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Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia Predictions, Odds, Preview

 

Mar. 6, 2021
David Schwab
NCAA BK Expert
VegasInsider.com

The No. 17 Oklahoma State Cowboys square off against the No. 6 West Virginia Mountaineers this Saturday in each team’s Big 12 regular season finale. Game time from WVA Coliseum is set for 2 p.m. (ET) on ESPN2.

BETTING RESOURCES

Oklahoma State-West Virginia Betting Odds

  • Spread: West Virginia -9.5
  • Money-Line: West Virginia -400 Oklahoma State +320
  • Total: 148

Odds Subject to Change

The opening spread for Saturday’s showdown favors West Virginia by seven points at home. The betting line for the total has been opened at 149.5 points.

Oklahoma State’s nine-point loss to Baylor on Thursday snapped a straight-up five-game winning streak. Covering as a 12-point road underdog, it is now 5-0 against the spread in its last five games. The total has gone OVER in the last four outings.

The Cowboys lost to West Virginia by three points on Jan. 4 as slight 1.5-point home underdogs. They are 0-3 both SU and ATS in the last three meetings. West Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last five games with Thursday’s nine-point win at home against TCU. It failed to cover as 13-point favorites to slip to 3-3 ATS in its last six contests. The total has gone OVER in nine of its last 11 games.

The Mountaineers are 5-3 ATS over their last eight games. They are an even 4-4 SU and 3-5 ATS over their last eight home games. The total has gone OVER in seven of those eight contests.


Wooden Award candidate and top NBA Draft prospect Cade Cunningham continues to elevate his game this season. (AP)

Betting Analysis – Oklahoma State Cowboys

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 17-7
  • ATS: 14-9-1
  • SU - Home: 10-3
  • SU - Away: 7-4
  • O/U: 16-7-1

Oklahoma State fell to 10-7 SU in Big 12 play with Thursday’s lost. The big question for Saturday’s finale is the health of freshman sensation Cade Cunningham. He rolled his left ankle in that game. Guard Isaac Likekele remains questionable with a hand injury. Cunningham is the Cowboys’ leading scorer with 19.7 points per game.

Guard Avery Anderson III is next on the list with 10.2 PPG as part of a group of six players averaging at least nine points a game. Oklahoma State is scoring an average of 76.3 points with 38.8 rebounds a game. It is shooting 46.2% from the field and 33.9% from three-point range.

After giving up 75 points or more in each of their last three games, the Cowboys’ points-allowed average this season is 72.

Betting Analysis – West Virginia Mountaineers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 18-7
  • ATS: 13-12
  • SU - Home: 11-4
  • SU - Away: 7-3
  • O/U: 17-8

At 11-5 SU in conference play, West Virginia can lock-up the No. 2 seed for the upcoming Big 12 Tournament with a win on Saturday. Freshman guard Jalen Bridges made his presence known in Thursday’s victory with 22 points and 12 rebounds.

Guard Miles McBride (15.4 points) and forward Derek Culver (14.8 points) are the Mountaineers’ top two scorers this season. McBride is shooting 41.9% from the field and 42.6% from three-point range.

As a whole, West Virginia is scoring an average of 77.5 PPG while shooting 42.9% from the field. This drops to 36.7% from beyond the three-point line. Of the team’s 38.8 total rebounds, Culver is averaging 10 a game. On defense, the Mountaineers are giving up an average of 71.6 PPG.


Inside the Stats – Oklahoma State Cowboys

  • PS/G: 76.3 (64th)
  • PA/G: 72 (225th)
  • Off Rtg: 102.7 (171st)
  • Def Rtg: 96.8 (91st)

Inside the Stats – West Virginia Mountaineers

  • PS/G: 77.5 (51st)
  • PA/G: 71.6 (221st)
  • Off Rtg: 108.4 (58th)
  • Def Rtg: 100.1 (179th)

Key Players to Watch

  • OKST - Cade Cunningham (19.7 PPG, 6.3 RPG)
  • OKST - Avery Anderson (10.2 PPG)
  • WVU - Miles McBride (15.4 PPG, 4 RPG, 4.7 APG)
  • WVU - Derek Culver (14.8 PPG, 10 RPG)

Oklahoma State-West Virginia Predictions

Betting this game is going to hinge on the availability of Cunningham for Oklahoma State. He is currently listed as questionable, and conventional wisdom dictates that he will sit this one out.

I still like West Virginia SU and ATS at home either way. The Mountaineers have struggled with consistency at WVA Coliseum this season but I am expecting their A game on Saturday with the No. 2 seed on the line.

I also expect the total to go OVER the current total line. West Virginia has posted some strong trends leaning that way all season long.

  • Score Prediction: West Virginia 85 Oklahoma State 77
  • Best Bets: West Virginia -7
  • Best Bets: OVER

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