2026 World Cup Futures Odds: Action Surging on USA; France the Favorite
World Cup odds for 2026 have seen a few adjustments since the tournament began June 11. And it's tight at the top of the board.
A week-and-a-half into the tournament, France is flying solo atop 2026 World Cup futures odds, after entering the tourney as the co-favorite with Spain. One reason for that: A stunning result in Spain's first match.
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2026 World Cup Odds
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USA All The Way?
LATEST UPDATE: An American run all the way to the title is still improbable. But in the wake of the U.S. Men's National Team's 4-1 rout of Paraguay and a 2-0 shutout of Australia, there's a patriotic wave of betting on the squad.
In the six days after that win – from June 12-18 – the USA was the most-bet team to win the World Cup, by ticket count. And Team USA made a significant positive move in BetMGM's 2026 World Cup futures odds.
After entering the 48-team tournament at +5000, the U.S. went to the +3300 co-10th choice following the Paraguay win. With the win over Australia securing a Knockout Stage berth, the USA moved to the +2800 co-ninth choice, along with Norway and Morocco.
Now, on June 22, the U.S. is still ninth at +2800, as is Morocco. And there's plenty of betting optimism on the Red, White & Blue.
"The U.S. has a low percentage of handle, but is the biggest liability," BetMGM trading manager Tristan Davis said Thursday. "Spain, France, Portugal and the Netherlands are good results for bettors, as well."
More on those teams below.
Among the most notable USMNT wagers in World Cup futures at BetMGM is a $1,500 play at +6600. If somehow the U.S. makes a shocking title run, that bettor would profit $99,000.
The Americans have already clinched Group D and a spot in the 32-team knockout round. That's impacting USA vs. Turkey odds, since the match is meaningless for both teams. The U.S. is already locked in, while Turkey can't advance, after losing its first two matches.
Spain Slip-Up/Rebound
LATEST UPDATE: When the 48-team tournament began, on June 11, Spain and France were +450 co-favorites in BetMGM's 2026 World Cup odds. Stunningly, though, Spain played to a 0-0 draw as a -1200 favorite vs. Cape Verde on June 15.
Cape Verde, in its first World Cup, was a +2800 underdog, while Draw was +1050.
However, Spain couldn't solve 40-year-old Cape Verde goalkeeper Volzinha, who had seven saves.
"It's a huge result. One of the most shocking results at the World Cup that you'll probably ever see," BetMGM trading manager Seamus Magee said. "It killed a ton of parlays and same-game parlays.
"But I think Spain will be all right. Spain lost to Switzerland in Game 1 in 2010. They can regroup."
And indeed, the 2010 Cup champion did just that. On June 21 vs. Saudi Arabia, Spain rumbled to a 4-0 victory.
France had a far better showing in its opener, a 3-1 win over Senegal. French superstar Kylian Mbappe scored twice in the opening win. BetMGM responded by moving France into the +375 favorite, while sliding Spain out a bit to the +500 second choice.
Now, as of June 22, it's France +400, with Spain and England the +550 co-second choice. The top handful of teams in BetMGM's World Cup futures, as of June 20.
- France +375
- Spain +550
- England +550
- Argentina +650
- Brazil +900
- Portugal +1000
- Germany +1200
- Netherlands +1400
All others +2800 or greater. Odds subject to change. For more World Cup odds, check out bet365.
Tickets and Money
LATEST UPDATE: As of June 18, Spain is No. 1 in ticket count and money in BetMGM's World Cup championship odds, overtaking France in money just before the tourney began. Both squads are getting significantly more attention than the next tier of teams.
The top five in tickets in BetMGM's World Cup futures odds:
- Spain
- France
- Portugal
- England
- USA
The top five in money in BetMGM's World Cup championship odds:
- Spain
- France
- Portugal
- England
- Brazil
Portugal is among BetMGM's largest liabilities, now the +900 fifth choice to lift the trophy this summer, as of June 22. Defending champion Argentina is the +650 fourth choice, in the wake of Lionel Messi's hat trick in a 3-0 opening win vs. Algeria and both goals in a 2-0 win vs. Austria.
"The USA remains our biggest liability to lift the trophy. After the U.S., we'd like to avoid Spain, France and Portugal," BetMGM trading manager Seamus Magee said. "After that, we're pretty solid to every one of the other contenders.
"The further England or Brazil go in the tournament, it will be interesting to see. I imagine they will pick up a lot of interest as the tournament gets going."
