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2021 Final Four Betting Picks

Apr. 1, 2021
by VI News

Final Four 2021 Predictions and Picks

The 2021 Final Four will start in Indianapolis, Indiana on Saturday, April 3 and will conclude with the NCAA College Basketball National Championship Game on Monday, April 5. The Final Four will be made up of the winners of the South, East, West, and Midwest regions of the NCAA Tournament, which begins play on March 18, 2021.

So who will cut down the nets and be crowned college basketball’s champion for 2021? Here’s our early prediction of which teams look like they could win the Final Four this April from Indiana.

Also, be sure to see the latest odds on who will March Madness and get NCAA Tournament picks from our expert handicappers.

Final Four Expert Picks

VI College Basketball enthusiast Thom Cunningham is offering up his Best Bets for Saturday's two national semifinals.

UCLA Bruins vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

Gonzaga is going to be tough to slow down for UCLA. The Bruins injuries will finally catch up, as a squad with Jalen Hill and Chris Smith might actually compete with these Bulldogs. However, Drew Timme just beat the best NBA-ready big man in Evan Mobley and is showing no signs of slowing down. Cody Riley will have his hands full, as he is typically in foul trouble anyways. Johnny Juzang and Jaime Jaquez are still a year away from their ceiling, and will probably see the most difficult defense against them this tournament.

Prediction: Gonzaga 80 UCLA 66 - OVER 145

Houston Cougars vs. Baylor Bears

Houston has a great chance of winning this game, but Baylor and Gonzaga have been these two best teams in college basketball for almost two years now. It seems likely these two are destined to meet in the National Championship. Can Baylor cover the small spread? Well, they've covered four straight when favored by -7.5 or less. Also, Baylor is one of the few who can go toe-to-tow with Houston in defensive efficiency and offensive rebounding. The point total market is still the best play this weekend, but Baylor should be able to win and cover a tightly contested game. Houston has the best efficiency ratio in the nation, which is a common trait among national champions including Virginia's team in 2019.

Prediction: Baylor 71 Houston 65 - OVER 135

NCAA Tourney Expert Pick: Gonzaga

Final Four Pre-Tournament Picks Thom Cunningham
"2021 March Madness will be unique, but very chalky!"

VI College Basketball enthusiast Thom Cunningham provided us with his pre-tournament Final Four selections for the 2021 NCAA Tournament and all four of his picks are still alive (see below).

He's sticking with the same four and if you're looking for a future bet, he's buying the Drew Timme (+600) to win the Most Outstanding Player Award.

Cunningham explained his thoughts, "Despite a March Madness littered with upsets, we've managed to get three of our four Final Four picks correct. Gonzaga and Baylor have been the two best teams since November of 2019, and there's no reason to think otherwise. Houston presents the best offense-to-defense efficiency ratio in the country, while UCLA continues its Cinderella Story as an 11 seed."

Odds to make the Final Four have been updated and are listed below.

Pre-Tournament - Final Four & Championship Predictions


The Bulldogs are arguably the best team in the nation, with the most points per game and the best offensive efficiency out of 347 schools. Gonzaga has three Wooden Award caliber players in Drew Timme, Corey Kispert and NBA Draft lottery projection Jalen Suggs. The Bulldogs defense isn’t as good as the offense, but the scoring is so frequent and often that it's difficult for any team to keep pace with Gonzaga anyways.


The Houston Cougars are one of the most efficient teams in the country, posting the nation's sixth-most efficient offense and the fourth-most efficient defense. Quentin Grimes and Marcus Sasser are two of the most lethal pairings in the nation, and coach Kelvin Sampson is one of the best in the business. Don't sleep on the Cougars who face their real challenges in the Elite Eight.


Baylor offers the most intrigue for March Madness picks this season for two reasons. One, they’re not Gonzaga - who will be the most selected team to win this year’s event. Also, the Bears have the best offensive-to-defensive efficiency ratio among top teams this season. This is an important trait to carry into March Madness, for obvious reasons. Jared Butler, MaCio Teague and Davion Mitchell can counter the three-headed monster for Gonzaga, as the Bears play better defense and just as good of offense as the Bulldogs.


