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Horse Racing

At the Gate – Wednesday

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
4 minute read
The Breeders’ Cup picked up a marquee name on Tuesday as it was confirmed that the superstar filly Enable would head to the U.S. to compete in the $4 million Turf against the boys.

The John Gosden trainee was already the early favorite for the race, but her price is dipping even lower and is now less than even money.

The four-year-old has won back to back runnings of the Arc de l’Arc de Triomphe (G1) and has won nine of her 10 career starts including six Group 1 victories.

The Arc is a key race, with 11 Breeders’ Cup Turf winners in the 34 runnings having competed in the Arc. However, no Arc winner has come back to win the Turf.

The U.S. turf division is rather weak this year and we could see Euros go off as the top three or four betting choices. Among the major contenders likely to come across the pond include Roaring Lion, Waldgeist and Crystal Ocean.

Another Euro that is making the trip is the defending champion Talismanic, who pulled off the upset last year returning $30.20. His form has not been as good this year and he was 13th in the Arc.

Among the U.S. contenders the best are Channel Maker and Robert Bruce, the top two finishers of the Joe Hirsch Turf Classic (G1) at Belmont Park on Sept. 29.

We are back in action at Belmont Park today and it looks as if the weather will finally cooperate. The NYRA took the finale off the turf on Sunday after I had already placed my late Pick 3 and Pick 4 bets and I was not amused.

Now is the perfect time to purchase my Monthly Package for just $99.95. It gives you a month of Belmont Park daily, my Best Plays Report each Saturday and Sunday and my two-day Breeders’ Cup Report.

To purchase my Belmont Park Report for Wednesday click here.

Here is the opener from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:

BEL Race 1 Md $20,000 (1:30 ET)
#5 Support Our Cause 8-5
#2 Country Squire 6-5
#1 Curlin's New Moon 7-2
#4 Ninja Boys 8-1

Analysis: Support Our Cause drops in for a tag for the first time here in his fourth career start for the Brown barn that is 32% winners (with a +ROI) dropping runners from maiden special to maiden claiming. He weakened to finish fifth last out in the slop at Monmouth Park and two back on turf was the beaten chalk when checking in sixth. His lone go on a fast main track was his fifth in his debut here at seven furlongs. He has plenty of pedigree to go long, by Blame out of a Put it Back mare that has dropped two other foals to race with one winner. Best of a weak group.

Country Squire dropped in for a tag last out and could only muster a third at 6-5 at Gulfstream Park. He takes another drop for Pletcher who is still in a bit of a funk, winning at just a 13% clip at the meeting. The gelding does not need to move forward much off his last effort to win here but tough to take a light price.

Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 8-5 or better.
EX: 2,5 / 1,2,5
TRI: no play

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:

BEL Race 8 Alw $90,000N1X (5:18 ET)
#1 Vintage Matters 3-1
#3 Way Early 2-1
#9 Winter Union 5-2
#6 War Chest 6-1

Analysis: Vintage Matters was outrun and made up some ground late least out on yielding ground in the Laurel Turf Cup, checking in sixth. The winner Hello Don Julio came back to win the restricted Point of Entry in her next outing on Oct. 14 here. Two back off a seven-month layoff the gelding stalked the early pace and finished gamely to just miss by a neck in the Cape Henelopen at Delaware Park going 1 1/2 miles. This guy is a state bred and ran into some toughies last summer including Voodoo Song. He makes his third start of the year for the mad Genius who has started just 48 starters this year, winning with six. Looks well spotted dropping in class. A nice pedigree on this guy, by Tapit out of the stakes winner
Cellars Shiraz ($728,410) who has dropped four other turf winners.

Way Early made a good late rally to beat state bred Alw-1 foes last out at Saratoga at even money. Three he beat that day have come back to win next out including the runner up Appealing Briefs, who beat state bred Alw-1 foes in his next outing on Oct. 5. The Weaver trainee was fourth two back in the Kent (G3) and was a good second in the Penn Mile (G3) three back. By Tizway out of the stakes winner Jill Robin L ($167,270) and looks capable of handling the extra ground here.

Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 2-1 or better.
EX: 1,3 / 1,3,6,9
TRI: 1,3 / 1,3,6,9 / 1,2,3,6,9

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Belmont Park
R1: #4 Ninja Boys 8-1
R4: #3 Suba Lou 15-1
R5: #3 Overbrook 8-1
R7: #7 Nth Degree 12-1

Good luck today!

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