Tech Trends – Week 7

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NFL Trends - Week 6
Wednesday, Oct. 10
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
APP STATE at UL LAFAYETTE...Cajuns hot, 5-0 vs. line TY, 12-1-2 last 15 reg season since early 2018. App however on 16-4-1 spread run back to late 2017 (3-1 TY). Cajuns covered both vs. App LY including Belt title game.
Slight to ULL, based on team trends.
Thursday, Oct. 11
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
ULM at TEXAS STATE...ULM only 1-6 vs. spread last seven on board, 4-11 last 15 vs. points. Spavital finally got a cover vs. Nicholls but Bobcats were 0-4-1 vs. spread the five previous dating to late last season. Road team has covered last three in series.
Slight to ULM, based on series trends.
 vs. 
SYRACUSE at NC STATE...Cuse 7-2 vs. spread last nine on ACC road. Babers however only 2-3 vs. spread TY after 10-3 mark in 2018. Pack no covers last 4 vs. spread.
Slight to Syracuse, based on team trends.
Friday, Oct. 11
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
VIRGINIA at MIAMI-FLA...Cavs have now dropped 4 straight vs. line. Mendenhall has covered last two vs. Canes and Hoos 5-2 vs. spread last 7 away from Charlottesville. Miami 2-7 vs points last 9 ACC games, and 1-7 vs. spread last eight as host vs. FBS-level foes.
Virginia, based on team trends.
 vs. 
COLORADO STATE at NEW MEXICO...Bob Davie is 0-7 SU (1-6 vs. line) with Lobos against CSU since he arrived in 2012. Lobos 1-9 vs. spread last ten at Albuquerque.
Colorado State, based on series and team trends.
 vs. 
COLORADO at OREGON...Mel Tucker now 2-0 as dog with Buffs, who were just 3-9-1 getting points the past two seasons. Cristobal just 7-12 vs. spread with Ducks (counts LV Bowl 2017) since taking over (6-7 as chalk). Webfoots only 4-6 vs. spread at Eugene for Cristobal.
Colorado, based on team trends.
Saturday, Oct. 12
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
RUTGERS at INDIANA...Scarlet Knights now no covers last four after six-game spread W streak that began late 2018. But Rutgers also now 2-6 vs. spread last 8 as visitor. Hoosiers 7-1 last 8 as Bloomington chalk, and 6-3 last 9 laying DD (2-1 TY).
Indiana, based on team trends.
 vs. 
TOLEDO at BOWLING GREEN...Nearby rivals! Toledo has won last 9 SU in series but BGSU slipping inside some hefty imposts lately, covering 2 of last 3 meetings. Those are among the few recent covers for Falcs, now 12-30 vs. line since Babers left before 2015 bowl game, and 3-16 vs. spread last 19 at Doyt-Perry. UT 6-1 last seven laying DD.
Toledo, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MICHIGAN at ILLINOIS...Harbaugh had dropped 7 straight vs. line before wins last two. Wolves just 1-6 vs. line last seven laying points away. Lovie 11-21 last 32 on board, also just 3-8 as DD dog since LY, and 8-15 vs. points at Champaign-Urbana since 2016.
Slight to Illinois, based on team trends.
 vs. 
LOUISVILLE at WAKE FOREST...Satterfield now 16-5-1 vs. line since late 2017 at App and ‘Ville (3-2 for Cards). Clawson covered all five vs. ‘Ville since Cards joined ACC in 2014. Deacs however just 3-8 vs. points last 11 as host (2-1 TY).
Slight to Louisville, based on Satterfield marks.
 vs. 
NAVY at TULSA...Mids 7-1 vs. spread last eight since late 2018. If dog here note Niumatalolo 20-11 in role as visitor since 2009. Mids have also won and covered all four vs. Tulsa since 2015.
Navy, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS (At Cotton Bowl, Dallas)...Teams split last season but Horns have covered last six reg season meetings. “Tom Herman as a dog” now 13-3 at UH and Texas since 2015 after LSU loss.
Texas, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
MEMPHIS at TEMPLE...Tigers were 1-5-1 as chalk away from Liberty Bowl entering this season before 2 wins and covers. If Temple a dog note 17-5 mark in role since 2015 (Rhule, Collins, and 1-0 for Rod Carey).
Temple, based on team trends.
 vs. 
NEBRASKA at MINNESOTA...Frost 0-3 vs. line in Big Ten TY after covering last seven in league play a year ago. These two have taken turns ripping another past two years, host winning and covering each.
Minnesota, based on series trends.
 vs. 
GEORGIA TECH at DUKE...Jackets 0-5 vs. line for Collins TY, no covers last eight since late 2018. Cutcliffe just 2-6 as Durham chalk since LY, but 4-1 SU and 5-0 vs. line last five in series.
Duke, based on series and team trends.
 vs. 
