Tech Trends – Week 2

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NFL Trends - Week 1

Friday, Sept. 6
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
WAKE FOREST at RICE...Wake 10-4-1 last 15 away from Winston-Salem, 14-5 as visiting chalk since 2015. Owls 7-3 as DD dog since LYm 6-1 getting 20 points or more.
Wake Forest, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MARSHALL at BOISE STATE... Boise a bit better as blue carpet chalk LY (3-3) but still just 16-35 last 51 in role. Herd 8-2 as dog past two seasons and has covered 7 straight away from home vs. non-CUSA teams.
Marshall, based on team trends.
Saturday, Sept. 7
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
OHIO at PITT...Note that Solich a dog here, and he’s 10-2 as dog away from Athens since 2015, and 9-1 last ten vs. line against non-MAC away from home. Pitt 4-2-1 vs. line at Heinz Field since LY but 6-14 vs. spread as host previous three seasons.
Ohio, based on team trends.
 vs. 
OLD DOMINION at VIRGINIA TECH...Big revenge from ODU upset LY. Monarchs were 2-1 as DD dog in 2018 but 1-7 in role previous two years. Fuente 9-5 as Blacksburg chalk with VPI, though only 12-15 overall vs. line since 2017.
Slight to Virginia Tech, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UAB at AKRON...Blazers 10-4 vs. line LY, 18-9-1 since resuming football in 2017. Though just 2-3 as visiting chalk that span. Arth home debut for Zips., Akron though only 2-8 as home dog since 2014.
UAB, based on team trends.
 vs. 
ARMY at MICHIGAN...Army 14-8 as dog past four years, and has covered 6 of last 7 away West Point. Harbaugh 1-5 vs. spread last six hosting non-Big Ten.
Army, based on team trends.
 vs. 
VANDERBILT at PURDUE...Derek Mason 5-10 as dog past two years, but 4-1 last five vs. spread as non-SEC visitor. Brohm 0-4 as home chalk LY.
Slight to Vandy, based on team trends.
 vs. 
RUTGERS at IOWA...Rutgers actually now on 6-game cover streak after UMass win. Ash 15-8 vs. line last 23 on board. Ferentz however 16-4-1 last 21 as chalk, and 12-3-1 last 16 on board.
Slight to Iowa, based on team trends.
 vs. 
SYRACUSE at MARYLAND...Terps 10-3 vs. line in first two games the past six seasons under varieties of coaches. Md also now 6-2 vs. spread at home since 2018. Dino Babers 11-2 vs. spread last 12 away from Carrier Dome.
Syracuse, based on team trends.
 vs. 
WEST VIRGINIA at MISSOURI...Neal Brown was 10-4 vs. line as dog the past four years with Troy. Mounties 4-1 as visiting dog past three seasons Barry Odom 8-2 vs. points last 10 at Columbia.
Slight to West Virginia, based on team trends.
 vs. 
CINCINNATI at OHIO STATE...Fickell now 6-1 vs. line in first three games of season since taking over Bearcats in 2017. Also 7-4 as dog the past two years. Buckeyes just 15-16 as DD chalk at Big Horseshoe since 2016 but were 2-0 in role for Ryan Day LY.
Slight to Cincinnati, based on team trends.
 vs. 
BOWLING GREEN at KANSAS STATE...No more Jinks jinx at BGSU, Falcs were 11-25 vs. line last three seasons (Jinks ousted late 2018). Fals 4-10 as DD dog past two years. Loeffler’s challenge now. One role that didn’t work lately for Bill Snyder was home chalk (4-11 last four years), let’s see what Klieman can do.
Slight to Kansas State, based on BGSU negatives.
 vs. 
NORTHERN ILLINOIS at UTAH...Kyle Whittingham 6-2-1 as DD chalk the past two years and 12-5 vs. points last 17 at Rice-Eccles. Now Hammock for NIU but under Carey, Huskies were 0-4-1 last five vs. non-MAC teams.
Utah, based on team trends.
 vs. 
SOUTH FLORIDA at GEORGIA TECH...If USF a dog note 3-1 in role on road past two seasons. Collisn closed his Temple run on 14-6-1 spread uptick but Jackets now on 5-11 spread skid.
Slight to USF, if dog, based on team trends.
 vs. 
TULSA at SAN JOSE STATE...SJSU actually on 9-5-1 spread uptick entering 2019, and 8-4 last 12 as dog. Tulsa only 1-3 as road chalk last three years (0-0 LY).
Slight to San Jose State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
NEBRASKA at COLORADO...Huskers haven’t played in Boulder since 2009. Frost covered last four and six of last 7 in 2018, also covered last four on road. Buffs just 3-10 last 13 vs. spread at Boulder, also were just 3-9 last 12 as dog under MacIntyre.
