Iowa vs. Maryland Predictions, Odds

  • January 7, 2020
  • By David Schwab

In a 7 p.m. (ET) tip from XFINITY Center, the No. 5 Iowa Hawkeyes go on the road to tangle with the Maryland Terrapins. Thursday night’s game will be broadcast nationally on ESPN2.



PointsBet Bonus - Iowa vs. Maryland (T&Cs Apply, 21+ Only, Legal States)

Iowa-Maryland Betting Odds

  • Spread: Iowa -4.5
  • Money-Line: Iowa -265 Maryland +215
  • Total: 155

Odds Subject to Change

Iowa heads on the road as a -4.5-point favorite for Thursday night. The total has been opened at 155 points.

The Hawkeyes are 3-1 straight-up and 2-2 against the spread in Big Ten play with an earlier road loss to Minnesota. The total has stayed UNDER in three of those four games. This is part of a SU record of 9-2. They have failed to cover in three of their last five games.

Iowa has lost five of its last seven games against Maryland both SU and ATS. It has failed to cover in four of its last five road games in this series.Maryland’s fast 4-0 SU start has quickly faded into a 6-5 record while winning just one of its first five conference games SU. It has failed to cover in five of its last seven games with the total going OVER in four of its last five contests.

The total has stayed UNDER six of the Terrapins’ las nine games against Iowa. It has gone OVER in nine of their last 11 conference games.


Betting Analysis – Iowa Hawkeyes

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 9-2
  • ATS: 7-3
  • SU - Home: 8-0
  • SU - Away: 1-2
  • O/U: 8-3

Led by All-American Luka Garza, the Hawkeyes are the highest ranked Big Ten team in the nation.

The senior center scored 25 points in the Hawkeyes’ two-point road win against Rutgers as three-point favorites this past Saturday. He is averaging 27.5 points per game while pulling down 9.1 rebounds.

Guards’ Joe Wieskamp (14.5 points) and CJ Fredrick (10.9 points) help to balance out the scoring on an Iowa team that is averaging an impressive 92.7 points a game. Fredrick is the team’s best shooter from three-point range, connecting on 53.5% of his attempts.

Iowa is shooting 47.9% from the field and 37.3% from three-point range. Led by Garza, the Hawkeyes average 42.1 rebounds with 38.6 on the defensive end of the court. Their points-allowed average is 74.0.

Betting Analysis – Maryland Terrapins

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 9-0
  • ATS: 7-2
  • SU - Home: 7-0
  • SU - Away: 2-0
  • O/U: 6-3

Maryland’s big claim to fame in its dismal 1-4 SU (2-3 ATS) Big Ten start is a 70-64 upset over Wisconsin on Dec. 28 as a +9.5-point road underdog.

Another bright spot has been the steady play of guard Eric Ayala with 14.3 PPH while shooting 46.8% from the field. Yet, that number drops to 32.7% beyond the three-point line.

Forward Donta Scott (12.9 points) and guard Aaron Wiggins (11.5-points) are two other important contributors to the Terrapins’ 72.6-point scoring average.

The team is connecting on 47.4% of its shots from the field and 36.6% from three-point range. Defensively, Maryland is averaging 34.5 rebounds a game while holding opposing teams to 66.6 PPG.

Inside the Stats – Iowa Hawkeyes

  • PS/G: 92.7 (5th)
  • PA/G: 74 (262nd)
  • Off Rtg: 124.8 (2nd)
  • Def Rtg: 99.6 (212th)

Inside the Stats – Maryland Terrapins

  • PS/G: 72.6 (174th)
  • PA/G: 66.6 (102nd)
  • Off Rtg: 109.9 (58th)
  • Def Rtg: 100.8 (237th)

Key Players to Watch

  • IOWA - Luka Garza (27.5 PPG, 9.1 RPG)
  • IOWA - Joe Wieskamp (14.5 PPG, 6.7 RPG)
  • MARY - Eric Ayala (14.3)
  • MARY - Donta Scott (12.9 PPG, 7.3 RPG)

Iowa-Maryland Predictions

This game is a mismatch on paper that is likely to turn into another win for Iowa on Thursday night. Maryland has no answer for Garza in its lineup and it will have a difficult time keeping pace with Iowa on the scoreboard though 40-minutes of play. There is always a risk laying points on the road but Iowa should cover the -4.5-point spread with relative ease.

Despite Iowa’s inflated scoring average, I'm going with the UNDER on 155 points in this game. I don't see the total combined score crossing that plateau.

  • Score Prediction: Iowa 81 Maryland 69
  • Best Bets: Iowa 4.5
  • Best Bets: OVER

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