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Tech Trends - Week 3



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Week 3 of the College Football season kicks off on Thursday, September 16 and concludes on Saturday, September 19.

We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS squads.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS), Over-Under (O/U)

Thursday, Sep. 16

OHIO at LOUISIANA (ESPN, 8:00 p.m.)

  • Bobcats now 0-2 post-Solich, but have been slipping a bit lately (6-11 vs.line since 2019).
  • Ohio, however, was 14-5 its last 19 as a dog for Solich.
  • Cajuns won at Athens in 2019 but Napier has cooled a bit vs. sporead, only 5-10 last 15 on board since late 2019.

Tech Edge: Louisiana based on team trends.

Friday, Sep. 17

UCF at LOUISVILLE (ESPN, 7:30 p.m.)

  • Knights no cover for Gus in opener, and excluding Bethune-Cookman result, now 6-15 vs spread back to early 2019.
  • Satterfield 2-5 last seven as dog after quick start in role for Cards, and even after a couple of unders to open 2021, 'Ville is on 12-5 over run since mid 2019

Tech Edge: Over based on total trends.

MARYLAND at ILLINOIS (FS1, 9:00 p.m.)

  • Terps have broken 2-0 from gate but not 2-5 spread mark last seven on Big Ten road.
  • Maryland 5-9 vs spread last 14 in Big Ten
  • Bielema one win SU and vs. line in new gig, though Illinois did cover five of last eight as Big Ten host for Lovie Smith.

Tech Edge: Illinois based on team trends.

Saturday, Sep. 18

COASTAL CAROLINA at BUFFALO (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m.)

  • Chants now on 14-5 spread uptick after romps past Citadel and Kansas
  • CC now 6-03-1 last 10 overall as chalk
  • Linguist 1-1 with Bulls after Leipold fashioned 30-14-2 spread mark preceding four years, 8-3-1 as dog since 2017.

Tech Edge: Coastal Carolina based on team trends.

UCONN at ARMY (CBSSN, 12:00 p.m.)

  • Edsall out and Lou Spanos in for UConn, 7-20 vs. line since 2019, 2-10 last road dog.
  • Army 4-1 vs. line last five on board, 8-5 vs. spread since last season, 4-2 vs. spread last six vs. FBS foes at West Point.

Tech Edge: Army based on negative UConn trends.

NEBRASKA at OKLAHOMA (FOX, 12:00 p.m.)

  • Scott Frost 8-14 vs. spread last 21 vs. FBS does, 4-7 vs spread last 11 as vistor, 5-5 as dog since 2019.
  • Sooners closed 2020 8-0 SU and 7-1 vs. line before close call vs. Tulane in opener, but bounced back big vs. WCU

Tech Edge: Oklahoma based on team trends.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at MICHIGAN (BTN, 12:00 p.m.)

  • Huskies now 7-3 as road dog for Hammock
  • Harbaugh has won and covered first two games from gate in 2021, but was just 1-7 vs. line previous eight.
  • Wolverines also 1-6 last seven vs. liine vs. non-Big Ten prior to WMU and Washington wins.

Tech Edge: Northern Illinois based on team trends.

CINCINNATI at INDIANA (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)

  • Bearcats have covered five of last six away from homr, and 9-4 vs. spread last 13 outside of AAC.
  • After covering eight in row into the bowl game vs. Ole Miss, Indiana lost and failed to cover two straight prior to Idaho win.
  • Hoosiers have coverd seven of last eight at home and eight of last 10 as dog.

Tech Edge: Cincinnati based on team trends.

VIRGINIA TECH at WEST VIRGINIA (FS1, 12:00 p.m.)

  • VA Tech is 2-0 at home for Fuente, but struggled lately as visitor, just 4-7 vs. line last 11 in role.
  • 1-6 vs. spread in last seven vs. non-ACC in regular season.
  • WVU 4-0-1 vs. line at home LY

Tech Edge: West Virginia based on team trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at TEMPLE (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m.)

