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Minnesota vs. Michigan Predictions, Odds

 

  • January 5, 2020
  • By David Schwab
  • VegasInsider.com

The top betting matchup in college basketball this Wednesday night is a Big Ten showdown between the No. 16 Minnesota Golden Gophers and the No. 10 Michigan Wolverines. Game time on the Big Ten Network from Crisler Center is 8:30 p.m. ET.

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WHERE TO BET MINNESOTA-MICHIGAN

Minnesota-Michigan Betting Odds

  • Spread: Michigan -7
  • Money-Line: Wolverines -330, Golden Gophers +270
  • Total: 151.5

Odds Subject to Change

The Wolverines have been opened as seven-point home favorites for Wednesday night’s clash with the total line set at 151 ½ points.

Minnesota is 10-2 straight-up overall with road losses to Illinois and Wisconsin. It is 3-2 both SU and against the spread in conference play. The total has stayed UNDER in its last three games.

The Golden Gophers have lost eight of 10 to Michigan SU with the series tied at 5-5 ATS in those last 10 meetings. They have also lost 13 of their last 15 road games SU overall.

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Michigan improved to a perfect 9-0 SU with this past Sunday’s 19-point win at home against Northwestern. The Wolverines are 7-2 ATS with the total going OVER in six of those nine games.

The total has gone OVER in six of Michigan’s last nine games against Minnesota. It SU winning streak over the Golden Gophers at home stands at six games. The Wolverines are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 Big Ten games.

Betting Analysis – Minnesota Golden Gophers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 10-2
  • ATS: 6-5-1
  • SU - Home: 10-0
  • SU - Away: 0-2
  • O/U: 7-5

The road has not been kind to Minnesota recently. The losses to Illinois and Wisconsin this season were each by double-digits.

To avoid yet another road loss on Wednesday, Liam Robbins will need another big effort. The junior center scored 27 points with 14 rebounds in Sunday’s win at home against Ohio State.

Guard Marcus Carr is the Golden Gophers' primary scorer with 22.1 points per game. He is shooting 44.8 percent from the field and 38.4 percent from three-point range.

Minnesota is averaging 81.6 points with 39.8 rebounds a game. The team is shooting 42.3 percent from the field. Defensively, it has a points-allowed average of 72.5. It gave up 92 points to Illinois and 71 points to Wisconsin.

Betting Analysis – Michigan Wolverines

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 9-0
  • ATS: 7-2
  • SU - Home: 7-0
  • SU - Away: 2-0
  • O/U: 6-3

Michigan has won its first four conference games by an average of 11.3 points. The biggest win was against Maryland on the road as slight 2 ½-point favorite.

Center Hunter Dickinson has been a force with a team-high 16.9 points and 8.1 rebounds. Forward Isaiah Livers (13.9 points) and guard Franz Wagner (12.2 points) are a big part of an offensive effort that is scoring 82.6 PPG. Guard Mike Smith leads the team in assists (5.2).

The Wolverines have lit things up as a team with a 52.0 field-goal percentage. This drops to 36.2 percent from three-point range. Led by Dickinson, they are averaging 39.9 rebounds with 29.9 on defense. Michigan is holding its opponents to an average of 68.1 points a game.


Juwan Howard's Michigan squad looks to remain undefeated with a home win over Minnesota. (AP)

Inside the Stats – Minnesota Golden Gophers

  • PS/G: 81.6 (46th)
  • PA/G: 72.5 (237th)
  • Off Rtg: 112.1 (20th)
  • Def Rtg: 92.8 (36th)

Inside the Stats – Michigan Wolverines

  • PS/G: 82.6 (35th)
  • PA/G: 68.1 (144th)
  • Off Rtg: 115.5 (7th)
  • Def Rtg: 92.9 (29th)

Key Players to Watch

  • MIN - Marcus Carr (22.1 PPG, 5.9 APG)
  • MIN - Liam Robbins (14.2 PPG, 7.6 RPG)
  • MICH - Hunter Dickinson (16.9 PPG, 8.1 RPG)
  • MICH - Isaiah Livers (13.9 PPG, 5.2 RPG)

Minnesota-Michigan Predictions

Given how well Michigan is playing right now, it would be hard to go against the Wolverines at home on Wednesday night.

This is especially true against Minnesota given this team’s continued struggles on the road. The game should still remain competitive deep into the second half but I have no issue with laying the points at home.

Betting the total line could be a bit trickier. Both teams are averaging more than 80 points a game which leans slightly towards the OVER given the opening betting line.

This would not be my strongest play but both teams should score enough to eclipse that number.

  • Score Prediction: Michigan 84, Minnesota 73
  • Best Bets: Michigan -7
  • Best Bets: Over 151.5

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