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College Basketball

Texas vs. Texas Tech Predictions, Odds, Preview

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
6 minute read

Feb. 27, 2021
David Schwab
NCAA BK Expert
VegasInsider.com

In a Big 12 battle between nationally ranked teams, the No. 14 Texas Longhorns go on the road to United Supermarkets Arena to face the No. 18 Texas Tech Red Raiders. Saturday afternoon’s tip-off on CBS is slated for 12 p.m. (ET).

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Texas-Texas Tech Betting Odds

  • Spread: Texas Tech -3
  • Money-Line: TBD
  • Total: 137.5

Odds Subject to Change

Texas Tech gets the early nod as a three-point home favorite in this in-state rivalry. The total for the game has been opened at 137.5 points.

The Longhorns got past Kansas by three points in overtime on Tuesday night as three-point home favorites. They improved to 8-5 straight-up in Big 12 play. With the PUSH, they are just 2-8-1 against the spread in their last 11 games. The total has gone OVER in 11 of their last 13 outings.

Texas lost to Texas Tech by two points in mid-January as a slight one-point home favorite. It is just 1-6 SU and 3-4 ATS in its last seven games against the Red Raiders. The total has gone OVER in five of those seven previous meetings.

Texas Tech has dropped its last three games SU while failing to cover in its last five outings. It is now 6-7 SU and 2-11 ATS in conference play. The total has gone OVER in three of its last four games.

The Red Raiders are an even 4-4 SU in their last eight home games with a 0-8 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in four of its last six home games.


The Texas Longhorns are coming off a huge overtime home win against the Kansas Jayhawks. (AP)

Betting Analysis – Texas Longhorns

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 14-6
  • ATS: 7-12-1
  • SU - Home: 8-5
  • SU - Away: 6-1
  • O/U: 13-7

Guard Courtney Ramey hit a pair of crucial free throws in overtime to help pace Tuesday’s win. He ended up posting 15 points on the night as the second leading scorer on the team with 14.1 points per game.

Guard Andrew Jones continues to lead the way with 15.4 PPG. He has exceeded that average in three of his last five starts. Guard Matt Coleman III (13 points) and forward Greg Brown (10.9 points) are the other two Longhorns scoring in double figures this season.

Texas, as a whole, is averaging 75.7 points with 40 rebounds a game. It is shooting 44.9% from the field and 34.2% from three-point range.

After giving up at least 72 points in four of their last five games, the Longhorns’ points-allowed average on the year stands at 68.7.

Betting Analysis – Texas Tech Red Raiders

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 14-8
  • ATS: 7-15
  • SU - Home: 9-4
  • SU - Away: 5-4
  • O/U: 11-11

The Red Raiders’ recent slide has dropped them into seventh place in the Big 12 standings. This has caused a steady slide in their national ranking as well.

Guard Mac McClung continues to lead the way in scoring with 16.9 PPG while shooting 42.8% from the field and 33.6% from three-point range. Guards’ Terrance Shannon (12.9 points) and Kevin McCullar (10.7 points) are next on the list.

Texas Tech is scoring an average of 73.4 PPG and shooting 43.5% from the field. This number drops to 33.9% from beyond the three-point line. The team is pulling down a total of 35.5 rebounds led by McCullar (6.6).

Defensively, the Red Raiders have given up an average of 74.3 points during their current three-game skid. This compares to a season average of 63.4 points allowed per game.


Inside the Stats – Texas Longhorns

  • PS/G: 75.7 (81st)
  • PA/G: 68.7 (132nd)
  • Off Rtg: 106.5 (86th)
  • Def Rtg: 96.6 (97th)

Inside the Stats – Texas Tech Red Raiders

  • PS/G: 73.4 (129th)
  • PA/G: 63.4 (33rd)
  • Off Rtg: 107.3 (72nd)
  • Def Rtg: 92.7 (30th)

Key Players to Watch

  • TEX - Matt Coleman (13 PPG, 4.3 APG)
  • TEX - Andrew Jones (15.4 PPG, 5 RPG)
  • TT - Mac McClung (16.9 PPG)
  • TT - Terrence Shannon (12.9 PPG, 4.7 RPG)

Texas-Texas Tech Predictions

Beating a rival on the road is always a tough task but I am going with Texas SU in Saturday’s matchup. Each of these teams have been battle tested coming down the stretch with Texas posting much better results.

Texas Tech has been a bettor’s nightmare in conference play ATS as another edge for the Longhorns.

I also have this game staying UNDER the current total line. Going against recent trends, this matchup should feature more defense from each team to keep the total scoring lower than expected.

  • Score Prediction: Texas 68 Texas Tech 64
  • Best Bets: Texas +3
  • Best Bets: UNDER

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