Colorado Avalanche vs. Edmonton Oilers Picks, Predictions, Odds

Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert

14 minute read

The Colorado Avalanche and the Edmonton Oilers meet at Rogers Place on Monday for Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals, a best-of-seven series. The Avalanche lead the series 3-0. Puck drop is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on TNT.

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Score Prediction

Avalanche 3, Oilers 2

Best Bet

Avalanche -123
Under 7 (-128)

COLORADO AVALANCHE vs. EDMONTON OILERS PREDICTIONS

The Oilers looked like they were going to make the third time the charm in Game 3. After losing a pair of games in Denver, including a shutout loss in Game 2, Edmonton saw superstar Connor McDavid break the ice just 38 seconds into the game to send the home crowd into a frenzy. That's when Valeri Nichushkin took over, notching a goal late in the first period, and early in the second, to push the Avalanche ahead 2-1.

Ryan McLeod gave the home crowd hope again, leveling the game 2-2 at 7:34 of the third period. However, J.T. Compher rained on the Rogers Place parade just five minutes later, and Mikko Rantanen scored into the empty net to push the Oilers to the brink with a 4-2 victory.

The game had some controversy, too, as Evander Kane was called for a boarding call just 66 seconds into the game, knocking fellow pest Nazem Kadri out of the game, and out for the remainder of the series, due to a broken thumb. Kane met with the Department of Player Safety on Sunday and he was suspended for Game 4. Kadri's loss will be substantial, maybe not in this series, but potentially in the Stanley Cup Finals should the Avalanche win one more game. He has managed six goals and 14 points through 13 playoff games.

Meanwhile, the Oilers now must win four games (they won't) in a row, and the first win will have to come without Kane. He has 13 goals and 17 points through 15 playoff games.

The Avalanche were also without Darcy Kuemper again due to an upper-body injury, so Pavel Francouz got the nod again in Game 3. He stopped 27 of the 29 shots he faced for the victory. Nathan MacKinnon was also accused of slew-footing Leon Draisaitl, who left with an ankle injury. Depending on your allegiance, it was either a non-issue or a dirty play.

Kailer Yamamoto also missed Game 3 after getting knocked out of Game 2 with an upper-body hit courtesy of a questionable hit from Gabriel Landeskog, and Andre Burakovsky missed the game with a lower-body ailment.

Look for a lower-scoring game, as the Oilers won't take a lot of chances which could lead to more odd-man rushes for the Avalanche, and Colorado won't be keen on letting Edmonton have any glimmer of hope.

Updated on 04/20/2024

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COLORADO AVALANCHE vs. EDMONTON OILERS BETTING ODDS

Avalanche -123
Oilers +115
Avalanche -1.5 (+185)
Oilers +1.5 (-196)
Over 6.5 (-130)
Under 7 (-128)

More Odds | Futures Odds

COLORADO AVALANCHE vs. EDMONTON OILERS BETTING RESOURCES

• Date: Monday, June 6, 2022
• Matchup: Central vs. Pacific
• Venue: Rogers Place
• Location: Edmonton, Alta.
• TV-Time: TNT, 8 p.m. ET

COLORADO AVALANCHE BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 67-20-8
• ATS: 48-47
• O/U: 49-41-5

The Avalanche have picked up six consecutive victories on the road, going a perfect 6-0 in the playoffs so far. That's a good recipe for sticking around in the postseason for a while, and having a great chance of seeing the two gentlemen in suits with gloves handling the Stanley Cup. It's not a guarantee of a win, but winning on the road at least gets you into the final series of the season.

Colorado has managed a 20-6 record in the past 26 playoff games as a favorite while going 5-2 in the past seven in the Conference Finals round, including 3-0 in this series, obviously.

For totals, after a high-scoring Game 1 which saw a combined 14 goals between the two teams, Colorado shut out Edmonton 4-0 in Denver in Game 2, while doubling up the Oilers 4-2 in Game 3 for a second straight UNDER. The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven meetings overall, while going 7-3 in the past 10 in Edmonton.

EDMONTON OILERS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 57-33-7
• ATS: 47-50
• O/U: 50-44-3

The Oilers dropped Game 2 at home despite a valiant effort, and they're still an impressive 20-6 in the past 26 games at Rogers Place. They're also 21-10 in the past 31 games overall. However, as an underdog, the Oilers are just 8-18 in the past 26 games as an underdog, while going 20-43 in the past 63 as a home 'dog. They're also just 2-6 in the past eight playoff games as an underdog, and 1-4 in the past five in the Conference Finals round.

For totals, the OVER is still 5-2 in the past seven games overall for Edmonton, although the UNDER has hit in each of the past two in this series. The OVER is 4-1 in the past five as an underdog, and 4-1 in the past five playoff games as a 'dog, too.

COLORADO AVALANCHE vs. EDMONTON OILERS CONCLUSION

The favorite has dominated this series lately, cashing in nine straight meetings, while the Avalanche have been victorious in six of the past seven meetings overall. The home team is 7-2 in the past nine, but the Avalanche weren't fazed by that trend with a Game 3 win in Edmonton for the rare road victory in this series.

Connor McDavid and Draisaitl will now have to do without third-wheel Evander Kane in an elimination game, and that's a tall order. Of course McDavid and Draisaitl are more than capable, but losing the team's top goal producer in the postseason is not what this team needs, especially since they've had trouble scoring goals in the past two games against Francouz. Look for another UNDER result, as that's the best bet on the board, and roll with the favorites, even though you have to eat a little chalk to get there.

COLORADO AVALANCHE vs. EDMONTON OILERS BETTING TRENDS

• Avalanche are 6-0 in the past six road games.
• Avalanche are 20-6 in the past 26 playoff games as a favorite.
• Oilers are 21-10 in the past 31 games overall.
• Oilers are 20-6 in the past 26 home games.
• Oilers are 8-18 in the past 26 as an underdog.
• Oilers are 2-6 in the past eight playoff games as a 'dog.
• OVER is 4-1 in the past five road games for the Avalanche.
• OVER is 4-1 in the past five as a road favorite for the Avs.
• OVER is 17-8 in the past 25 home games for the Oilers.
• OVER is 4-1 in the past five as a 'dog for the Oilers.
• Favorite is 9-0 in the past nine meetings.
• Home team is 7-2 in the past nine meetings.
• Avalanche are 6-1 in the past seven meetings.

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Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish