3M Open Picks, Predictions, Odds

The 3M Open will have a hard time living up to the ending we saw at The Open Championship last week. Cameron Smith birdied the last five holes to chase down Rory McIlroy and win the Claret Jug after seemingly falling out of contention with a 73 on Saturday. Neither Smith nor McIlroy will be in attendance at the 3M Open this week, but another Cameron (Champ) will look to defend his title at TPC Twin Cities.

This will be the fourth edition of the 3M Open. TPC Twin Cities hosted a PGA Tour Champions event at this course from 2001 to 2018, and the course was awarded a PGA Tour stop in 2019. Matthew Wolff, Michael Thompson, and Cameron Champ are the three previous winners of this tournament, and Thompson and Champ will be taking part in this event.


  • Date: July 21 - July 24, 2022
  • Venue: TPC Twin Cities
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
  • Course Length: 7,431 yards
  • Course Par: 71
  • Defending Champion: Cam Champ
  • More Golf Futures


  • Tony Finau to Win the 3M Open (+1300)
  • Cameron Davis Top 10 Finish (+320)
  • Michael Thompson Top 10 Finish (+900)


I don’t usually take a favorite to win a tournament. However, the value is there with Tony Finau this week as Finau has taken part in all three previous editions of the 3M Open. Finau has finished T30 in each of his previous trips to TPC Twin Cities, and he finished T3 here in 2020.

He struggled to start the season, but Finau has been in better form over the last three months. Although he has yet to win a tournament this season, Finau finished T2 at the Mexico Open and T4 at the Charles Schwab Challenge in May and T2 at the RBC Canadian Open last month. Finau ranks 17th in GIR, and he has done a better job finishing on the green the last several weeks.

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We saw Cameron Davis win the Rocket Mortgage Classic in this part of the country last year, and Davis has fared well on courses in the Midwest. He posted a T8 at the John Deere Classic a couple weeks ago, and he also has a T6 at the Barracuda Championship and a T7 at the Charles Schwab Challenge in the last two months.

Davis missed the cut here in 2019, but he finished 12th in 2020 and 28th in 2021. That familiarity with the course should work to his advantage this week. He shot a 64 at TPC Twin Cities on Sunday last year, and he will look to carry that form into this tournament.


In 2020, Michael Thompson claimed just his second PGA Tour title here at TPC Twin Cities. Thompson defeated Adam Long by two strokes to win the 3M Open, as he shot a 64 on Thursday and never looked back. He was unable to defend his title and finished 39th last year, but Thompson stands a decent chance of challenging for the 2022 3M Open crown this weekend.

Thompson finished T9 at the Barracuda Championship last week. He ranks 30th on the PGA Tour in driving accuracy, and that will help him this week as the rough can be up to four inches thick.