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Wisconsin vs. Michigan Predictions, Odds

 

  • January 12, 2020
  • By David Schwab
  • VegasInsider.com

The big showdown in the Big Ten on Tuesday night pits the No. 8 Wisconsin Badgers on the road against the No. 10 Michigan Wolverines. Game time from Crisler Center is 7 p.m. (ET) with ESPN carrying the national broadcast.

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WHERE TO BET WISCONSIN-MICHIGAN

Wisconsin-Michigan Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: Michigan -3
  • Money-Line: TBD
  • Total: 133.5

Odds Subject to Change

The Wolverines get the nod as favorites at home with the opening three-point spread. The total for the game has been set at 133.5 points.

The Badgers are 4-1 straight-up in Big Ten play with a bad six-point home loss to Maryland as -9.5-point favorites on Dec. 28. They're 10-2 SU overall while going an even 6-6 against the spread.

The total has gone OVER in six of their last eight outings. Wisconsin has the slight 6-4 edge SU in its last 10 games against Michigan. However, it slips to just 2-5 ATS over the last seven meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in six of its last eight road games against the Wolverines.

Michigan continues to impress with its SU 10-game winning streak to start the season. It's been able to cover the closing number as a favorite in seven of its last eight games. The total has stayed UNDER in three of its last five contests. The total has gone OVER in 10 of the Wolverines’ last 15 games.

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Betting Analysis – Wisconsin Badgers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 10-2
  • ATS: 5-6-1
  • SU - Home: 9-1
  • SU - Away: 1-1
  • O/U: 8-4

Wisconsin needed double overtime to get past Indiana 80-73 last Thursday as a nine-point home favorite. D’Mitrik Trice led the way with 21 points.

The senior guard has been the team’s leading scorer with an average of 14.8 points per game. He also leads the way in assists with 3.7 a game. Forward Micah Potter is one of five Badgers scoring in double figures with 12.5 PPG. He is also the team’s most effective shooter (43.3%) from three-point range.

Wisconsin is averaging 76.5 points a game and shooting 46.3% from the field. It has been able to convert on 41.4% of its shots outside the three-point line. Defensively, 33 of the team’s 35 rebounds a game is on this end of the court. The Badgers are holding opponents to 61.5 PPG.

Betting Analysis – Michigan Wolverines

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 10-0
  • ATS: 8-2
  • SU - Home: 8-0
  • SU - Away: 2-0
  • O/U: 6-4

Michigan extended its SU winning streak to 10 games with last Wednesday’s 82-57 romp over Minnesota as an eight-point favorite at home. It also covered a nine-point spread at home with a 19-point victory against Northwestern on Jan. 3.

Freshman center Hunter Dickinson is one of the big reasons for the Wolverines’ early success. He put up a season-high 28 points his last time out to raise his scoring average on the year to 18 PPG. Dickinson is also averaging a team-high 8.1 rebounds.

Isaiah Livers (13.9 points) and Franz Wagner (12.2 points) have also been key contributors to Michigan’s 82.5-point scoring average. The team is hitting an impressive 52.5% of its shots from the field and 35.8% from three-point range. Averaging 39.9 rebounds a game, the Wolverines are allowing 67 PPG on defense.

Inside the Stats – Wisconsin Badgers

  • PS/G: 76.5 (100th)
  • PA/G: 61.5 (25th)
  • Off Rtg: 113.2 (29th)
  • Def Rtg: 91 (49th)

Inside the Stats – Michigan Wolverines

  • PS/G: 82.5 (27th)
  • PA/G: 67 (103rd)
  • Off Rtg: 116.2 (12th)
  • Def Rtg: 94.4 (99th)

Key Players to Watch

  • WIS - D'Mitrik Trice (14.8 PPG, 3.7 APG)
  • WIS - Micah Potter (12.5 PPG, 7 RPG)
  • MICH - Hunter Dickinson (18 PPG, 8.1 RPG)
  • MICH - Isaiah Livers (13.9 PPG, 5.4 RPG)

Wisconsin-Michigan Predictions

This should be a great game between two of the best Big Ten teams this season. Michigan has not only won all of its games SU, it's one of the hottest betting teams in the nation right now.

My lean in this matchup is to go with the Wolverines SU in a money line bet as a three-point home favorite. There are strong betting trends for the OVER coming into this matchup, but the combined score has remained lower than expected in this series during the last several meetings.

I favor a more defensive pace this time around as well to lend some value to the UNDER play on the total.

  • Score Prediction: Michigan 68, Wisconsin 64
  • Best Bets: Michigan -3
  • Best Bets: UNDER

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