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Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:56 PM

Tech Trends - Week 12

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NFL Trends - Week 11

Tuesday, Nov. 12
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
EASTERN MICHIGAN at AKRON...Akron in a bad way this season, 0-9 SU and vs. spread, now on 4-16 skid vs. spread at home since 2016. EMU 2-2-1 vs. line on road TY and just 3-3 last six as road chalk, but 18-6-1 vs. spread away from Ypsilanti since 2016.
Eastern Michigan, based on team trends.
 vs. 
WESTERN MICHIGAN at OHIO...Solich only 2-7 vs. line TY and now no covers last six at home. Though WMU 0-4 vs. spread away TY and 1-8 vs. spread last nine away from Waldo.
Slight to Western Michigan, based on team trends.
Wednesday, Nov. 13
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
BOWLING GREEN at MIAMI-OHIO...BG maintaining the roughly 33% vs. line for Loeffler (3-6 TY) that it had for the preceding Jinks/Pelini era (11-25 vs. spread 2016-18). Chuck Martin’s Miami again closing fast, now 20-7 vs. spread in last half of reg season since 2015 (3-0 TY). Road team however has covered last three meetings.
Miami-Ohio, based on team trends.
 vs. 
NORTHERN ILLINOIS at TOLEDO...NIU was 12-4 as visiting dog 2013-18, 2-2 TY in role for Hammock. Home team 2-0-1 vs. spread last three meetings. Note home teams are 7-1-1 vs. line in Toledo games TY (Rockets 3-1-1 at Glass Bowl vs. spread).
Slight to Toledo, based on team and recent series trends.
Thursday, Nov. 14
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
BUFFALO at KENT STATE...Buffalo surging with four spread Ws in a row and has won and covered last two in series.
Buffalo, based on team trends.
 vs. 
NORTH CAROLINA at PITT...Mack Brown 3-1 as dog TY, Heels 12-4-1 as dog since late 2017. Pitt 2-3 vs. spread at Heinz Field TY, Narduzzi 12-18-1 vs. spread as host since 2015. Heels 6-0 SU, 5-1 vs. line last six meetings.
UNC, based on team and series trends.
Friday, Nov. 15
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
LA TECH at MARSHALL...La Tech has won last 8 SU TY, 6-1 vs. spread last 7 in 2019. Skip 17-6-1 as dog since 2014 (1-1 TY). Herd 0-5 vs. spread at home TY, no covers last six as host.
La Tech, based on team trends.
 vs. 
FRESNO STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE...Tedford 23-11-3 vs. line with Fresno since 2017 (though 3-5-1 TY). Bulldogs 2-1 as road dog TY, 8-1 as dog away from home since 2017. Aztecs just 2-9 vs. line at home since LY. Dog team has covered last three in series.
Fresno State, based on team and series trends.
Saturday, Nov. 16
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
WEST VIRGINIA at KANSAS STATE...K-State 7-2 vs. line TY for Klieman, Cats 9-2 vs. spread since late 2018. Mounties 3-7-2 vs. points since late 2018.
Kansas State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
VIRGINIA TECH at GEORGIA TECH...Hokies stirring a bit with covers in four of last five TY. Jackets 2-6-1 vs. line in debut for Collins, 0-4 at home. Paul Johnson had covered last three in series for GT, however.
Virginia Tech, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
TULANE at TEMPLE...Wave on 6-1 spread uptick, 8-2 vs. points last 10 since late 2018. Though Owls 4-1 vs. spread at home TY.
Slight to Tulane, based on team trends.
 vs. 
INDIANA at PENN STATE...Hoosiers on 5-1 SU and spread uptick TY, covered last 4 as Big Ten road 'dog. James Franklin no covers last 3 at Happy Valley TY.
Indiana, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
CINCINNATI at SOUTH FLORIDA...Bearcats 3-1 as visiting chalk since LY, though USF has covered last four in series. USF just 3-9 vs. spread last 12 at Tampa after Temple loss.
Slight to Cincinnati, based on team trends.
 vs. 
SYRACUSE at DUKE...Cuse has sagged TY, no covers last five or 7 of last 8 in 2019. Though Cutcliffe just 7-9-1 as chalk since 2017.
Duke, based on recent ‘Cuse woes.
 vs. 
OHIO STATE at RUTGERS...Buckeyes on 8-game cover streak, ‘Gers 0-6 vs. spread in Big Ten TY. Bucks have won and covered all five in series since Scarlet Knights joined Big Ten, no margin less than 32. Last three years combined score 166-3! Last four years 215-10!
Ohio State, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
LOUISVILLE at NC STATE...’Ville only 2-4 vs. spread last six TY but Satterfield teams still 18-7-1 vs. line at App & with Cards since late 2017. Wolfpack on 1-7 spread skid TY.
