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Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 10:01 AM

Tech Trends - Week 14

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Friday, Nov. 30
Matchup Skinny Edge
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NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. BUFFALO (MAC title game at Ford Field, Detroit, MI, Friday, November 30)...NIU had covered four in a row away from DeKalb prior to loss at WMU. Bulls 9-3 vs. line this season, 18-5-2 vs. spread since late 2016.
Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.
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WASHINGTON vs. UTAH (Pac-12 title game at Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA, Friday, November 30)...Huskies have won SU last three years in series but covered only one of those (2018). U-Dub 3-9 vs. line in 2018, 4-12 last 16 on board, just 2-7 vs. spread last nine away. Utes 13-5 vs. points as dog since 2014.
Utah, based on team trends.
Saturday, Dec. 1
Matchup Skinny Edge
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UAB at MIDDLE TENNESSEE (Conference USA title game, Saturday, December 1)...After covering seven straight this season, UAB HAS dropped last three vs. number. Blazers just 3-5 vs. spread last 8 away from Legion Field. UAB 8-4 as dog since last season. MTSU, however, has covered last five this season.
Slight to MTSU, based on recent trends.
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MEMPHIS at UCF (American title game, Saturday, December 1)...UCF 3-0 SU in series since last season though just 1-1-1 vs. number. Tigers just 2-3 vs. line away this season but just 4-5-1 as dog for Mike Norvell since 2016. UCF covered 5 of last 6 at home this season.
UCF, based on team trends.
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TEXAS vs. OKLAHOMA (Big 12 title game at Jerry Jones AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX, Saturday, December 1)...Horns have covered last six in series, all as dog, winning outright on Oct. 6 at Cotton Bowl. Tom Herman 2-0 as dog this season, 7-1 in role with Texas, 12-1 since 2015 with Houston & Longhorns as dog. Sooners only 4-8-1 vs. line since late 2017.
Texas, based on team and series trends.
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UL-LAFAYETTE at APPALACHIAN STATE (Sun Belt title game, Saturday, December 1)...Ragin’ Cajuns covered Oct. 20 at App and ended season on 7-2 spread uptick. ULL also covered 4 of last 5 as dog this season. App, however, 7-2-2 vs. spread in 2018.
Slight to UL-Lafayette, based on recent trends.
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GEORGIA vs. ALABAMA (SEC title game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA, Saturday, December 1)...Georgia 12-3 vs. spread last 15 away from Athens, Kirby Smart also 5-2 as dog since 2016. Bulldogs have covered last five bowl/playoff games. Tide 4-6 vs. spread in bowl/playoff/SEC title games since 2013.
Georgia, based on team trends.
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FRESNO STATE at BOISE STATE (Mountain West title game, Saturday, December 1)...Fresno no covers last three this season but Bulldogs were 18-3-2 vs. spread for Jeff Tedford prior and 23-5-2 previous 30 on board since mid 2016. Fresno 6-0 as dog for Tedford (all of that in 2017). Bulldogs blew lead in loss and non-cover at Boise on Nov. 9. Boise has covered last three this season and was 3-2 as home chalk this season, but just 7-17 laying points on blue carpet since 2015. Fresno covered in MW title games at Boise in 2014 and 2017.
Fresno State, based on team trends.
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PITTSBURGH vs. CLEMSON (ACC title game at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC, Saturday, December 1)...Pitt had covered six straight in 2018 prior to Miami loss. Panthers 9-6 as dog since last season and 5-3 getting DD since 2016 under Pat Narduzzi. But Pitt only 3-3 vs. spread away this season. Clemson only 6-6 vs. line this season though did have mid-to-late-season 5-game cover streak. Though not technically a bowl, note Panthers 1-5 vs. spread in last six of those.
Slight to Clemson, based on team trends.
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NORTHWESTERN vs. OHIO STATE (Big Ten title game at Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN, Saturday, December 1)...Underdog team was a remarkable 11-0-1 vs. spread in NU games this season! Wildcats 5-0-1 as dog themselves. Buckeyes 1-6 their last seven as chalk this season and 1-4 vs. spread last five away from home.
Northwestern, based on team trends.
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AKRON at SOUTH CAROLINA (Saturday, December 1)...Zips just 2-6 vs. spread their last eight on board this season though did cover both of their non-MAC games on road. Bowden 6-11-1 last 18 on board since mid 2017. Gamecocks have covered their last four vs. non-SEC foes and 8-4 last 12 on board since late 2017.
Slight to South Carolina, based on team trends.
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EAST CAROLINA at NC STATE (Saturday, December 1)...ECU 4-7 vs. line this season, 10-24-1 vs. spread since Scottie Montgomery took over in 2016. Also 1-6 vs. line last seven vs. non-AAC foes.
NC State, based on ECU negatives.
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STANFORD at CALIFORNIA (Saturday, December 1)...Big Game! Cal on 5-game cover streak TY after dropping previous 5 vs. line, and Wilcox 10-4 as dog since LY. Tree however is 5-1-1 vs. spread last seven away from Farm. Stanford had covered five straight in series until LY.
Slight to California, based on team trends.
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MARSHALL at VIRGINIA TECH...Herd 2-0 as dog this season, 8-0 in role since 2017! Marshall 8-3-1 vs. line last 12 away from home and 7-2 vs. points last nine vs. non-CUSA. Hokies had dropped 6 in a row vs. line before Virginia upset and no covers last four as chalk.
Marshall, based on team trends.
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