Many saw what Nate Oats was able to pull off with Buffalo the last few years, as Alabama should be no different. This is one of the most electrifying offenses in all of college basketball, attempting three-pointers on a regular basis. John Petty, Jaden Shackelford and Herb Jones are a three-headed monster that is tough for any defense to slow down.

NCAA Final Four Consensus Predictions

After a few days of research, our College Basketball experts handicapping stable provided their top selections to win earn a trip to this year's Final Four, plus they offered up their top NCAA Tourney Pick to win the 2021 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament.

Be sure to view the Consensus Tourney Picks from 26 of our college basketball experts.

Consensus Picks - Final Four Champion

  • Gonzaga 10
  • Illinois 8
  • Texas 2
  • Baylor 2
  • Alabama 2
  • Michigan 1
  • Iowa 1

Most Popular March Madness Tools

Final Four Betting Odds Market

Per our Futures Betting market, Gonzaga is now an odds-on favorite at -225 (Bet $100 to win $44).

Odds To Win 2021 National Championship (4/5/21)
Team American Fractional
Gonzaga -225 5/9
Baylor +375 15/4
Houston +600 6/1
UCLA +2500 25/1

Odds Subject to Change

Which teams will be playing on Saturday, April 3, 2021?

Along with betting on who will win the 2021 NCAA Men's Tournament and Region Winners, FanDuel Sportsbook is offering odds on schools to go 5-0 and reach the Final Four.

Winning Wagers in Bold

Final Four Odds - Pre-Sweet Sixteen

Gonzaga -300
Baylor -140
Houston +105
Michigan +155
Loyola-Chicago +170
Alabama +175
Arkansas +240
Florida State +380
Villanova +500
Syracuse +600
USC +600
Oregon +700
UCLA +750
Oregon State +1100
Creighton +1500
Oral Roberts +3000

Final Four Odds - Pre-Tournament

Prior to the NCAA Tournament starting, the oddsmakers at FanDuel Sportsbook believed No. 1 overall seed Gonzaga will get the job done. The Bulldogs are -210 (Bet $100 to win $47) to 4-0 and reach the national semifinals.

Gonzaga -210
Baylor +115
Illinois +145
Michigan +220
Houston +350
Iowa +350
Alabama +390
Ohio State +480
Oklahoma State +600
Arkansas +700
Florida State +700
Texas +700
Colorado +750
West Virginia +750
Purdue +850
Texas Tech +1000
BYU +1100
Loyola Chicago +1100
Tennessee +1100
San Diego State +1200
Connecticut +1300
Kansas +1400
Villanova +1500
Virginia +1500
Creighton +1700
USC +1700
Florida +1800
LSU +1800
North Carolina +1800
Wisconsin +2400
Clemson +2500
Georgia Tech +2500
Utah State +2500
Maryland +3000
Oregon +3000
St. Bonaventure +3600
Drake +4200
Syracuse +4200
Missouri +4900
Oklahoma +4900
Virginia Tech +4900
Michigan State +5500
UCLA +5500
Colgate +6000
Oregon State +6000
Georgetown +6500
Va Commonwealth +6500
Appalachian State +10000
Cal Santa Barbara +10000
Cleveland State +10000
Drexel +10000
Eastern Washington +10000
NC Greensboro +10000
Ohio +10000
Wichita State +10000
Winthrop +10000
Abilene Christian +13000
Grand Canyon +13000
Hartford +13000
Iona +13000
Liberty +13000
Morehead State +13000
Mt. St. Mary's +13000
Norfolk State +13000
North Texas +13000
Oral Roberts +13000
Texas Southern +13000

Odds per FanDuel - Subject to Change

What is the Final Four Tournament?

There are few things as exciting as placing a bet on the finalists for the NCAA tournament. Final Four betting is all about making the right choices and putting money on the team with the best chances. This is an event that attracts millions of bettors with determination and drive.

During March madness betting season, everybody eyes up the Elite 8 and awaits the Final Four bracket. This is where the best of the best compete. It’s the cream of the crop. That’s one of the reasons why it’s so intense and moves so many people.

The Final Four tournament is the last set of games in the NCAA tournament. They involve the four teams remaining in their respective brackets. These compete in two games of a single-elimination tournament’s final round. The two teams that win face-off to decide first and second place. The remaining teams duke it out to place third.

Picking the Final Four

When money’s on the line, it’s important to make informed decisions. So, you need to look in every nook and cranny for little details that might give you an edge when selecting a team in the Final Four bracket. You can check previous Final Four scores, read into the NCAA bracket, and perhaps participate in Elite 8 betting as practice.

Both the players and the coaches matter. Deep dive into their backgrounds and performance over time. You can also find more information on Final Four betting through social means. You might ask friends, online forums, or explore different websites. Most importantly, though, you need to gather and analyze the information you find.

Sadly, Final Four betting isn’t a black and white business. There are many gray areas. Consider the team composition, injured players, MVPs, strengths and weaknesses, and other key factors. Also, note when to place your bets.

The further from the Final Four games you place your bet (known as March Madness betting), the more money you can make. However, betting closer to the event means you’ll have more information for your decisions. After all, the odds for each team can change drastically as the games approach. It’s a balancing act between how much money you’d like to win and how high you want your chances to be.

Final Four Schedule & Dates

Selection Sunday for the NCAA tournament will take place on the 14th of March. The First Four games will all take place on one day, which is Thursday March 18 from Indianapolis, Indiana. Afterward, other games continue from Friday March 19 through March 30.

Finally, the Final Four begins on Saturday April 3 and concludes on Monday April 5 from Indiana.

So, if you’re interested in Final Four betting, you should decide when to start placing bets as soon as possible.

Final Four Bracket

Sixty-eight teams play their hearts out to make it to the Final Four bracket. As it stands, the finalists have yet to be determined. However, you can expect some fierce competition from the usual standouts. It’s important to find the outliers and exceptional teams early on. They’re usually the teams that make it to the final games.

Final Four betting revolves around these last matches. Once all other teams have lost, they’re the remaining competitors.

How to Bet on the Final Four?

As with most popular sports, the NCAA tournament creates some serious buzz. There’s a huge fanbase that participates a bit more than the rest. They do so in the form of bets and wagers. Generally, these bettors find advice online for each NCAA bracket.

However, others gather to debate the best Final Four betting tactics and strategies before they start their March Madness betting.

There’s never a right answer until it ends and the Final Four scores conclude. However, if you want to place a few bets, there are a couple of ways to do so. To start, you should sign up at one of many online sportsbooks. The process is simple:

  • Visit the sportsbook of your choice and hit “sign up” or “register”
  • Fill out the registration form
  • Proceed to make your first deposit
  • Place your bets

Generally, bettors like to play it safe with spread and straight bets. However, you can make your Final Four betting a little more fun. Try Final Four Prop bets. They work as follows:

  • Team to score first 10 points in the final game
  • Total points each team
  • Total Team Points - Team Two

You should also consider Elite 8 betting. It’s a great way to practice. These represent different approaches to the betting game and can turn a fun wager into something even more enjoyable.

Past Final Four Tournaments

All Final Four tournaments play out with a certain level of excitement and anticipation.

However, some matches stand out more than others. For example, in 1994, Connecticut beat Duke 77-74 when they were an extreme underdog at the time with some impressive Final Four scores. So, even when oddsmakers look down on some teams, it’s important to make decisions with some independent thought.

Other examples include Kansas and Villanova, who both won the tournaments while considered 8-point underdogs. Kentucky and Arizona also provided major upsets for bettors when they beat their rivals in nail-biting finales.

Final Thoughts on Final Four for March Madness 2021

March Madness betting can feel like a bit of a mess. However, with some reading and information seeking, you’re more likely to place sensible bets. When 68 teams face-off for the big win in under one month’s time, the excitement might take you by surprise. Stay focused, and think straight.

Using an online sportsbook to place bets is probably the best choice for players across the country. It’s easy to do and accessible to most citizens. Also, remember to check the different types of wagers you can place.

There are tons of strategies you can pick, and your success rate will depend on your knowledge of the players, coaches, and past successes each team has. Experts also suggest practicing with Elite 8 betting.

Overall, the Final Four tournament is a chance to have some fun and make some money on the side. Win or lose; you’re sure to enjoy yourself with friends, family, and great food.

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