Louisville, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MINNESOTA at IOWA...Floyd of Rosedale! Gophers on quite a roll, 11-0 SU since late 2018, covered last six in a row. Iowa however has won last four Floyds and 2-0-1 vs. line in those. Ferentz 7-4 as home chalk since LY and has won SU in last 8 Floyd fights at Iowa City.
Iowa, based on series trends.
 vs. 
WAKE FOREST at CLEMSON...Clawson 10-3 as road dog since 2016, 15-8-1 overall as dog since 2016. Wake has covered 4 of last 5 meetings (though Clemson won 63-3 LY). Dabo 6-1 vs. spread in ACC TY, 12-1-1 vs. line last 14 league games!
Slight to Wake Forest, based on extended series trends.
 vs. 
CENTRAL MICHIGAN at BALL STATE...McElwain 7-1 vs. spread last eight TY. Ball has covered 5 of last 6 after WMU result. But Cards just 3-6 vs. spread last nine at Muncie.
Central Michigan, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UL MONROE at GEORGIA SOUTHERN...ULM on 3-8 spread skid since late 2018 but has covered last three vs. Eagles (dating to 2014). Warhawks better lately on road however where they are 4-3 vs. line last seven. Eagles no covers last three Sun Belt games at home.
Slight to ULM, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
UMASS at NORTHWESTERN...UMass 1-9 vs. line TY and no covers five on road. Cats however no covers last six at Evanston and Pat Fitz no covers last eight as chalk.
Slight to Northwestern, based on UMass woes.
 vs. 
TROY at TEXAS STATE...Chip Lindsey just 3-6 vs. spread in Troy debut, though Spavital just 1-7-1 vs. spread in his TSU debut. Trojans have covered 3 of last 4 meetings (though not LY). Bobcats 1-5-1 vs. spread last seven as Belt host.
Slight to Troy, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
NEW MEXICO at BOISE STATE...Davie has had some success vs. Boise, covering 5 of last 7 meetings including last three on blue carpet. Though Lobos only 10-24 last 34 vs. line since late 2016. Broncos 19-37 as blue carpet chalk since late 2010.
Slight to New Mexico, based on extended series trends.
 vs. 
UCLA at UTAH...Bruins rallying with wins and covers in last three TY. Utes however have won and covered last five in 2019 and have won and covered last three in series.
Slight to Utah, based on recent series trends.
 vs. 
AIR FORCE at COLORADO STATE...Rams rallying with covers last three and five of last six TY. Dog team has covered last five meetings.
Slight to Colorado State, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
WYOMING at UTAH STATE...Bohl on 11-3 spread uptick, 5-1 last six vs. line away. Wyo has covered last three in series. Utags 2-4 vs. spread last six TY.
Wyoming, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
APP STATE at GEORGIA STATE...App 6-3 vs. line TY and 19-6-1 since late 2017 vs. spread. App 5-2 vs. spread last 7 on Belt road. GSU 3-0-1 as dog TY. Road team 3-0-1 vs. line last four meetings.
Slight to App State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
NAVY at NOTRE DAME...Navy on 10-2 spread uptick, still an outside shot at New Year’s Six. Mids 4-1 last five as dog and 6-3-1 in role since LY. Navy has covered last three in series and have covered 12 of last 14 at South Bend.
Navy, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
ARIZONA STATE at OREGON STATE...Herm only 3-8 vs. spread last 11 since late 2018. Though Sun Devils have won and covered last two meetings. Beavs 6-2 vs. spread last 8 TY after U-Dub loss.
Slight to Oregon State, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
USC at CAL...Bears snapped 14-game SU losing streak to SC in LY’s 15-14 win at Coliseum. Underdog team 8-1 vs. line in Cal games TY, 12-2-1 last 15 since late LY.
Slight to California, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
ARIZONA at OREGON...Cats 3-1 SU and vs. line last four reg season meetings (though Ducks won 2014 Pac-12 title game). But Sumlin no covers last four and 7 of 9 TY (2-3 as dog). Webfoots only 2-3 vs. spread at Autzen TY and 5-7 last 12 vs. spread at home.
Slight to Oregon, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
COASTAL CAROLINA at ARKANSAS STATE...Coastal 3-1 vs. line away TY though just 5-4 vs. spread. ASU 4-1 vs. points last five as Belt host. Red Wolves big wins and covers vs. Chants past two years.
Arkansas State, based on series trends.
 vs. 
UTEP at UAB...UTEP 6-3 vs. spread last 9 on road. Blazers 11-1-1 vs. points at Legion Field vs. FBS foes since returning in 2017.
UAB, based on team trends.
 vs. 
GEORGIA at AUBURN...Kirby Smart 3-0 vs. line away TY, 6-0 last six vs. spread reg season away from Athens (counts LY’s SEC title game). Kirby has also won and covered last two vs. Malzahn and Dawgs 5-1 SU and vs. line last six meetings. Malzahn however is 8-2 vs. line last 10 since late 2018 and has covered both as a dog TY.
Slight to Georgia, based on series trends.
 vs. 
UL-LAFAYETTE at SOUTH ALABAMA...Ragin’ Cajuns keep rollin’, now 8-1 vs. line TY after Coastal romp, 16-2-2 vs. spread last 20 reg season games for Billy Napier. USA a bit better lately with covers in 4 of last 5.
ULL, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
KANSAS at OKLAHOMA STATE...Gundy had crucified KU three meetings previous to LY when OSU did not cover huge price in 55-40 win. Les Miles 2-1 as road dog Ty and 3-1 last four vs. spread. Gundy on 8-2 spread uptick since late LY and 10-4-1 last 15 as DD chalk.
Slight to Oklahoma State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
TEXAS at IOWA STATE... Tom Herman 14-4 as dog since 2015 at Houston & UT. ISU only 3-6 as home chalk since LY, and Matt Campbell 0-3 vs. line against Horns.
Texas, based on team trends.
 vs. 
TCU at TEXAS TECH...Tech has covered 3 of last 4 meetings, and Red Raiders 7-3 vs. spread last 10 at Lubbock (3-1 TY). Patterson 0-3 vs. line on Big 12 road TY, 1-6 last seven in role.
Texas Tech, based on team trends.
 vs. 
OKLAHOMA at BAYLOR...OU 0-3-1 vs. spread last four as Big 12 visitor. Sooners have covered 3 of last 4 meetings vs. Bears, though Rhule 9-2 last 11 as dog.
Slight to Baylor, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MEMPHIS at HOUSTON...Memphis 1-3 vs. line last four TY, no covers last three on American road. UH has covers as DD dog its last two TY but Tigers have covered last four meetings.
Slight to Memphis, based on series trends.
 vs. 
KENTUCKY at VANDERBILT...Derek Mason on 1-9 spread skid since late 2018, 3-8 vs. line last 11 as SEC host. Stoops has won last thee SU vs. Dores and 7-4 vs. line last eleven since late LY.
Kentucky, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN STATE...Dantonio no covers last five or 6 of last 7 TY, 2-10 last 12 vs. spread in reg season. MSU 0-3 as dog TY and just 4-7 in formerly-good role since 2017, but Dantonio 10-1 vs. spread last 11 in series. Harbaugh has covered 5 of last 6 TY.
Slight to Michigan State, based on extended series trends.
 vs. 
FLORIDA at MISSOURI...Dan Mullen on 9-4 spread uptick since late 2018. He’s 15-8 vs. spread with Gators since LY, 4-2 vs. spread as SEC visitor. Mizzou no covers last four TY but has won and covered big last two in series.
Slight to Florida, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
HAWAII at UNLV...Sanchez 6-11 vs. spread since late 2016 at Sam Boyd. Rolovich has covered 3 of last 4 as MW visitor.
Hawaii, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
RICE at MTSU... Owls no covers last 4 or 6 of last 8 TY. Rice was 6-2 as road dog for Bloomgren before dropping last two in role. MTSU 7-2 last 9 as C-USA host.
Slight to MTSU, based on team trends.
 vs. 
SOUTHERN MISS at UTSA...Roadrunners 2-11 vs. line last 13 at Alamodome vs. FBS foes.
Southern Miss, based on team trends.
 vs. 
ALABAMA at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Moorhead 3-7 vs. line since late 2018. MSU 0-3 as dog TY and 1-6 in role since Moorhead arrived LY. Saban 4-1 last 5 vs. line as SEC visitor, 1-3 vs. line after last 4 SU losses.
Alabama, based on team trends.
 vs. 
WISCONSIN at NEBRASKA...Huskers no covers last six TY, 1-8 overall vs. line. Paul Chryst 12-4 as visiting chalk with Badgers since '15, and Badgers have beaten Huskers 6 in a row SU (4-2 vs. line).
Wisconsin, based on recent and series trends.
 vs. 
LSU at OLE MISS...Tigers have covered 2 of last 3 after facing Bama. LSU has covered last five away from Baton Rouge and Coach O 3-0 SU and vs. line against Rebs. Ole Miss 5-1 vs. line L6 TY.
Slight to LSU, based on series trends.
 vs. 
STANFORD at WASHINGTON STATE... Tree no covers last five away from Farm, and 2-3 as dog since LY after Shaw 12-4-1 previously in role. Leach has won last 3 and covered last 4 meetings.
Washington State, based on team and series trends.
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