College Football Week 10 Best Bets: Tuesday Night Bet For UTEP vs. Kennesaw

College Football Week 10 Best Bets: Tuesday Night Bet For UTEP vs. Kennesaw

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Week 10 of college football is here and I have 16 best bets for you.

Be sure to check out my NFL week 9 best bets as well.

I will be updating this article as more bets get placed, so be sure to check back regularly and add us as a featured source to get the latest sports odds, news, and picks!

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UTEP VS. KENNESAW STATE BEST BET

UTEP @ KENN Odds

UTEP's offense is one of the worst in college football. They rank 134th in offensive success rate, 131st in passing offense, and 120th in rushing offense. However, UTEP is rather strong on defense. They rank 16th in defensive success rate allowed and are particularly effective against the run.

Kennesaw is another team that has it's offensive woes. Both teams play slow, averaging 67 offensive snaps per game. I expect this to be a low-scoring matchup.

Bet: UTEP Miners @ Kennesaw State Owls u51 (-110)


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VANDERBILT VS. TEXAS BEST BET

VAN @ TEX Odds

These teams have both played equal schedules according to PFF, and surprisingly enough, these teams' advanced stats are similar as well. Texas' defense has been the strength of this unit all season, but Vanderbilt's offense ranks 13th in EPA/pass and 4th in EPA/rush. This Vanderbilt offense is very much equipped to give this Texas defense a test.

I don't trust this Texas offense to get anything going against Vanderbilt, even given the fact that the Commodores have the 112th pass defense. Texas struggles on early downs, posting a negative EPA/play and are 100th in offensive EPA/drive. Vanderbilt comes out on top in this SEC matchup.

Check out our complete Vanderbilt vs. Texas prediction and preview.

Bet: Vanderbilt Commodores Moneyline (+105)


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OKLAHOMA VS. TENNESSEE BEST BET

OU @ TENN Odds

I am fascinated to see this Oklahoma defense face off against this explosive Tennessee offense. These matchups are truly a tale of two different skill sets. What Oklahoma has in defense they lack in offense, and it is vice versa for Tennessee. Oklahoma can make a serious case that they are one of the best defenses in the country, and Tennessee is a top-15 offense.

Last week against Ole Miss, John Mateer threw for the most yards since his surgery, indicating some positive momentum in his performance. This Tennessee defense is a great unit to get back on track against. Oklahoma keeps this game close.

Check out our complete Tennessee vs. Oklahoma prediction and preview.

Bet: Oklahoma Sooners +3.5 (-110)


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UCF VS. BAYLOR BEST BET

UCF @ BAY Odds

If the Baylor Bears can do anything, they can score points. Baylor is efficient on early downs, and they don't find themselves behind the sticks very often.

UCF has the 100th-ranked strength of schedule to date according to PFF, where Baylor has the 24th toughest. Although UCF may have the slight edge over Baylor on paper, adding the context of each team's respective schedule changes the picture of this matchup. Baylor's explosive offense should allow them to beat UCF handily.

Bet: Baylor Bears -4.5 (-110)


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WEST VIRGINIA VS. HOUSTON BEST BET

WVU @ HOU Odds

The matchup I am eyeing here is Houston's defense vs. West Virginia's offense. West Virginia has one of the worst passing offenses in college football, ranking 129th in passing offense. Their offensive success rate comes in at 127th, and their offensive passing success rate is 125th. Houston's defense is strong and well rounded. They rank 37th against the pass and 29th against the rush.

Houston's offense is not particularly strong, so I expect both offenses to struggle in this matchup and the game to be a low-scoring affair.

Bet: West Virginia Mountaineers @ Houston Cougars u49.5 (-110)


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DUKE VS. CLEMSON BEST BET

It is possible that Duke is the unluckiest team in college football. You can go back and look at their losses and make a serious case that they should have won each of those games. They rank 18th in offensive success rate, 13th in early-downs EPA/play, and 7th in passing success rate.

Clemson has been unable to run the ball and comes in with the 131st-ranked rush offense in college football. The Duke defense will not be asked to do too much, and the Duke offense is going to be able to move the ball up and down the field against Clemson.

