Tech Trends – Week 2

Don't miss out on expert College Football selections from Bruce Marshall this season on Click to win!

Week 2 of the College Football season kicks off on Friday, September 10 and concludes on Saturday, September 11.

We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS squads.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS), Over-Under (O/U)

Friday, Sep. 10


  • Lance Leipold now at KU, after he closed Buffalo career on 30-14-2 spread uptick.
  • Leipold 8-3-1 as dog with Bulls across same span.
  • Though KU off 1-7-1 spread mark for Miles LY, 6-14-2 past two seasons, and failed to cover South Dakota opener for Leipold.
  • Coastal has won and covered vs. Jayhawks past two years and 8-3 vs. spread in breakout 2020.

Tech Edge: Slight to Coastal, based on team trends.

UTEP at BOISE STATE (FS1, 9:30 p.m.)

  • Boise entered 2021 on 6-10 spread downturn, though 7-2 last nine vs. line on blue carpet in turnaround from previous spread pattern.
  • All Harsin numbers; now Avalos. Broncos did slip inside spread at UCF in opener.
  • Dimel has covered 6 of last 9 for UTEP since LY as modest turnaround could be underway.

Tech Edge: Slight to UTEP, based on team trends.

Saturday, Sep. 11


  • Illini closed Lovie era covered 5 of last 11 away; Bielema teams 21-14-2 as dog since 2014 (Ark & Ill).
  • Bronco Mendenhall entered 2021 on 10-4 spread uptick, and “over” 19-9 its last 28 games, prior to opening romp past William & Mary.
  • Cavs now on 8-1 spread uptick at Charlottesville.

Tech Edge: Virginia and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


  • Army 7-2-1 vs. line last 10 at Michie Stadium for Monken, 5-1 last six as chalk.
  • WKU sagged to 3-8 vs. line LY (started season 0-6-1 vs. spread), just 3-9-1 vs. points since late 2019.
  • Though Tops did win and cover at home vs. Army in 2019 (17-8), when WKU was briefly on a surge.

Tech Edge: Army, based on team trends.

OREGON at OHIO STATE (FOX, 12:00 p.m.)

  • Ducks 3-2 in rare dog roles the past two+ years for Cristobal, but just 6-13-1 as dog dating to the end of the Helfrich era in 2016.
  • Interestingly, Buckeyes didn’t cover last 3 at home a year ago after Ryan Day was 6-2 vs. spread previous 8 at Big Horseshoe.
  • Day only 3-3 vs. spread outside of Big Ten since 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Ohio State, based on team trends.

TULSA at OKLAHOMA STATE (FS1, 12:00 p.m.)

  • These teams did play one of the handful of non-conf games in 2020 with OSU winning 16-7 but failing to cover.
  • Cowboys had won and covered handily in previous meetings 2017 & 19.
  • Gundy however only 2-4 last six as Stillwater chalk.
  • Tulsa entered 2021 at 11-3 vs. spread last 14 in regular season, before losing opener to UC Davis, though still 7-1 last 8 as reg season dog.

Tech Edge: Tulsa, based on team trends.


  • Fleck entered 2021 on 13-7-2 spread uptick with covers in 5 of last 6 as chalk, and covered as a dog in spirited Gophers effort vs. Ohio State in last week's 2021 opener.
  • Fleck also 7-2-1 vs. spread with Gophers vs. FBS-level non-Big Ten entering 2021.
  • Meanwhile after yet another loss (a 15th in a row!) vs. nearby rival Cincinnati last week, the RedHawks have now dropped 12 of their last 13 spread decisions against non-conference foes.

Tech Edge: Minnesota, based on team trends.


  • ”Johnny Majors Bowl.” Note Heupel was 1-1 SU and vs. line vs. Pitt and Narduzzi while at UCF.
  • Heupel entered 2021 on 4-10 spread skid to close his era with Knights, and narrow miss of cover in last week's opener vs. BGSU.
  • Panthers on 10-4 spread run as visitor since mid 2018.
  • Vols entered 2021 on 3-8 spread skid, all Pruitt.

