World Wide Technology Championship Picks and Predictions

Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert

7 minute read

Nov. 4, 2021

Dan Dobish
VI Betting Expert
VegasInsider.com

The PGA Tour heads to El Camaleon GB at the Mayakoba Resort in Playa del Carmen, Mexico for the
2021 World Wide Technology Championship.

This event has gone from a rather backwaters, non-eventful stop on the Tour, to one which many of the
majors names are not attending on a regular basis. This weekend’s particular field is stacked with studs,
including Abraham Ancer, Rickie Fowler, Sergio Garcia, Brooks Koepka and Patrick Reed, among others.

Golf Betting Resources
2021 World Wide Technology Championship

• Date: Thursday Nov. 4 - Sunday Nov. 7, 2021
• Venue: El Camaleon Golf Club
• Location: Playa del Carmen, Quintana Roo, Mexico
• Par-Yardage: 71, 7,017 yards
• Defending Champion: Viktor Hovland
• TV: Golf Channel
• Vegas Expert Picks
• Betting Odds

Like the Bermuda Championship last week, this course setup is not particularly lengthy. The course is a
Par 71 setup at 6,987 yards with paspalum greens, unlike the TifEagle-Bermuda putting surfaces from
last weekend.

There are some key factors to focus upon heading to Mayakoba, but bettors will really want to focus on
Greens In Regulation (GIR) Percentage.

Russell Henley is ranked No. 1 in GIR, but he has just eight rounds under his belt this season.
Nevertheless, he has hit 121 of a possible 144 fairways in the 2021-22 PGA Tour season. Gary Woodland
is also in the mix, and he is second, albeit with just six rounds to date. A better indicator might be
looking to those stats from the 2020-21 season.

Emiliano Grillo was third in GIR last season, hitting 1,235 of 1,728 fairways hit across 100 rounds, good
for a 71.47 percentage. Russell Knox (70.41), Aaron Wise (70.35) and Garcia (70.05) were all big-time GIR
producers.

But it’s not only all about GIR. That would be too easy. Driving Accuracy Percentage is also very
important. Henley has hit 86 of a possible 112 fairways so far, so his accuracy off the tee has been
fabulous. Looking back to last season, a much bigger sample size, shows Ancer at 71.05 percent. J.J.
Spaun has managed a 68.99 percentage off the tee, and Doug Ghim was also strong at 68.55. Matt
Fitzpatrick is also a name to remember, as he hit 68.37 percent of his fairways in 69 rounds last season.

Abraham Ancer has seen a Top 15 result in three of his last four PGA Tour events. (AP)

World Wide Technology Championship
Betting Odds

There are three golfers in particular who are considered strong favorites to win this event, including
Justin Thomas (+1200), Ancer (+1600) and Viktor Hovland (+1600). Some of the golfers mentioned
above, like Koepka (+3000) and Reed (+3000), offer some tremendous value.

Don’t forget Henley
(+4000), and bettors hope his driving accuracy and strong GIR numbers continue to bump. Big hitter
Tony Finau (+2500), Aaron Wise (+3000), Billy Horschel (+3000) and Tyrell Hatton (+3000) are among
those with fairly short odds to win.

World Wide Technology Championship Contenders

• Justin Thomas +1000
• Viktor Hovland +1400
• Tony Finau +2200
• Abraham Ancer +2700
• Scottie Scheffler +2700
• Patrick Reed +2700
• Brooks Koepka +2700
• More Golfers
• (Odds Subject to Change)

World Wide Technology Championship Picks and Predictions

Contender to Back

• Abraham Ancer (+2700)

I really like Ancer (+1600) to win here. He is the safe bet, and what a party it would be in the Mexican-
born golfer, No. 14 in the OWGR, would make his way to the top of the leaderboard come Sunday.
Again, he was strong off the tee last season, and he has a good read on the paspalum greens which will
get others into trouble down on the Yucatan Peninsula.

Top 10 Picks

• Matthew Fitzpatrick (+300)
• Emiliano Grillo (+500)

Fitzpatrick (+300) is a strong value play due to his tremendous work off the tee, and he had a solid
scoring average of 45 th last season. He also ranked 15 th last season in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee, and
that will serve him well. He is a good bet for a Top 10 finish. He is just so-so on the putting surface, so
that’s the biggest concern.

Grillo (+500) is also an accurate and safe play due to his work off the tee. You don’t necessarily have to
be a banger at El Camaleon, and quality over quantity from the tee box is just as important.

Top 20 Picks

• Abraham Ancer (-135)
• Russell Henley (+160)
• Brooks Koepka (+125)
• Gary Woodland (+250)

Ancer (-135) isn’t a bad small-unit play to win, but he is still a good value for a Top 20 play. If you want a
little insurance, and like to play it safe. He is an attractive bet.

In addition, Henley (+160) and Koepka (+175) are still plus-money for a Top 20 pick, and you can’t pass
that up. Woodland (+250) is also a great value for a chance to multiply your initial wager by two and a
half times.

Nationality Picks

• Matthew Fitzpatrick Top British/Irish Golfer (+500)
• Sergio Garcia Top Continential European Player (+550)

Fitzpatrick (+500) is the best play among the GB & Ireland plays, and I really like Garcia (+550) to end up
as the Top Continental European player.

How to Bet on Golf

Golf betting has gained much more exposure and interest in the past few years, and with plenty of plus-money prices littered throughout the various forms of golf wagers, the chance for bigger scores is part of the reason behind that increased popularity.

2021 Golf Betting Schedule

Sportsbooks ensure that there are no shortage of wagering options on golf tournaments every week, and it isn't all about picking the winner. Grabbing the outright winner of a golf tournament is the best way to get that 'big score' but it's also the hardest wager to cash. After all, a typical professional golf tournament has a field of 140+ different players to consider.

Understanding Golf Odds and Bets

Most golf odds are listed in the fractional format – 10/1 on Dustin Johnson for example – and in that particular case you would multiply the amount bet by that first number to project your winnings. So a $100 bet on DJ to win that particular event would win you $1000.

If you are more comfortable with the American version of odds listings that you typically see across the other major North American sports – ie +1000 – these numbers are easily convertible. Online and app based books may already have that option built in, but the easiest way to do it yourself is to add two zeros to the first number in the fraction. So a 10/1 price on DJ converts to +1000 in that format.

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Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers