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Stanford vs. Oregon Predictions, Odds

 

  • January 2, 2020
  • By Thom Cunningham
  • VegasInsider.com

The Stanford Cardinal head to Eugene, Oregon to try and do what many teams can't, beat the Oregon Ducks on their home court. Coverage for this Pac-12 battle begins at 10:00 p.m. (ET) and will air on ESPNU.

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WHERE TO BET STANFORD-OREGON

Stanford-Oregon Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: Oregon -5
  • Money-Line: TBD
  • Total: 141.5

Odds Subject to Change

Oregon welcomes in Stanford as a -5-point home favorite, as the Ducks have won close to 30 straight home games. They're a perfect 5-0 inside the Matthew Knight Arena this season, although Stanford is 3-0 on the road. Stanford and Oregon are both even with the ATS this season.

The point total is set at 141.5, which Oregon has seen go OVER in five of eight games this season. Stanford is 3-4 on the O/U this season, as they struggle a bit on offense and have a pretty sound defense.

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Betting Analysis – Stanford Cardinal

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 5-2
  • ATS: 3-3-1
  • SU - Home: 2-2
  • SU - Away: 3-0
  • O/U: 3-4

Stanford makes for a dangerous trap game here, as Oregon's home streak is due to snap at some point. What makes Stanford dangerous? Oscar Da Silva. Da Silva is a big reason why Stanford ranks 49th nationally in blocks per game, averaging over one per game himself.

Da Silva also averages close to 20 points per game, while leading the team in rebounding with six a game. Stanford's defense is the 51st-most efficient in the nation, blocking shots and getting ample steals too (7.9 per game ranks 79th nationally). The Cardinal will need to win the defensive paint battle, while also allowing their stellar defense to create steals and easy transition points.

Much easier said than done, as Oregon is the better team in terms of talent and athleticism. Stanford is capable however, but it starts with Da Silva and will need to trickle down to Spencer Jones, who averages a block per game to go along with 1.9 steals.

Daejon Davis and Bryce Willis will also have to continue their stellar defensive play to create steals for Stanford. If the Cardinal can get dominant post production from Da Silva, which they should, then all they need is for the remaining defensive threats to create offense with transitional turnovers.

Betting Analysis – Oregon Ducks

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 7-1
  • ATS: 4-4
  • SU - Home: 5-0
  • SU - Away: 2-1
  • O/U: 5-3

Oregon is going to be a tough outing at home, as the Ducks are quite possibly the best team in the Pac-12 this season. Oregon is efficient on both sides of the court, just look at their 'Inside the Stats' numbers. There is an even ratio of efficient basketball on both offense and defense, as the Ducks haven't missed a beat despite N'Faly Dante being out.

Eugene Omoruyi is becoming a Wooden Award candidate with his great play, averaging nearly 20 points per game and one of three seniors that lead this club. Chris Duarte and LJ Figueroa round out the other two productive seniors, as Eric Williams is another upperclassmen with productive numbers.

There is some depth concern with the Oregon Ducks, but the starters are so good its hard to bet against them. Oregon is just as lethal as Stanford is in the steals and blocks department, featuring five players who average 1.1 steals or more per game. Duarte forces the most turnovers, with 1.8 steals per game to go along with a team leading 0.9 blocked shots.

Both of these team's strengths are forcing transitional turnovers and blocking shots, so this should be a very evenly matched affair.

Inside the Stats – Stanford Cardinal

  • PS/G: 72.7 (174th)
  • PA/G: 64.6 (70th)
  • Off Rtg: 100.2 (200th)
  • Def Rtg: 89 (51st)

Inside the Stats – Oregon Ducks

  • PS/G: 78 (88th)
  • PA/G: 64.5 (67th)
  • Off Rtg: 109.3 (68th)
  • Def Rtg: 90.4 (69th)

Key Players to Watch

  • STAN - Oscar Da Silva (18.9 PPG, 6 RPG)
  • STAN - Ziaire Williams (12 PPG, 5.9 RPG)
  • OREG - Eugene Omoruyi (19.1 PPG, 4.8 RPG)
  • OREG - Chris Duarte (15.9 PPG, 4.6 APG)

Stanford-Oregon Predictions

Although Oregon has gone OVER more times than not, its tough to side with it here. The two defenses should even out the scoring to a 70-60 total, which could go OVER. Oregon has only touched 80 against a good team once though, and Stanford's offense probably won't come close to that.

Assuming Stanford keeps this game close, then the point total should go UNDER. Oregon winning, and covering, is probably the safest bet though. Oregon is near unbeatable at home, and present a great second half bet to take. Regardless how Stanford comes out, Oregon should win the second half in a big prime-time game at home.

  • Score Prediction: Oregon 74 Stanford 67
  • Best Bets: Oregon 2H
  • Best Bets: UNDER
  • Best Bets: Oregon -5

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