Tech Edge: Slight to Pitt, based on team trends.


  • SC closed the Muschamp/Bobo era by losing and failing to cover its last six games before routing FCS Eastern Illinois in last week's opener.
  • Gamecocks also dropped last five vs. spread against BCS-level non-SEC foes (2018-19).
  • If ECU is a dog note 9-5 mark last 15 in role for Pirates, including opening loss to App State in Charlotte.

Tech Edge: Slight to ECU, based on team trends.


  • First shot for USF at Gators since 2010 (Florida won and covered 38-14 at Gainesville) and first time hosting UF in Tampa.
  • Bulls have actually lost 13 of last 14 outright since late in 2019, and 5-8 last 13 as DD dog.
  • Dan Mullen only covered 1 of last 6 in 2021 though he was 6-1 vs. spread in reg season against non-SEC in 2018-19, and 8-5 laying DD the past two seasons.
  • Gators lost cover in final minute vs. FAU in last week's 2021 opener.

Tech Edge: Florida, based on extended trends.


  • Prior to last week's narrow Wyo escape vs. Montana State, Bohl entered 2021 on 16-8 spread uptick, though only 1-3 vs. line outside of Laramie in 2020.
  • Hammack only 6-13 SU since taking over NIU in 2019, but is off of rousing win at Georgia Tech in 2021 opener last week.

Tech Edge: Slight to Wyoming, based on extended trends.


  • Schiano improved Scarlet Knights to 5-4 vs. line a season ago after 4-8 mark in 2019, all before romp past Temple in last week's 2021 opener.
  • Still rare chalk for Rutgers, 1-1 in role since last year, and 5-3 since 2016.
  • Last meeting vs. Cuse in 2012 as these were old Big East rivals.
  • Babers on 4-15 SU skid since mid 2019 after win at Ohio in opener, and 4-5 last 9 as Carrier Dome dog.

Tech Edge: Rutgers, based on recent trends.


  • Blue Raiders have covered 6 of last 8 on road and 8 of last 11 as dog.
  • Justin Fuente entered 2021 on 4-9 spread skid prior to UNC upset, also 4-7 last 11 as chalk.

Tech Edge: Kentucky, based on ULM woes.

TOLEDO at NOTRE DAME (Peacock, 2:30 p.m.)

  • The Rocket Men did not play outside of MAC in truncated 2020 slate, covering 3 of 6 after 0-6-1 spread skid down stretch in 2019.
  • Toledo 2-8 vs. line last 10 vs. non-MAC BCS level foes.
  • Note Brian Kelly just 1-4 laying DD at South Bend last season, though was 5-2 as home chalk in 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Notre Dame, based on team trends.

PURDUE at UCONN (CBSSN, 3:00 p.m.)

  • UConn back for more punishment! Picking up where it left off when last seen in 2019, Huskies now 3-28 SU last 31, and Edsall now 7-19 vs. line since 2018.
  • Huskies 4-6 as Rentsch dog 2018-19.
  • Purdue closed 2020 dropping last 5 vs. number, but covered 8 of 9 prior, as Brohm continues his streaky pointspread pattern.
  • Brohm was 0-4 as chalk in 2020 and just 1-7 last 8 laying points, but did win and cover 2021 opener last week vs. Oregon State.

Tech Edge: Slight to Purdue, based on team trends.


  • Hafley 6-5 SU and vs. line in BC debut LY, though failed to cover both as DD chalk, and Eagles actually 0-4 in role since 2019.
  • Though Eagles have won and covered vs. Minutemen in 2016 & 2018 and are 14-7 vs. spread reg season away from Chestnut Hill since early 2017.
  • Walt Bell is 1-16 SU for UMass entering 2021 and just 4-12-1 vs. line, hasn’t been closer than 21 in any of those 16 losses!

Tech Edge: BC, based on UMass negatives.

TEXAS A&M vs. COLORADO in Denver (FOX, 3:30 p.m.)

  • Jimbo Fisher is 9-1 vs. line against non-SEC foes since arriving at A&M in 2018. Also 12-6 vs. spread away from College Station.
  • Karl Dorrell surprised for a bit in 2020 when CU won and covered first four games, though Buffs just 14-21 vs. spread prior.
  • CU did cover five straight as Boulder dog before loss to Utah last December 12.

Tech Edge: Texas A&M, based on team trends.

AIR FORCE at NAVY (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)

  • Home team has won 8 in a row in this Commander-in-Chief rivalry, and covered 7 of those 8. Force won big 40-6 LY in Colorado.
  • Mids were 5-1 vs. line at Annapolis in their big 2019 campaign though just 2-4 as host since LY after heavy loss to Marshall in opener.

Tech Edge: Navy, based on series trends.

TEMPLE at AKRON (ESPN+, 3:30 p.m.)

  • Temple 4-7 vs. line away for Carey since, 1-3 as DD chalk vs. FBS foes. (That’s a stretch referring to Akron!)
  • Entering 2021, Zips 3-16 vs. spread since 2019 for Arth, now 3-17 at Auburn blowout loss last week.
  • Akron 1-8 SU and vs. line as host for Arth, 2-12 as DD dog.

Tech Edge: Temple, based on Akron negatives.

CALIFORNIA at TCU (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m.)

  • 2018 Cheez-it-Bowl rematch from 10-7 TCU win.
  • Even in compromised 2020 campaign, Cal covered both as dog, now 7-2 for Wilcox in role since 2019, 18-7 in dog role since 2017.
  • Patterson covered 5 of last 6 in 2020 and was 4-1 as chalk last season, though Frogs were 5-15-1 as home chalk from 2015-19.

Tech Edge: Cal, based on team trends..

BALL STATE at PENN STATE (FS1, 3:30 p.m.)

  • Ball State off of big 7-1 SU mark LY and a bowl win, also covered last five games.
  • Cards 4-0 as dog LY, and have covered 8 straight getting points!
  • James Franklin 9-4 vs. spread last 13 vs. non-Big Ten, though just 13-13 as DD chalk since 2017.

Tech Edge: Slight to Ball State, based on team trends.

BUFFALO at NEBRASKA (BTN, 3:30 p.m.)

  • Under Leipold prior to this year, Bulls were 8-3-1 as dog from 2017 (not a dog in 2020).
  • Leipold was also 30-14-2 vs. spread the past four seasons.
  • Scott Frost on 8-14 spread skid for Huskers, 2-9 last 11 as chalk, also 1-5 vs. points last 6 vs. non-Big Ten.

Tech Edge: Buffalo, based on team trends.

UAB at GEORGIA (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)

  • UAB only 1-2 as dog in disheveled 2020, and did not cover getting points in 2019 (0-3), but was 9-4 as dog 2018-19 for Bill Clark.
  • Note however, in the one step-up game vs. Power 5 schools since returning to the field in 2017, UAB is 0-4 SU and vs. line.
  • Kirby Smart just 3-5 last 8 laying DD at Athens.

Tech Edge: Slight to Georgia, based on team trends.


  • Taggart only covered 1 of last 6 on board in 2020 for FAU prior to late cover in last week's 2021 opener at Florida, and Owls 1-3 vs. spread at Boca Raton in 2020.
  • GSU 8-4 vs. spread against FBS-level foes LY.
  • This game was originally postponed in 2020 (Sept. 19) before the teams reconvened late in the season (December 5) when GSU won 20-3 at Statesboro.

Tech Edge: GSU, based on team trends.


  • Note that USA 4-1 vs. line away vs. last five non-Belt foes.
  • Entering 2021, BGSU awful 4-13 vs. line the past two seasons for Loeffler though was a bit better 4-4 vs. line at Doyt Perry that span (more problems on road).
  • Falcs did slip within huge impost in opener at Tennessee.

Tech Edge: USA, based on team trends.

IOWA at IOWA STATE (ABC, 4:30 p.m.)

  • Matt Campbell 0-4 SU, 0-3-1 vs. line against Kirk Ferentz.
  • Cyclones just 6-7 vs. spread last 12 as host.
  • Iowa 8-1 vs. line last nine vs. non-Big 10, 7-5 last 12 as dog.

Tech Edge: Iowa, based on team and series trends.

HOUSTON at RICE (CBSSN, 6:30 p.m.)

  • Intra-city first meeting since 2018. UH has won SU last five meetings, last Rice SU win in 2010, though owls covered in 2018.
  • Holgorsen yet to mark a mark with Cougs, just 7-14 SU and 3-5 as chalk.
  • Bloomgren has covered 6 of last 9 for Rice since late 2019, entered 2021 on 14-9 spread uptick, and 12-7 last 19 as dog.

Tech Edge: Rice, based on team trends.

NEW MEXICO STATE at NEW MEXICO (Stadium, 7:00 p.m.)

  • NMSU has split pair vs. line already in 2021, now 9-17 vs. spread since Arizona Bowl win over Utah State at end of 2017, 5-10 vs. spread last 15 as visitor.
  • Note road team has covered last 3 and is 4-1-1 vs. spread last six in series vs. Lobos.
  • New Mexico covered 4 of 6 playing all games outside of Albuquerque in 2020.

Tech Edge: New Mexico, based on NMSU negatives.


  • App was only 4-9 vs. line since last season for Clark after good spread marks prior such as 18-8-1 from 2018-19.
  • Mounties 6-2 as dog since 2017.
  • Canes just 7-13 as home chalk since early 2017.

Tech Edge: App State, based on extended trends.

TEXAS STATE at FIU (ESPN+, 7:00 p.m.)

  • TSU entered 2020 on 9-5 spread uptick, 3-1 vs. line away lY, if dog here note 8-4 spread mark last 12 getting points.
  • Bobcats covered 2021 opener vs. Baylor last Saturday.
  • FIU really had a mess last season with distractions, but Butch Davis nonetheless enters 2021 on a 5-13 spread skid, and no covers last five as host.

Tech Edge: Slight to Texas State, based on recent trends.


  • Wolfpack 8-4 vs. spread in 2020, and Doeren 5-2 as dog after dropping last 6 and 10 of last 11 vs. number in 2019.
  • Leach entered 2021 just 9-17 last 26 vs. spread, though did cover 4 of last 5 a year ago.
  • MSU just 1-4 vs. spread in Starkville last season, 2-8 last 10 vs. line as host.

Tech Edge: NCST, based on recent trends.


  • EMU 26-7-1 as dog since 2016, 21-3-1 as road dog!
  • After Penn State loss, Badgers just 1-5 vs. spread last six at Madison, and Paul Chryst just 12-16 vs. points last 28 on board.

Tech Edge: EMU, based on team trends.

NORTH TEXAS at SMU (ESPN+, 7:00 p.m.)

  • Metroplex war! SMU has won and covered last 3 and 5 of last 6 in series.
  • UNT entered 2021 on 8-23 spread skid dating to early 2018.
  • Entering 2021, Sonny Dykes on 7-3 spread uptick at home.

Tech Edge: SMU, based on team trends.

LIBERTY at TROY (ESPN+, 7:00 p.m.)

  • Entering 2021, Hugh Freeze 17-7 vs. line at Liberty, sort of mirroring his first two years at Ole Miss when 17-9 vs. number.
  • Flames have covered last 6 and 8 of last 9 away from Lynchburg, and also covered 2021 opener last week vs. Campbell.
  • Troy 9-14 vs. line past two years for Chip Lindsey, 4-7 vs. line at home, 3-6 as dog.

Tech Edge: Liberty, based on team trends.


  • Memphis 4-8 vs. line for Silverfield, also on 6-12 spread slump since mid 2019.
  • Tigers 0-5 vs. spread away from Liberty Bowl for Silverfield.
  • Red Wolves have covered last four vs. non-Belt, 6-3 last 9 as dog (all Blake Anderson numbers; now Butch Jones).

Tech Edge: Arkansas State, based on team trends.

TEXAS at ARKANSAS (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)

  • Former most bitter of rivals have only met five times since Hogs bolted for SEC in 1992, two of those in bowls.
  • Looking forward, this rivalry likely renews almost annually when Horns move to SEC.
  • Porkers covered first 6 LY and 7 of 10 for Pittman, a dog in each of those games.
  • Texas closed the Tom Herman era covering just 4 of last 9 away from Austin.

