Wells Fargo Championship Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Quail Hollow Club is usually the site for the Wells Fargo Championship. However, Quail Hollow will be hosting the Presidents Cup in September, so this event has been moved north to TPC Potomac outside of Washington D.C. TPC Potomac was previously the host for the Quicken Loans National in 2017 and 2018.

This is a par 70 course that measures in at 7,160 yards. TPC Potomac was previously a par 71 when it held the Quicken Loans National, but it has been revamped since that point. It is known for having Scottish-style bunkers in addition to winding creeks, and we should see plenty of low numbers. The weather is expected to be very hospitable throughout the week.

Updated on 05/18/2024
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  • Rory McIlroy to Miss Cut (+400)
  • Corey Conners to Win the Wells Fargo Championship (+2000)
  • Marc Leishman Top 10 Finish (+220)


The overwhelming favorite to win the Wells Fargo Championship right now is Rory McIlroy. He is currently +800 to win the tournament at Bet365, and the golfers with the next lowest odds are Tony Finau and Corey Conners at 20-1.

McIlroy is the only player to have won multiple Wells Fargo Championship titles, claiming the trophy in 2010, 2015, and 2021. There’s no doubt that he is one of the best at Quail Hollow, but he shouldn’t be given this much respect at a different course. McIlroy has never played at TPC Potomac before in his career, as he skipped the Quicken Loans National in 2017 and 2018.

While McIlroy finished runner-up at the Masters, he has struggled early in the week in his last three events. He nearly missed the cut at THE PLAYERS Championship and did miss the cut at the Valero Texas Open last month. McIlroy’s last six rounds on Thursday and Friday resulted in scores of 73, 73, 72, 73, 73, and 73.


It’s only a matter of time before Corey Conners wins his second PGA Tour competition. Conners has been in good form over the last month, putting a tough start to the season behind him. He is currently ranked just outside the top 30 in the golf rankings, and that has led to some good value on Conners.

Conners finished third at the WGC Match Play Championship in late March, and he earned a T6 finish at the Masters. A 72 on Friday kept him from a T10 finish at the RBC Heritage Open, but there is plenty to like about him at TPC Potomac. He is currently ranked No. 3 in Greens in Regulation, No. 6 in Strokes Gained Off the Tee, and he won’t be punished for not having a lot of power out of the tee box.

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Rob Bolton has Marc Leishman ranked as the top golfer coming into the Wells Fargo Championship, so he is definitely worth a play at +220 to finish in the top ten. Leishman was in elite form at the start of the season, posting a T4 finish at the Fortinet Championship and T3 finishes at the Shriners Children’s Open and the QBE Shootout. He hasn’t finished in the T20 in his last five events, but he should thrive here.

Leishman ranks No. 1 on the PGA Tour on par 3s, and that gives him a big edge on par 70 courses. He is one of the top 20 putters on the PGA Tour, and he did play this course in both 2017 and 2018. Leishman finished 5th in 2017 and 13th in 2018, so he knows what it takes to post low numbers at TPC Potomac.

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