Bet: Duke Blue Devils +3.5 (-108)


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ARMY VS. AIR FORCE BEST BET

ARMY @ AFA Odds

I will be the first to say it. This takes some guts! Service academy overs are a dangerous bet, but the defenses for Air Force and Army are very weak this season. Sure, both of these teams love to run the ball. However, pace is up for both of these teams, with Air Force averaging 70.9 offensive snaps per game and Army averaging 77.4 offensive snaps per game.

Army's defense is 119th in defensive success rate, and Air Force's defense is 135th in defensive success rate. These defenses are weak and these teams play fast, which should result in points.

Best Bet: Army Black Knights @ Air Force Falcons o48.5 (-110)


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UNLV VS. NEW MEXICO BEST BET

UNM @ UNLV Odds

This play is almost entirely contingent on UNLV. They can't tackle, their defense lacks, but their offense is explosive, and they can score at almost any time with their special teams. I think back to their game against Wyoming where they blocked two punts resulting in points.

UNLV is 16th in offensive success rate, 14th in passing success rate, and in the 85th percentile for offensive explosiveness. Both of these teams are going to be able to find the end zone early and often.

Best Bet: New Mexico Lobos @ UNLV Rebels o61.5 (-110)


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MINNESOTA VS. MICHIGAN STATE BEST BET

MSU @ MINN Odds

The difference here is defense. Michigan State ranks amongst the worst in college football in defensive success rate, pass defense, and rush defense. Minnesota, on the other hand, is 46th in defensive success rate, 39th in defensive pass success rate, and 37th in net EPA/drive.

3 points is not nearly enough for such a great talent and statistical discrepancy.

Best Bet: Minnesota Golden Gophers -3 (-110)


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DELAWARE VS. LIBERTY BEST BET

DEL @ LIB Odds

Delaware's offense is the difference maker in this matchup. They rank 28th in offensive success rate, and they are particularly efficient in late down situations. Liberty's defense has had trouble defending the run this year, ranking 127th in defensive rush success rate allowed.

Delaware's offense is strong enough to keep this game close for the Fightin' Blue Hens.

Best Bet: Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens +3.5 (-115)


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SAN DIEGO STATE VS. WYOMING BEST BET

These are two amazing defenses. If you are a sucker for low-scoring affairs, it feels like this should be the headlining act. San Diego State is 5th in defensive success rate, and Wyoming's pass defense is so strong. SDSU prioritizes running the football, as shown by their 60% run play selection rate.

These teams play with average pace, but their defenses are the reason why I think this will be a low-scoring game.

Best Bet: Wyoming Cowboys @ San Diego State Aztecs u42.5 (-110)


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VIRIGINA VS. CALIFORNIA BEST BET

UVA @ CAL Odds

This is the first game of the season for Virginia where they have to travel across the country to play. We have plenty of data indicating that when teams have to travel 2-3 time zones, they underperform. Think Illinois vs. Washington last week. That plays a big part in this pick.

Cal's defense is strong enough to stifle this Virginia offensive attack, especially an offense that may be out of whack thanks to the extended travel.

Best Bet: California Golden Bears +4.5 (-114)


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ARIZONA VS. COLORADO BEST BET

ARI @ COLO Odds

Utah embarrassed Colorado late last Saturday. I see a similar path for Colorado this weekend. Arizona ranks 20th in net EPA/play, and 4th in net EPA/play on defense. Arizona has Colorado outmatched on paper and there is no strength of schedule adjustment that can rationalize such a big statistical gap.

Best Bet: Arizona Wildcats -4.5 (-110)


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NEBRASKA VS. USC BEST BET

USC @ NEB Odds

This is another pick where I am playing against the team that has to travel multiple time zones. USC has suffered two losses this season, and in both of those losses they had to travel 2+ time zones. This is relevant in the new conference alignment, where teams are doing this more and more often. USC lost @ Notre Dame by 10 and @ Illinois by 2. They were the favorites against Illinois when they lost outright.

Nebraska should be able to take advantage of this USC defense and come out on top in this classic Big Ten matchup.

Best Bet: Nebraska Cornhuskers +6.5 (-110) + ML (+205)


PLACE THIS BET INSTANTLY AT CAESARS!

I would love to hear from you all. You can interact with me on Threads and best of luck this week!