Tech Edge: Slight to Arkansas, based on team trends.


  • Dog team has covered last five in series.
  • Mizzou 4-3 as dog in Drinkwitz debut LY, Mark Stoops 7-3 last 10 as home chalk.
  • Mizzou had dropped previous 7 vs. line at end of Barry Odom era prior to 2020.

Tech Edge: Slight to Mizzou, based on series road trends.


  • Panthers covered last 4 in positive 2020 that also included 7-3 spread mark and 6-2 as dog.
  • Prior to VPI loss in opener, Mack Brown dropped 4 of last 5 vs. line LY with Heels, he’s 6-5-1 vs. line at Chapel Hill since second tour of duty began in 2019.
  • UNC also 1-4 as DD chalk in 2020 after covering all four chances in role the preceding 2019.

Tech Edge: Georgia State, based on team trends.


  • Not much info on Jimmy Lake’s U-Dub, which only played four times in 2020 (3-1 SU, 1-3 vs. line) prior to shock opening loss to Montana last week.
  • Chris Petersen was also just 2-5 as dog his last four seasons previous with Huskies.
  • Harbaugh entered 2021 having dropped 7 of last 8 vs. line and 8-15 vs. number last 23 on board, though successful in last week's opener vs. WMU.
  • Wolverines no covers four of last five at Big House.

Tech Edge: Washington, based on team trends.


  • Vandy entered 2021 just 7-15 its previous 22 vs. line (all Derek Mason), 1-4 last 5 vs. line non-SEC, all before Clark Lea's debut loss to ETSU.
  • CSU 2-6 vs. line last eight vs. non-MW after opening loss to SDSU, 2021 but had covered 6 of last 8 at Fort Collins (1-0 for Addazio LY).

Tech Edge: BYU, based on team trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE at ARIZONA (Pac-12, 10:00 p.m.)

  • Brady Hoke 4-2 as chalk in his return to Aztec sidelines LY, though failed to cover 2021 opener vs. NMSU.
  • SDSU also entered 2021 “under” 23-8 last 31 (now 24-8 last 32).
  • Cats really faded last year for Sumlin, 0-5 SU in abbreviated Pac-12 slate and no covers last four, and 2-10 last 12 on board, though did fight back to cover opener vs. BYU.

Tech Edge: Nevada, based on team trends.

UTAH at BYU (ESPN, 10:00 p.m.)

  • Utes have won the last nine meetings and 6-2 vs. spread last 8 vs. BYU.
  • Cougs 8-3 as dog since 2018, 16-9-1 as dog since 2016, though hasn’t helped much vs. Utes.

Tech Edge: Utah, based on series trends.

UNLV at ARIZONA STATE (ESPN2, 10:30 p.m.)

  • Rebs scored big upset their last trip to ASU in 2008.
  • UNLV was 6-0 vs. line on road vs. Power 5 schools in Tony Sanchez era but Marcus Arroyo 0-7 SU, 1-4-2 vs. spread since LY.
  • Herm Edwards no covers last seven as home chalk at Tempe.

Tech Edge: UNLV, based on team trends.

STANFORD at USC (FOX, 10:30 p.m.)

  • Home team has won and covered last four in series.
  • David Shaw was on a 3-12 spread skid before covering his last three games of an exciting yet reduced 2020 schedule, then dropped 2021 opener vs. K-State.
  • Shaw was 1-5 as dog in 2019 but 2-1 in role LY. Shaw was 13-5 as dog from 2011-18.
  • Note SC just 9-14 last 23 as chalk for Helton.

Tech Edge: Slight to SC, based on series home trends.

HAWAII at OREGON STATE (FS1, 11:00 p.m.)

  • Beavs only 6-11 vs. line at home for Jonathan Smith compared to 11-3 on road! Also 13-7 vs. spread last two years.
  • Hawaii “under” 8-2 since Todd Graham arrived LY.

Tech Edge: Slight to OSU and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.