Nebraska, based on team trends.
 vs. 
TEXAS A&M at CLEMSON...Jimbo has covered 4 of last 6 meetings vs. Dabo, including LY at Kyle Field. Ags 3-1 as dog LY, now 12-3 vs. spread since LY after Tex State win. Jimbo now 7-0 vs. non-SEC with Ags. Clemson no covers all three reg season vs. non-ACC LY.
Texas A&M, based on team trends.
 vs. 
CENTRAL MICHIGAN at WISCONSIN...McElwain closed Gator career on 9-15 spread skid. Chips 7-4 as road dog since 2017 and were 4-1 as DD dog LY. Badgers rather shocking 1-6 as home chalk in 2018.
Slight to Central Michigan, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
CHARLOTTE at APP STATE...App was 9-3-1 vs. line for Satterfield LY and 7-3-1 laying DD, let’s see what Drinkwitz can do. Mounties have won and covered five straight non-Belt games and routed 49ers 45-9 LY. First road game for Will Healy.
Appalachian State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
SOUTHERN MISS at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Moorhead 4-0 vs. line non-SEC reg season LY, but L in opener vs. ULL. Bulldogs also 5-1 as Starkville chalk LY and 8-2 vs. points non-SEC since 2017. Jay Hopson 7-3 as dog past two seasons and USM 4-1 vs. spread last five against SEC.
Slight to Miss State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
ILLINOIS at UCONN...After non-cover vs. Wagner, UConn 2-11 vs. spread since LY, Edsall 2.0 now 7-18 vs. spread since 2017 with Huskies. Lovie not-too-bad 5-4 as chalk since taking over in 2016 compared to 10-18 dog mark.
Illinois, based on UConn negatives.
 vs. 
ARKANSAS STATE at UNLV...Ark State on 1-8 spread skid outside of Belt. Sanchez however only 10-15 vs. line at Sam Boyd, Rebs just 11-21 last 32 vs. number at home. If dog, note Sanchez 4-8 in role since 2016.
Slight to UNLV, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UTSA at BAYLOR...UTSA 6-‘15 last 21 on board. Roadrunners did win at Baylor in 2017, however. Matt Rhule just 1-5 as Waco chalk since taking over Baylor in 2017.
Slight to UTSA, based on Baylor chalk negatives.
 vs. 
NEW MEXICO STATE at ALABAMA...This is the sort of game that has troubled Bama. Saban just 2-5 vs. line last seven Game 2s, just 4-10 last 14 vs. spread hosting non-SEC foes. Can we trust NMSU? Ags only 2-7 as dog LY but were 10-8 getting DD previous three seasons.
Slight to New Mexico State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
SAN DIEGO STATE at UCLA... After Cincy loss, UCLA now 23-40 vs. spread since 2014. Bruins also 5-13-1 last 19 as chalk. Rocky Long on 3-12 spread skid, but is 6-2 last 8 as dog.
San Diego State, based on extended UCLA negatives.
 vs. 
ULM at FLORIDA STATE...Noles just 8-15-2 last 2 years vs. line, Taggart 2-4 as chalk LY. Matt Viator, however, on 6-13 spread slide entering this season.
Slight to ULM, based on team trends.
 vs. 
WYOMING at TEXAS STATE...After Mizzou win, Wyoming on 6-0 spread run since late 2018. Bohl 7-3 last ten as chalk. TSU just 4-10 as home dog since 2016.
Slight to Wyoming, based on team trends.
 vs. 
NORTH TEXAS at SMU...If SMU is favored in Metroplex war, note that Sonny Dykes is 0-4 as chalk since taking over Mustangs in 2017 Frisco Bowl. Mean Green, however, closed 2018 dropping last 6 and 8 of last 9 vs. spread. If UNT chalk note 3-7 mark in role LY. SMU has won and covered handily last two meetings in Dallas.
Slight to SMU, based on team trends.
 vs. 
BYU at TENNESSEE...Vols just 3-1s vs. spread at Knoxville since 2017, and 7-18 overall vs. spread past two years (5-8 LY for Pruitt). Also 2-8 as chalk since 2017. Cougs 9-2 as road dog since 2016.
BYU, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UCF at FAU...UCF on 11-4 spread run (10-4 for Heupel), also 8-2 last 10 as DD chalk. Knights 26-13-1 vs. line since 2016. Kiffin only 4-8-1 vs. spread since 2018, now 3-5 last 8 vs. spread away from Boca Raton.
UCF, based on team trends.
 vs. 