GEORGIA STATE at COASTAL CAROLINA...GSU 4-9-4 vs. spread since last season (four pushes...whew!). Coastal 3-2 vs. line first five TY for Chadwell.
Slight to Coastal Carolina, based on GS negatives.
 vs. 
MARYLAND at PURDUE...Brohm kind of struggling, 2-9 vs. line last eleven since late 2018.
Slight to Maryland, based on recent Purdue trends.
 vs. 
IOWA STATE at WEST VIRGINIA...Last three losses for ISU dating to bowl vs. WSU have been by 2, 1, and 2 points. Matt Campbell still 7-3 vs. spread last ten on Big 12 road. ISU 3-1 as road chalk since 2017.
Iowa State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
HAWAII at BOISE STATE...Rolovich only 5-9 vs. line last 14 on mainland but did blow out Nevada in last game. Boise on 9-3 spread uptick since late 2018. Broncos 18-36 last 54 as blue carpet chalk but have covered last two this season in role.
Slight to Hawaii, based on team trends.
 vs. 
BALL STATE at EASTERN MICHIGAN...Ball has covered first 3 away from Muncie TY and dropped first two vs. line as host. Cards were just 3-9 vs. line away last two seasons. Eagles 5-5-1 since 2017 vs. line at Ypsilanti. EMU has won and covered last three meetings.
Eastern Michigan, based on series trends.
 vs. 
OLD DOMINION at MARSHALL...Dog team 4-1 vs. line in ODU games and 6-1 last 7 dating to late 2018 against FBS-level foes. Herd has won and covered big in last 2 and 4 of last 5 in series, but Doc on 4-12 spread skid last 16 reg-season play.
Slight to ODU, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
NEW MEXICO STATE at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...McElwain has quietly covered last 4 and 5 of 6 this season. Chips 2-0 as home chalk TY after 1-5 mark in role past two years. Ags 3-7 last ten vs. spread as visiting dog.
Central Michigan, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
WASHINGTON STATE at ARIZONA STATE...No covers now four in a row for Leach, though he still is 13-6 last 19 as dog. Last year he was 4-0 SU and vs. line on Pac-12 road. Herm no covers first three at home in 2019, in fact road team 5-0 vs. line in ASU games TY.
Washington State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UTAH at OREGON STATE...Beavs have covered last four TY. Though 2-10-1 vs. points previous 13 in Pac-12 play, OSU 2-0 TY. OSU 1-6 as home dog since LY for Smith, however.
Slight to Utah, based on team trends.
 vs. 
WASHINGTON at ARIZONA...Huskies 7-2 last 9 overall vs. line. Sumlin 4-1 as Tucson dog since LY.
Slight to Washington, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
OLE MISS at MISSOURI...Matt Luke 3-0 vs. line in SEC play TY after dropping all nine vs. spread in league play LY. Rebs had dropped 7 straight as dog before slipping inside of huge number vs. Bama. Mizzou has won and covered last four TY.
Slight to Ole Miss, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
SOUTH CAROLINA at GEORGIA...Muschamp was 6-0 as visiting dog past two years prior to recent loss at Mizzou. Cocks have lost and failed to cover 3 of last 4 vs. Bulldogs. Kirby Smart 3-4 last seven laying 20+.
Slight to South Carolina, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MISSISSIPPI STATE at TENNESSEE...Pruitt just 6-11 vs. spread with Vols, and UT on 9-19 skid vs. line since 2017. Vols 4-14 vs. points last 17 at Knoxville. Moorhead 9-5 as chalk since taking over Bulldogs LY.
Slight to Miss State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
KENT STATE at AKRON...Nearby rivals! Akron in trouble for Arth, 0-5 SU and vs. line. Golden Flashes have covered last three meetings, though they haven’t beat Zips SU since 2014.
Kent State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
NORTHERN ILLINOIS at OHIO...Solich only 1-4 vs. line TY, but now he’s back in MAC, where he covered 5 of last 7 LY. Solich 0-2 as Peden chalk TY but was 8-3 in role 2017-18.
Slight to Solich and Ohio, based on extended trends.
 vs. 
ARKANSAS at KENTUCKY...Cats hurting, but back at home where they covered first three TY. Home team 5-0 vs. line in UK games to date. Stoops was 0-9 as Lexington chalk past two seasons but covered first two in role in 2019. Hogs no covers last six as visitor (0-5 for Morris).
Slight to Kentucky, based on team trends.
 vs. 
TEXAS TECH at BAYLOR...Red Raiders no covers last five away from Lubbock (0-2 for Matt Wells). Bears were only 1-5 as Waco chalk for Rhule past two years, 1-1 in role TY.
Slight to Baylor, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
MIAMI-OHIO at WESTERN MICHIGAN...Miami broke 4-game spread L streak in Buffalo win. RedHawks were 5-2 as dog LY. Broncos on 6-14 spread slide since late in 2017.
Slight to Miami-Ohio, based on team trends.
 vs. 
BYU at SOUTH FLORIDA...Bulls on 5-10 spread skid last 15 vs. FBS foes. Also no covers last six at Tampa vs. FBS foes. Cougs have dropped last two vs. spread but Sitake still on 15-8 spread uptick.
BYU, based on USF negatives.
 vs. 
CINCINNATI at HOUSTON...Cincy dropped last three vs. line on AAC road LY. If dog note Holgorsen 3-1 in role TY. Interestingly Holgorsen just 4-10-1 as dog at WVU past four years.
Slight to Houston, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UCONN at TULANE...Wave 5-1 vs. line last five since late LY, including 3-0 as host. Fritz now 4-2 as DD chalk with Wave. Edsall has covered a couple of games TY but Huskies still 4-12 last 15 vs. line.
Tulane, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UNLV at VANDERBILT...Rebs fading but note Sanchez now 5-0 vs. line as road dog vs. Power 5 since 2015. UNLV 15-7 as road dog for Sanchez. Vandy now on 6-game spread L streak since late LY.
UNLV, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MICHIGAN STATE at WISCONSIN...Dantonio just 4-5 as dog since 2017 but extended dog marks pretty good (21-10 since 2011). Badgers 3-1 as Madison chalk TY but note 1-6 mark in role LY.
Slight to Michigan State, based on extended trends.
 vs. 
FLORIDA at LSU...Dan Mullen 17-8 as dog with MSU and Fla since 2014. LSU 5-8 last 13 as Baton Rouge chalk.
Slight to Florida, based on team trends.
 vs. 
SAN JOSE STATE at NEVADA...Home team has covered last 4 and 6 of last 7 meetings. Spartans, however, on 7-2 spread surge last nine as road dog. Pack 2-5 vs. spread last seven reg-season.
Slight to SJSU, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
ALABAMA at TEXAS A&M... Saban only 3-4 vs. line against A&M since Ags entered SEC in 2012. Tide has dropped last two vs. line in series. Saban 3-5 vs. spread last 8 as SEC visitor. Jimbo covered 13 of first 16 with Ags but has dropped last 2 vs. line.
Slight to Texas A&M based on team trends.
 vs. 
MTSU at FAU...Lane Kiffin stirring a bit, though curiously the road team is 5-0 vs. line in Owl games TY. Kiffin was 5-1 as Boca Raton chalk in 2017 but 1-6-1 since. MTSU 2-5 last seven vs. line since late LY.
Slight to FAU, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UAB at UTSA... UTSA on 10-18 spread skid since 2017, 5-12 last 17 on board in C-USA. UAB 21-10-1 vs. line since 2017 (3-2 TY).
UAB, based on team trends.
 vs. 
NORTH TEXAS at SOUTHERN MISS...Seth Littrell 3-0 SU and vs. line against USM.
North Texas, based on series trends.
 vs. 
ARMY at WESTERN KENTUCKY...Tops 7-3-1 as dog since 2018. Army 7-1 vs. number last eight away from Michie.
Slight to Army, based on team trends.
 vs. 
CHARLOTTE at FIU...Butch Davis 1-4 vs. points to start 2019, though he was 15-6 previous 21 on board.
Slight to Charlotte, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
UMASS at LA TECH...Minutemen 1-7 last 8 as road dog Skip Holtz just 4-8 last 12 as Ruston chalk, 3-5 last 8 as DD chalk.
Slight to La Tech, based on team trends.
 vs. 
FRESNO STATE at AIR FORCE...Fresno 8-0-1 as dog for Tedford since 2017. Note Force just 4-14 vs. spread past nine years in game immediately after Army or Navy.
Fresno State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
USC at NOTRE DAME...Clay Helton 0-2 vs. line away TY, 2-7 last nine vs. spread away. Trojans on 10-22 spread skid since late 2016. SC 1-9 vs. spread last ten against non Pac-12. Irish have covered last three TY, and home side has covered last six in series.
Notre Dame, based on team trends.
 vs. 
FLORIDA STATE at CLEMSON...Dabo has now won last 4 SU in series and covered last 2. Dabo 4-1 vs. points last five as ACC host. FSU has covered last 3 after 4-10 spread slump.
Slight to Clemson, based on extended trends.
 vs. 
PENN STATE at IOWA...Home team 2-0-1 vs. line last three years in series. Ferentz on 14-5-1 spread uptick since late 2017.
Iowa, based on team trends.
 vs. 
WYOMING at SAN DIEGO STATE...Bohl 4-1 vs. line TY, on 9-1 spread run since late 2018. If getting points, note Bohl 16-9 last 25 as dog. Rocky no covers last five as MW host.
Wyoming, based on team trends.