AFC & NFC Championship Betting Cheat Sheet, Trends and History
The road to Super Bowl 57 will continue on Sunday Jan. 29 with the NFC and AFC Championship games.
The top seeds in the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs will be hosting the San Francisco 49ers and Cincinnati Bengals in the conference title games respectively.
The Bengals are the lowest remaining seed and they will be playing their second consecutive game on the road after defeating Buffalo 27-10 in the Divisional Playoffs round at Orchard Park, New York.
We take a closer look at both the odds and matchups, plus we’ll analyze the recent history in the conference championship games.
NFL Championship Game Matchups
NFC Championship Game Odds to Win
1 Philadelphia (-145) vs. 2 San Francisco (+120)
AFC Championship Game Odds to Win
1 Kansas City (-115) vs. 3 Cincinnati (+100)
Super Bowl 57 Odds
Kansas City +250
Philadelphia +260
Cincinnati +260
San Francisco +310
Odds Subject to Change - per FanDuel Sportsbook
NFC Championship
1 Philadelphia Eagles vs. 2 San Francisco 49ers
- Betting Matchup & Trends
- Date: Sunday, Jan. 29, 2023
- Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
- Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- TV-Time: FOX, 3:00 p.m. ET
Philadelphia Eagles vs. San Francisco 49ers Odds
The Eagles were sent out -1.5 and the number has doubled since the opener and most sportsbooks were holding Philadelphia -2.5 to -3 according to our NFC Odds & Action Report.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Stats
San Francisco 49ers
Overall Record: 15-4 SU, 13-6 ATS, 10-9 O/U
Road Record: 5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS, 4-4 O/U
Philadelphia Eagles
Overall Record: 15-3 SU, 9-9 ATS, 10-8 O/U
Home Record: 8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS, 6-4 O/U
The 49ers started the season with a 1-3 road record but they entered the postseason with a four-game winning streak on the road. However, only one of the eight teams they played on the road made the playoffs and that was Seattle. San Francisco traveled to the Eastern Time Zone twice, beating Carolina 37-15 in Week 5 before dropping a 28-14 decision at Atlanta in Week 6.
Philadelphia had two losses at home this season, a 32-21 loss in Week 8 on Monday Night Football to Washington and a 20-10 setback to New Orleans in Week 17. Quarterback Jalen Hurts did not play in the loss to the Saints. The Eagles went 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS at home in games versus playoff opponents.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. San Francisco 49ers Head-to-Head
These two NFC heavyweights did not meet in 2022, as their most recent matchup came in Week 2 at Lincoln Financial Field in 2021. Jimmy Garoppolo led the 49ers to a 17-11 triumph as three-point road favorites in spite of neither team throwing for more than 200 yards. Jalen Hurts rushed for a touchdown in the fourth quarter with the Eagles trailing by 14, but the Philadelphia signal-caller completed 12 passes for 190 yards, which included a 91-yard connection to Quez Watkins.
Back in 2020 at Levi’s Stadium, Carson Wentz paced Philadelphia to a 25-20 Sunday night victory as 8 ½-point underdogs. The 49ers used the quarterback duo of Nick Mullens and C.J. Beathard that evening as the tandem threw for 301 yards, but the Eagles were aided by two touchdowns in an eight-second span in the fourth to take the lead for good.
Recent Meetings
2021 - San Francisco (-3) 17 at Philadelphia 11 (Under 49)
2020 - Philadelphia (+8.5) 25 at San Francisco 20 (Under 46)
Philadelphia Eagles vs. San Francisco 49ers Playoff Notes
These squads have met in the playoffs only once in history, as the 49ers blanked the Eagles, 14-0 at Candlestick Park in the 1996 Wild Card round.
Since 2017, the Eagles are 3-1 in postseason games at Lincoln Financial Field, which includes a resounding 38-7 blowout of the Vikings in the 2017 NFC Championship game.
Under Kyle Shanahan, the 49ers are 3-1 ATS in the playoffs, which includes a perfect 3-0 ATS mark in the 2021 postseason.
Last 5 Playoff Games
San Francisco: 4-1 SU, 5-0 ATS, 1-4 O/U
Philadelphia: 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS, 0-5 O/U
AFC Championship
1 Kansas City Chiefs vs. 3 Cincinnati Bengals
- Betting Matchup & Trends
- Date: Sunday, Jan. 29, 2023
- Venue: Arrowhead Stadium
- Location: Kansas City, Missouri
- TV-Time: CBS, 6:30 p.m. ET
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals Odds
Oddsmakers have seen a see-saw effect for this matchup with Kansas City opening as a three-point home favorite. According to our AFC Odds & Action Report, the Chiefs then flipped to underdogs and after some back-and-forth movement, Cincy is now a road favorite.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals Betting Stats
Cincinnati Bengals
Overall Record: 14-4 SU, 13-4-1 ATS, 7-10-1 O/U
Road Record: 7-3 SU, 8-2 ATS, 3-6-1 O/U
Kansas City Chiefs
Overall Record: 15-3 SU, 5-12-1 ATS, 8-10 O/U
Home Record: 8-1 SU, 3-6 ATS, 2-7 O/U
The Bengals have won and covered five straight road games. The team had one hiccup this season, a 32-13 blowout loss on Monday Night Football to intrastate rival Cleveland. The other two losses came by a combined five points to playoff teams in the Ravens (19-17) and Cowboys (20-17).
Arrowhead Stadium hasn’t seen many losses with Patrick Mahomes as quarterback of the Chiefs. He’s gone 31-7 overall for the Chiefs at home in his career, which includes an 8-2 mark in the postseason. Kansas City closed as a home underdog this season once and it dropped a 24-20 decision to the Buffalo Bills in Week 6. This was the only home game were KC has been a 'dog with Mahomes as QB. For what it's worth, KC is 4-2 both SU and ATS in its last six games as an underdog with or without Mahomes.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals Head-to-Head
The Bengals have had the Chiefs’ number since late last season with three consecutive wins in the last 13 months. Kansas City actually led in the second half in all three of those losses, but Cincinnati rallied each time for the win.
In Week 17 of the 2021 season, the Chiefs traveled to Cincinnati and jumped out to a 14-0 and 28-14 lead, but the Bengals stormed back for a 34-31 walk-off win. Joe Burrow torched the Chiefs for 446 yards and four touchdowns, including three scoring strikes to Ja’Marr Chase.
The Chiefs were ready to pick up revenge in the AFC Championship game as a touchdown favorite as they led the Bengals, 21-3 in the second quarter. However, Cincinnati roared back again to take a 24-21 advantage before Kansas City kicked the game-tying field goal to force overtime. In the extra session, Patrick Mahomes was intercepted, setting up the game-winning field goal by Cincinnati’s Evan McPherson to send the Bengals to their first Super Bowl since 1988.
Kansas City was favored in the double-revenge spot this season in Week 13, as the Chiefs once again had the lead, 24-17 heading to the fourth quarter. However, Burrow drove the Bengals down for a field goal and the go-ahead touchdown for the 27-24 win, which also marked the second straight Under between these teams.
Recent Meetings
2022 - Cincinnati (+2.5) 27 vs. Kansas City 24 (Under 53.5)
2022 - Cincinnati (+7) 27 at Kansas City 24 (Under 54.5)
2022 - Cincinnati (+3.5) 34 vs. Kansas City 31 (Over 51)
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Notes
This marks the first time since 2011 and 2012 in which the same two teams made the AFC Championship game (Patriots and Ravens).
Interestingly it’s only the second-ever playoff meeting between these teams, while it’s the fifth straight AFC title game the Chiefs have hosted, which is a record.
Dating back to 2016, Kansas City has seen its season end on its home field four times, including twice in the AFC Championship in overtime against New England in 2018 and Cincinnati in 2021.
Last 5 Playoff Games
Cincinnati: 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 1-4 O/U
Kansas City: 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 O/U
Championship History and Trends
Bettors believing that both No. 1 seeds will meet in the Super Bowl could be reaching since it’s only happened 13 times.
The last time there was a 1 vs. 1 matchup in the Super Bowl came in the 2017-18 NFL Playoffs when the Philadelphia Eagles defeated the New England Patriots 41-33 in Super Bowl 52.
The home team has gone 7-3 in both the last 10 AFC and NFC Championship games.
The ‘over’ has produced a 7-3 mark in the NFC title games while the ‘under’ has gone 6-4 in the AFC matchups.
Cincinnati has never lost in the AFC Championship Game in franchise history, going 3-0 in its three title game appearances. This includes the aforementioned win over the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium in the title game.
Kansas City owns a 2-3 record in the AFC Championship and two of the losses have come at home. Defense has been an issue with the Chiefs allowing 28.4 PPG, which has helped the ‘over’ go 4-1.
San Francisco has had the most appearances in the NFC Championship with 17. The franchise has gone 7-10 in those games and that includes a 2-2 mark in the last decade. On the road, the 49ers have gone 2-5 in NFC title games.
Philadelphia has gone 3-4 all-time in the NFC title game and all three of the victories have come at home and they were decided by double digits.
Where to place a bet this NFL Season?
- Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
- Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
- Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.
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