defense looked powerless to stop it. QB Carson Wentz led the team on an 18-play, 87-yard drive which gobbled up 4:40. On third and goal with less than :13 left in regulation, Wentz fired to the left side looking for RB J.D. McKissic. LB David Long Jr. stepped in front of the pass at the 1, securing the win for the Titans.
If you were an OVER (43) bettor, you were left muttering bad words. If you were an UNDER bettor, it was a 'good beat'. Washington ML (-105) bettors were also left shaking their heads, while Tennessee ML (-115) bettors were rejoicing. And if you bet the Titans during the week, with Tennessee favored by as much as -2.5 at one point, you held on for the miracle cover.
FALCONS MOVE TO 5-0 ATS
The Atlanta Falcons traveled to meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 5, and it looked like it was going to be a blowout. QB Tom Brady and the Bucs led 21-0 heading to the fourth quarter, and Tampa bettors looked like they had it in the bag. Until they didn't.
The Falcons stormed back in the final 15 minutes, scoring a pair of touchdowns, and the ever-famous touchdown and two-point conversion, down 21-7, cutting the lead to 21-15. It wasn't quite a textbook bad beat, but you were on the right side of things most of the afternoon until the Falcons scored that second touchdown on a QB Marcus Mariota to WR Olamide Zaccheaus 19-yard scoring connection with 4:38 left in regulation.
With what was a backdoor cover, the Falcons remained the only perfect team against the number this season at 5-0 ATS, despite a subpar 2-3 SU record overall.
WINLESS NO MORE
TEXANS LAST TO WIN COLUMN
The Houston Texans traveled to meet the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 5, and it was the only winless team. Houston had won eight straight in the series, so it was a little curious why Jacksonville was favored by seven or more in this game. Of course, the Texans were winless, and the Jags looked like a legit contender, including a 38-10 road win at L.A. Chargers.
Well, the Texans now have a win. It won for the ninth straight time against the Jaguars dating back to Dec. 17, 2018, and it is 7-2 ATS during the span, too. The OVER had cashed in the past three meetings, too, but the OVER was nowhere near coming in, as Houston won a 13-6 defensive struggle at TIAA Field in Duuuval.
BUFFALO PAYING THEM BILLS
BILLS COVER HUGE NUMBER
The Buffalo Bills were laying two touchdowns at most shops against the Pittsburgh Steelers, and that made the Black and Gold the biggest underdog it has been since the AFL/NFL merger in 1970. Yeah, it's been a minute.
The books absolutely had it right, and the number wasn't big enough. The Bills fired out of the box with a 98-yard touchdown from QB Josh Allen to WR Gabriel Davis to open the scoring, and the Bills rolled to a 38-3 win. Steelers rookie QB Kenny Pickett was a mess, and Buffalo posted 552 total yards of offense, including 432 yards through the air.
The Steelers are now an un-Mike Tomlin-like 1-4 SU on the season, and in the midst of a four-game losing streak since opening with an upset road win in OT at Cincinnati back in Week 1.
BENGALS, COLTS STAY PERFECT
The Cincinnati Bengals and Indianapolis Colts remain the only teams in the NFL to cash the UNDER in each of their first five games this season, as the San Francisco 49ers saw their first OVER hit in Week 5 against the hapless Carolina Panthers.
Both of these teams played in primetime in Week 5, and the Colts didn't even see a touchdown scored in their game with Denver, winning 12-9 in OT in a game featuring seven total field goals. The Bengals lost 19-17 at the buzzer against the Ravens, and the UNDER (47.5) was never really threatened.