WESTERN KENTUCKY at FIU...Tops were 4-1-1 as road dog LY but the Helton era did not start well with loss to UCA. FIU has covered last three in series and throttled WKU the last two meetings. Even after Tulane loss, Butch Davis brings a 15-7 spread mark last 22 into home opener.
FIU, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
COASTAL CAROLINA at KANSAS...Miles closed his LSU career on 22-33-1 spread skid. KU entered 2019 on 4-10 spread skid at home vs. non-Big 12. CC 5-3-1 as road dog since 2017.
Slight to Coastal Carolina, based on KU/Miles negatives.
 vs. 
LIBERTY at ULL...Cajuns 9-4-2 vs. line since Billy Napier debut LY, 8-1 last 9 vs. spread in reg season.
ULL, based on team trends.
 vs. 
WESTERN MICHGAN at MICHIGAN STATE...MSU 16-26 as home chalk since 2012, no covers last six in role. WMU 14-7 as visiting dog since 2013 though only 2-3 in role under Lester since 2017.
Slight to Western Michigan, based on team trends.
 vs. 
LSU at TEXAS...”Tom Herman as a dog” once more; Herman 8-2 as dog with Horns, 13-2 in role since 2015 with Houston and Texas. Orgeron 2-6 vs. spread last eight reg season vs. non-SEC.
Texas, based on Herman-as-dog marks.
 vs. 
TULANE at AUBURN...Gus 6-17-1 as Jordan Hare chalk since 2015. Auburn 9-20-2 as DD chalk past four years. Gus 1-6 vs. spread last 7 vs. non-SEC at home. Wave 6-1 vs. spread last six outside AAC,
Tulane, based on team trends.
 vs. 
ARKANSAS at OLE MISS...Rebs now have dropped last six and 9 of last 10 vs. spread. Matt Luke however was 2-1 vs. line as chalk LY. Hogs, have covered six straight in what has been a wild series in recent years, but Chad Morris 0-4 vs. line as visitor LY.
Slight to Arkansas, based on series trends.
 vs. 
NEVADA at OREGON...Jay Norvell 8-5 last 12 as dog, but Pack just 1-5 last six vs. line non-MW on road. Cristobal just 5-10 vs. line with Ducks, who are also just 7-12 laying DD at Autzen since 2015.
Slight to Nevada, based on team trends.
 vs. 
BUFFALO at PENN STATE...James Franklin just 4-6 last ten laying DD. Leipold 17-7-2 vs. spread since 2017, and Bulls 9-3-1 vs. points last 13 as visitor. Bulls 2-0 as DD dog since 2017.
Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.
 vs. 
EASTERN MICHIGAN at KENTUCKY...Cats 1-9 as home chalk since 2017 and 1-10 last 11 hosting non-SEC foes. EMU 14-2 last 16 as visiting dog, 20-3-1 last 24 overall as short!
Eastern Michigan, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UTEP at TEXAS TECH... Miners actually 4-2 as road dog LY, though only 5-6 overall as short. Note Matt Wells 6-0-1 as home chalk with Utags and Red Raiders since LY, and Tech 7-1 laying DD since 2016.
Texas Tech, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MIAMI-FLA. at NORTH CAROLINA...Canes were just 4-7 the last two years for Richt laying DD. Heels had covered three straight in series prior to LY. Fedora was 6-3 as dog LY, and Mack now 1-0 in role this season.
Slight to UNC, based on extended series trends.
 vs. 
STANFORD at USC...If Shaw a dog note his 13-5 mark in role since taking over Tree in 2011. Stanford 10-4 vs. spread last 14 in series. Helton 4-10 vs. spread at Coliseum since 2017, 8-20 overall vs. spread last 28 on board.
Stanford, especially if dog, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
CAL at WASHINGTON...Revenge for Huskies after 12-10 loss at Berkeley LY. Bears have covered five straight as a road dog for Wilcox and are 6-1 vs. spread last 7 as visitor. Petersen just 1-5 as home chalk LY and 3-8 as chalk overall, 4-11 last 15 in role.
Cal, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MINNESOTA at FRESNO STATE...Gophers just 2-6-1 last nine as visitor. Fresno 21-6-2 vs. spread since Jeff Tedford took over Bulldogs in 2017 and 8-4 vs. line as host. Bulldogs also 8-2 vs. points non-MW for Tedford. Revenge for Dawgs from bitter loss LY.
Fresno State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
OREGON STATE at HAWAII...Beavs not too bad 3-3 as road dog LY, though just 2-6 as DD dog. Rainbows, however, 4-15 as Aloha Stadium chalk since 2014.
Oregon State, based on team trends.