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College Basketball

Baylor vs. Kansas Predictions, Odds, Preview

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
6 minute read

Feb. 27, 2021
David Schwab
NCAA BK Expert
VegasInsider.com

Saturday night’s college basketball betting action gets off to a great start with the No. 2 Baylor Bears going on the road to Allen Fieldhouse to face the No. 17 Kansas Jayhawks. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. (ET) with ESPN covering the game nationally.

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Baylor-Kansas Betting Odds

  • Spread: Baylor -5
  • Money-Line: TBD
  • Total: 143.5

Odds Subject to Change

Baylor gets the nod in this Big 12 showdown as a five-point road favorite. The betting line for the total opened at 143.5 points.

The Bears returned to action on Tuesday night with a five-point win against Iowa State as 24- point home favorites. This kept them perfect on the year straight-up at 18-0 but they slipped to 3-3 against the spread over their last six games. The total has gone OVER in each of those six games.

Baylor beat Kansas by eight points on Jan. 18 as an 8.5-point home favorite. The series is tied 3-3 SU in the last six meetings with the Bears going 2-3-1 ATS. The total went OVER 140 points in the first matchup this season.

The Jayhawks’ recent five-game winning streak (SU and ATS) came to an end on Tuesday in a three-point road loss to Texas as three-point underdogs. The total has gone OVER in four of their last seven games.

Kansas has a SU six-game winning streak at home while covering in its last four home games. The total has stayed UNDER in four of those six contests.


The Baylor Bears look to continue their undefeated season with a tough road game against the Kansas Jayhawks. (AP)

Betting Analysis – Baylor Bears

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 18-0
  • ATS: 13-5
  • SU - Home: 11-0
  • SU - Away: 7-0
  • O/U: 10-8

The rust was obvious in Tuesday’s win following a three-week layoff. However, Adam Flagler still managed to score a season-high 22 points to help pace the win over Iowa State.

The Bears’ leading scoring this season has been guard Jared Butler with 17.1 points per game. He ended Tuesday’s contest with 18 points after being held to just three points in the first half.

On the year, he is shooting 49.3% from the field and 45.3% from three-point range. Baylor has four players averaging at least 11 points a game as part of a 86.4-point scoring average. It is shooting 50.3% from the field and 43.2% from outside the three-point line. The team is pulling down an average of 37.4 rebounds a game.

The Bears have allowed an average of 71 points over their last three outings. Overall, their points-allowed average this season is just 63.3.

Betting Analysis – Kansas Jayhawks

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 17-8
  • ATS: 12-11-1
  • SU - Home: 11-1
  • SU - Away: 6-7
  • O/U: 13-11

Kansas came up short against Texas in overtime on Tuesday night. Ochai Agbaji ended the game with 17 points while shooting just 33.3% from the field.

The junior guard has been the Jayhawks’ leading scorer this season with 13.8 points a game while shooting 41.4% from the field and 38.8% from three-point range. He is one of five players scoring in double figures.

Kansas is averaging 73.6 points with 38.1 rebounds a game. Jalen Wilson has led the way in rebounds with 8.2. The team is connecting on 43.8% of its shots from the field and 34.9% of its shots outside the three-point line.

The Jayhawks gave up an average of just 56.4 points during their recent five-game winning streak before allowing 75 points in the loss to Texas. That average of the year is 66.4 points a game.


Inside the Stats – Baylor Bears

  • PS/G: 86.4 (2nd)
  • PA/G: 63.3 (30th)
  • Off Rtg: 121.6 (2nd)
  • Def Rtg: 89.1 (8th)

Inside the Stats – Kansas Jayhawks

  • PS/G: 73.6 (123rd)
  • PA/G: 66.4 (75th)
  • Off Rtg: 104.8 (123rd)
  • Def Rtg: 94.5 (57th)

Key Players to Watch

  • BAY - Jared Butler (17.1 PPG, 5.1 APG)
  • BAY - MaCio Teague (14.6 PPG, 4 RPG)
  • KU - Ochai Agbaji (13.8 PPG)
  • KU - David McCormack (13 PPG, 6 RPG)

Baylor-Kansas Predictions

This should be one of Baylor’s toughest tests to stay perfect on the season. I think that Kansas is up to the task playing at home and coming off a tough loss. That being said, I'm not ready to actually bet against the Bears in Saturday’s matchup. I would consider taking Baylor SU in a money line bet, but I'm going with Kansas ATS.

I have more confidence in this game’s total score going OVER the current betting line. I expect both teams to come out sharp on the offensive end of the court.

  • Score Prediction: Baylor 81 Kansas 79
  • Best Bets: Kansas +5
  • Best Bets: OVER

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