  • Most recent meeting in 2018, BC won 45-35 but no cover for Eagles.
  • Hafley now 3-2 as chalk for BC since LY, Addazio was 9-4 vs. spread his last 13 as visitor through 2019
  • Owls struggling for Carey, now 3-7 in last 10 on board if counting last week's Akron win, didn't cover any of three at Linc LY.

Tech Edge: Boston College based on team trends.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at PITTSBURGH (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m.)

  • Broncos now 3-7 spread in last 10 as visitor.
  • WMU is 2-9-1 last 12 as dog.
  • Pittsburgh just 4-5-1 last 10 as host.

Tech Edge: Pittsburgh based on team trends

MICHIGAN STATE at MIAMI-FLORIDA (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)

  • Tucker just 2-5 SU and vs. line with MSU last season but did win and cover opener at NIU.
  • Richt and Manny Diaz are combined 7-14 last 21 as home chalk for Canes.

Tech Edge: Michigan State based on team trends.

NEW MEXICO at TEXAS A&M (SECN, 12:00 p.m.)

  • Lobos 2-7 vs. line last nine on road.
  • Fisher 10-3 vs. spread in non-SEC games with Aggies.

Tech Edge: Texas A&M based on team trends.

MINNESOTA at COLORADO (Pac-12, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Fleck entered this season covering five of last six as chalk, before falling short last week vs. Miami-Ohio, and has dropped just eight of last 24 spread decisions.
  • Gophers 5-2 last seven and 6-2-1 vs. spread last nine road games.
  • Buffaloes got cover last week vs Texas A&M but dropped three straight vs line for Dorrell after winning and covering first four in 2020.

Tech Edge: Minnesota based on team trends.

PURDUE at NOTRE DAME (Peacock, 2:30 p.m.)

  • Former annual rivalry resumes after series on hiatus since 2014.
  • Brohm has been very streaky with Riveters but is 11-3 in last 14 as dog, and note he's opened 2021 with a pair of wins and spread covers.
  • Irish just 1-5 as South Bend chalk LY.

Tech Edge: Purdue based on team trends.

NEVADA at KANSAS STATE (ESPN+, 2:00 p.m.)

  • Norvell has covered four straight and six of last seven as dog for Nevada.
  • Klieman is 8-5 vs. spread at home for K-State since 2019, also 4-3 vs. non-Big 12.

Tech Edge: Nevada based on team trends.

USC at WASHINGTON STATE (FOX, 3:30 p.m.)

  • Helton's Trojans 6-13 vs. spread last 19 laying double digits, 14-23 last 37 as chalk, though did thrash Wazzu 38-13 a year ago.
  • USC overall just 15-16 last 31 on board.
  • Cougs just 1-5 vs. line for Rolovich since last season and just 4-14 overall vs. spread last 18 on board.

Tech Edge: USC based on team trends.

BAYLOR at KANSAS (ESPN+, 3:30 p.m.)

  • Bears 4-6 vs. line for Aranda, 2-3 as chalk, and covered vs Les Miles' KU LY.
  • Baylor has won 11 straight in series though KU covered as recently as 2018.
  • Leipold yet to cover in two games for KU but did get SU win vs. South Dakota.
  • He was 30-14-2 vs. line past four years with Buffalo, 8-3-1 that span as a dog.

Tech Edge: Kansas based on Leipold trends.

TULSA at OHIO STATE (FS1, 3:30 p.m.)

  • Philip Montgomery 5-0 as dog in regular season since LY, Golden Hurricanes 8-1 last nine dog in regular season.
  • Also 9-2 last 11 as double-digit dog.
  • Ryan Day only 4-7 last 11 vs. line for Buckeyes, 1-3 laying point at Horseshoe since LY.

Tech Edge: Tulsa based on team trends.

KENT STATE at IOWA (BTN, 3:30 p.m.)

  • Kent State was 6-1 in last seven as dog entering 2021 before loss to Texas A&M.
  • Ferentz 8-4 vs. line last 12 in Iowa City, also 9-1 in last 10 vs. line against non-Big Ten foes.

Tech Edge: Iowa based on team trends.

FSU at WAKE FOREST (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)

  • Noles only 6-11 last 17 as chalk since early 2018, Norvell 1-3 in role.
  • FSU 1-5 vs. line last six as ACC vistor.
  • Clawson had covered eight straight at home with Deacs (count ODU as W) before narrow spread L vs. Norfolk State.

Tech Edge: Wake Forest based on team trends

GEORGIA TECH at CLEMSON (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)

  • Dabo destroys Georgia Tech last two season by 125-21.
  • Clemson has won last six (5-0-1 vs. line) vs. Georgia Tech.
  • Collins just 8-15-2 vs. line with Jackets since 2019, though note Dabo covered only one of five in Death Valley LY.

Tech Edge: Clemson based on series trends.

SMU at LOUISIANA TECH (CBSSN, 3:30 p.m.)

  • Ponies are just 2-6 last eight laying points on road.
  • Skip Holtz was 19-8 as dog from 2014-2019 with LA Tech before slipping a bit last year to 2-4 in role, but covered in that preferred role in opener vs. MSU.
  • Most of that damage on road, just 1-3 last four as a dog in Ruston.

Tech Edge: Louisiana Tech based on team trends.

ALBAMA at FLORIDA (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)

  • Mullen is 0-10 SU vs. Saban but has covered in five of last eight matchups.
  • Mullen also 6-4 as a dog with Gators since 2018.
  • Tide only 5-4 vs. spread last nine away from Tuscaloosa, but is 5-3 vs. spread last eight as SEC visitor.

Tech Edge: Florida based on team trends.

EASTERN MICHIGAN at UMASS (3:30 p.m.)

  • Eagles 25-6-1 vs. spread last 31 away from home, though most of that as a dog (4-3 as visiting chalk since 2016).
  • Minutemen now 1-17 SU, 5-12-1 vs. line for Walt Bell, never closer than 17 in those 17 losses.

Tech Edge: EMU based on team trends.

ARKANSAS STATE at WASHINGTON (Pac-12, 4:15 p.m.)

  • Butch JOnes has already covered twice on his new job at ASU this and Red Wolves have actually covered their last five outside of Sun Belt dating to late 2019.
  • Huskies just 1-5 vs. line for Jimmy Lake (only cover vs. wretched Arizona LY).

Tech Edge: ASU based on team trends.

COLORADO STATE at TOLEDO (ESPNU, 4:00 p.m.)

  • Addazio just 1-5 SU and vs. line with CSU, Rams now 5-13 vs. points last 18 awat from Fort Collins dating to Bobo era and mid 2017.
  • Rockets 4-4-1 last nine vs. line at Glass Bowl, not long ago on 9-1 home chalk run though cooled a bit since (1-5-1).

Tech Edge: Toledo based on CSU negative trends.

NORTHWESTERN at DUKE (ACCN, 4:00 p.m.)

  • Cats were on 9-1 spread run and just one loss last 12 vs. line into 2021 before loss to MSU and another non-cover vs. Indiana State to open 2021.
  • Fitzgerald has still covered five of last six awat from home.
  • Cutcliffe broke five-game SU and spread slid with win last week, now 13-5 last 18 vs. line against non-ACC.

Tech Edge: Northwestern based on team trends.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at MEMPHIS (ESPN2, 4:00 p.m.)

  • Leach teams on 10-18 spread skid since 2018, though did get a nice win vs. NC State last week.
  • Memphis 4-9 vs. spread against FBS opposition under Silverfield, Tigers 4-12 last 16 overall vs. line against FBS foes.

Tech Edge: Miss State based on team trends.

GEORGIA SOUTHERN at ARKANSAS (SECN, 4:00 p.m.)

  • Eagles were 5-2 as dog LY though have only covered three of last nine away from home.
  • Sam Pittman now 9-3 vs. line with Razorbacks, now 2-0 vs. non-SEC.

Tech Edge: Arkansas based on team trends.

BALL STATE at WYOMING (4:00 p.m.)

  • Ball State closed 2020 with five SUs and covered before opening non-cover vs. WIU and blowout loss to Penn State, after Cards 4-0 as dog last season.
  • Bohl has on a four-gae cover streak at home before falling short in opener, but before that had covered six of last eight in Laramie

Tech Edge: Ball State based on team trends.

OLD DOMINION at LIBERTY (ESPN3, 6:00 p.m.)

  • Monarchs continue their struggle, 2-12 SU since 2019, 5-9 vs. spread (counts Wake as loss) though did destroy Hampton last week.
  • Freeze on 10-game cover streak for Liberty.

Tech Edge: Liberty based on team trends.

MIDDLE TENNESSEE at UTSA (ESPN+, 6:00 p.m.)

  • MTST have covered six of last nine on road and eight of last 12 as dog, including last year vs. Roadrunners.
  • MTST 9-1 last nine as CUSA dog.
  • UTSA 13-6 spread uptick since mid 2019 (9-5 since LY for Traylor).

Tech Edge: Middle Tennessee based on team trends.

ECU at MARSHALL (6:00 p.m.)

  • Pirates entered 2021 9-5 last 14 as dog before loss to App State.
  • ECU is still 6-3 vs. spread last nine as visitor for Mike Houston.
  • Marshall dropped five of last six vs. lone down stretch in 2020 before big opening win over Navy in Huff debut.
  • Marshall 1-6 vs. spread at home, though are Doc Holliday's numbers.

Tech Edge: ECU based on team trends.

UTAH STATE at AIR FORCE (FS2, 7:30 p.m.)

  • Blake Anderson 3-0 as dog at Ark State LY and now 1-0 in role with Aggies after WSU upset.
  • Utah State just 1-6 vs. line last seven entering.
  • Calhoun has won this meeting big the past two years and is 5-0-1 vs. spread in last six vs. Utah State.

Tech Edge: Air Force based on series trends.

VIRGINIA at UNC (ACCN, 7:30 p.m.)

  • Mendenhall won and covered as a dog of the last two years vs. Mack Brown and Hoos have won and covered four straight in series.
  • Mendenhall 11-6 as a dog since 2018.
  • Heels only 2-5 vs. spread last seven on board since mid 2020.

Tech Edge: Virginia based on team and series trends.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at LSU (SECN, 7:30 p.m.)

  • McElwain is now 16-6 vs. spread with Chips (8-5 as dog) since taking over in 2019.
  • Orgeron just 3-4 vs. spread last seven at Baton Rouge including games in 2019 title year.
  • McElwain 1-1-1 vs. line against LSU while at Florida.

Tech Edge: CMU based on team trends.

AUBURN at PENN STATE (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)

  • At Boise, Bryan Harsin was 6-4 as an underdog, though note Malzahn was 0-4 as a dog in his last Auburn year a season ago.
  • Auburn 2-5 last seven vs. spread away from Jordan-Hare.
  • James Franklin has now won and covered six in a row for Nittany Lions since late 2020, though Franklin had dropped seven in a row vs. spread in Happy Valley prior to a a pair of December wins to close 2020.

Tech Edge: Penn State based on team trends.

UTAH at SAN DIEGO STATE (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m.)

  • Whittingham now 9-3 vs. spread last 12 as visitor.
  • Aztecs angles to note is now under 24-9 (6-4 under for Brady Hoke).

Tech Edge: Utah and under based on team and total trends.

TROY at MISSISSIPPI STATE (ESPN+, 7:00 p.m.)

  • Troy just 3-6 vs. line outside of Sun Belt since 2019 for Chip Lindsey, but have covered four of last six since late 2020 after opening win.
  • USM entered this season covering just one of last seven at Hattiesburg before Grambling last week.

Tech Edge: Troy based on Southern Miss negatives.

FIU at TEXAS TECH (ESPN+, 7:00 p.m.)

  • Butch Davis entered 2021 covering just five of previous 18 games prior to Long Island lay-up in opener.
  • Matt Wells just 1-6 last seven as chalk with Red Raiders.

Tech Edge: Texas Tech based on team trends.

CHARLOTTE at GEORGIA STATE (ESPN+, 7:00 p.m.)

  • 49ers now 10-4 overall vs. spread since late 2019.
  • Panthers covered last four in positive 2020 that also included 7-3 spread mark, though crushed in first two this season by Army and UNC.

Tech Edge: Charlotte based on recent trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA at GEORGIA (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)

  • Note that road team has covered the last five in this series.
  • SC closed 2020 by dropping and failing to cover last six though have opened up Shane Beamer era with a pair of wins and covers.
  • Kirby Smart is just 5-6 as Athens chalk since 2019.

Tech Edge: South Carolina based on series trends.

UAB at NORTH TEXAS (7:30 p.m.)

  • UAB covered last three and 10-6 vs. spread last 16 for Bill Clark as CUSA visitor, though note each of those wins by single digits.
  • Mean Green is 6-21 vs. spread is last 27 against FBS-level opposition.

Tech Edge: UAB based on team and series trends.

RICE at TEXAS (LHN, 8:00 p.m.)

  • Owls dropped first two in 2021 but close in opener at Arkansas, and Bloomgren still 6-4 vs. spread last 10 since late 2019.
  • Also 5-4 last eight as dog.
  • Horns did cover in Sark debut but prior had problems vs. line as Austin chalk (5-12 previous 17).

Tech Edge: Rice based on team trends.

STANFORD at VANDERBILT (ESPNU, 8:00 p.m.)

  • Shaw just 7-13 vs. spread since 2019 and 2-6 last eight as chalk.
  • Vanderbilt broke 12-game SU losing streak at CS last week but still 3-9 vs. spread last 12 at Nashville.

Tech Edge: Stanford based on team trends.

TULANE at OLE MISS (ESPNU, 8:00 p.m.)

  • Fritz on a 19-9 spread uptick with Wave since late 2018, and has covered five of last seven away from home.
  • Rebs now 4-3 as chalk for Lane Kiffin, who was 8-2 laying point in his last year at FAU (2019).
Tech Edge: Tulane based on team trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at BOISE STATE (FS1, 9:00 p.m.)

  • Gundy has covered nine of last 13 away from Stillwater, though he's only 2-7 overall vs. spread last nine since mid 2020.
  • Broncos just 2-4 last six vs. line against non-MW BCS foe, but have covered eight of last 10 on blue carpet.
  • OSU won 44-21 in 2018 at Stillwater.
Tech Edge: Boise State based on recent trends.

FRESNO STATE at UCLA (Pac-12, 10:45 p.m.)

  • Bulldogs have covered first three this season and are now 5-0 vs. spread last five vs. Pac-12 teams.
  • Fresno beat UCLA three straight times (2003, 2008, 2018).
  • Chip Kelly wins and covers in first two in 2021 but 2-6 as chalk since 2018.
Tech Edge: Fresno State based on team trends.

IOWA STATE at UNLV (CBSSN, 10:30 p.m.)

  • Cyclones covered last five and are 6-0-1 vs. line last seven after facing Iowa.
  • ISU 5-3 last eight as chalk.
  • Rebels are 0-8 SU for Marcus Arroyo but unbeaten vs. line last three since late 2019.
Tech Edge: ISU based on team trends.

ARIZONA STATE at BYU (ESPN, 10:15 p.m.)

  • Herm Edwards has covered last four away from Tempe though overall spread numbers are 16-17 with Sun Devils.
  • Cougs dropped three of last five vs. line since late 2020 though did beat Utah for first time since 2009 last week.
Tech Edge: Arizona State based on recent trends.

Sunday, Sep. 19

SAN JOSE STATE at HAWAII (FS1, 12:30 a.m.)

  • Shaw just 7-13 vs. spread since 2019 and 2-6 last eight as chalk.
  • Vanderbilt broke 12-game SU losing streak at CS last week but still 3-9 vs. spread last 12 at Nashville.
Tech Edge: Stanford based on team trends.


  
 
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