England was +700 pre-tourney and is now the +500 co-second choice with Spain.
Flying Under the Radar
LATEST UPDATE: While the aforementioned teams are all drawing significant action, Magee pointed out a couple potential dark horses that would pay out much better in World Cup futures odds.
"I like a couple fliers on two South American sides: Colombia and Ecuador," Magee said pre-tourney. "Colombia was just extra time away from winning the Copa America the last time the tournament was stateside, and I think they're capable of getting all the way back to another international final.
"Luis Diaz is in the form of his life, and I think they have a team behind him who look the part, also taking four points off Argentina during qualifiers."
Colombia got as short as +3300 in March and is now +5000, matching its opener. In Match 1, Colombia topped Uzbekistan 3-1, with a last-minute goal accounting for the final margin. A Colombia championship is among the best outcomes for BetMGM, at the moment.
As for the other South American dark horse:
"Ecuador went through all of CONMEBOL qualifying, conceding only five goals," Magee said. "This is a stout defense with some world-class talent, including Moises Caicedo and Willian Pacho. Piero Hincapie has also played some decent football for Arsenal this season."
Ecuador opened at +10000 (100/1) and was +6600 in BetMGM's odds to win the World Cup when the tourney began. However, Ecuador stubbed its toe in the opener, losing to Ivory Coast 1-0 and returned to 100/1, then played to a 0-0 draw vs. Curacao, plunging to 250/1.
So Ecuador desperately needs to win its third match, a big ask against Germany on Thursday.
Another prospect Magee cited is Senegal, which entered the tournament at +6600, matching its opening price. But the Senegalese side drew a tough first opponent in France and lost 3-1, dropping to +10000 (100/1) in World Cup futures.
"I think Senegal can be a very dangerous team this tournament," Magee said. "There's plenty of experience and ability in this side, and they will have no trouble playing in the heat they'll face in the U.S.
"This team also comes into this tournament with a chip on its shoulder, after CAF stripped them of their AFCON title in January and gave it to Morocco. Senegal is coming here with a point to prove."
High-Handle Expectations
Regardless of who ultimately wins, be it one of the favorites, an upstart USA team or someone else, 2026 World Cup odds are sure to drive a ton of tickets and money in June/July. When the event isn't held halfway around the world, American sportsbooks reap huge benefits.
"Having an extended tournament in a U.S. customer-friendly zone should result in this being the highest-handle soccer competition the industry has ever seen," Caesars Sports head of soccer trading Mark Bickerdike said. "It's going to be an action-packed six weeks, with only five rest days."
Betting on the World Cup
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World Cup Qualification
The 2026 World Cup qualification process has begun, but it's not yet finalized due to the expansion to 48 teams. That said, CONCACAF is expected to have six teams, which will include automatic qualifying bids for Canada, Mexico and the United States, as hosts.
Six confederations hold qualifying contests. Below is a list of leagues and the available slots each has to put a nation in the World Cup tournament.
- AFC (Asia): 8
- CAF (Africa): 9
- CONCACAF (North/Central America & Caribbean): 6
- CONMEBOL (South America): 6
- OFC (Oceania): 1
- UEFA (Europe): 16
Two more teams will be decided via a playoff.
World Cup Winners
Brazil has won five World Cups, more than any other nation. Germany, however, has been to eight finals, more than any other country.
Only clubs from UEFA and CONMEBOL have been to a World Cup Final. CAF, AFC, OFC and CONCACAF are still searching for their first finals appearance.
- 2022 - Argentina 3, France 3; Argentina wins shootout 4-2 (Host: Qatar)
- 2018 - France 4m, Croatia 2 (Host: Russia)
- 2014 - Germany 1, Argentina 0 (Host: Brazil)
- 2010 - Spain 1, Netherlands 0 (Host: South Africa)
- 2006 - Italy 1, France 1; Italy wins shootout 5-3 (Host: Germany)
- 2002 - Brazil 2, Germany 0 (Host: South Korea/Japan)
World Cup Past Top Goal Scorers
- 2022 - Kylian Mbappe (8) - France
- 2018 - Harry Kane (6) - England
- 2014 - James Rodriguez (6) - Colombia
- 2010 - 4 Players Tied (5) *
- 2006 - Miroslav Klose (5) - Germany
- 2002 - Ronaldo (8) - Brazil
* - Diego Forlan (Uruguay), Wesley Sneijder (Netherlands), David Villa (Spain), and Thomas Muller (Germany)
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