Future Market - Buy Orders
May 29, 2015
By Kyle Hunter
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MLB World Series Futures Odds - Top Three Values
The Major League Baseball season is almost two months old. It's important to remember that even though we've played for almost two months, we are only a little past the quarter pole for the season. This is a long season. Several of the teams that are the big surprise teams early in the year aren't going to be atop the leaderboard late this year. On the other hand, there are going to be teams get hot and make the playoffs that started slowly.
Because the season is so long, there can be good chances throughout the season to find value in in the MLB futures market. Today, I want to take a look at three teams that I consider a nice value in the current MLB World Series Futures Odds.
This article isn't about listing the top three teams who could win the World Series, rather it is about finding value for teams who are underpriced in the betting market today.
Odds provided by [...]
1) St. Louis Cardinals (9/1)
What do the Cardinals have to do to get some love from the oddsmakers?
St. Louis has the best record in baseball, and yet the global outfit has them listed as the fourth favorite to win the World Series. Sure, there are several other teams with a very high upside, but don't overlook this team. The Cardinals are 18-5 at home so far this season. Adam Wainwright's injury definitely hurts the Cardinals, but the lack of a dominant ace is the only thing missing for this team. Their strengths are truly amazing.
The St. Louis lineup looks more like an American League lineup. On some days they are batting Jason Heyward in the number eight spot. Kolton Wong is turning into a star, and Matt Carpenter is as reliable as they come. Matt Holiday's run of 43 straight games reaching base to start the season is nothing short of remarkable. Don't forget about this team's defense either, one of the best units in the National League. Also, the bullpen has been rock solid and closer Trevor Rosenthal has taken it to a whole different level this year. I expect this team will be a really tough out in October.
2) Pittsburgh Pirates (25/1)
The Pittsburgh Pirates started the season cold as ice, but they are red-hot right now. The offense is too good to struggle all year long, and we are finally seeing them break out of their slump lately. Andrew McCutchen wasn't going to hit around .200 all season. Starling Marte is one of the most underrated players in the game today. Josh Harrison wasn't getting on base and causing problems earlier this year, but he's back to doing his job really well lately.
I'm not saying the Pirates are an elite offense, but they aren't a bad one either. Unlike the Cardinals, the Pirates do have an elite pitcher at the top of the rotation. If you don't view Gerrit Cole as one of the best pitchers in the National League then you better start doing so. Cole has filthy stuff and a great drive to succeed. Plus, A.J. Burnett is having a tremendous season as well as the team's number two starter. Burnett was injured last year, and now that his hip is healthy he is dealing. Pittsburgh is second in the majors in team ERA. The Pirates will almost certainly have to do it the hard way as a Wildcard if they get into the playoffs, but that's why we are getting 25/1 on this Central Division club.
3) Cleveland Indians (25/1)
The Cleveland Indians were the single biggest disappointment in the majors through the first month of the season. This is a team I had very high hopes for before the season and the betting market had to lower expectations, but I still think the Indians have a high ceiling.
Their young rotation is tremendous. Corey Kluber is obviously one of the best in the business today. Carlos Carrasco and Danny Salazar have elite stuff too, and Trevor Bauer continues to improve. This might be the best starting rotation in the American League.
Jason Kipnis is hitting at a torrid pace over the last few weeks, and his insertion into the leadoff spot has fueled this offense of late. The Indians biggest weakness so far this year has been their defense. Francisco Lindor should come up and start at shortstop sooner rather than later, and his glove will help this team in a big way.
While I don't see the Pirates having much of any chance catching the Cardinals, far stranger things have happened than the Indians coming back to win the AL Central. The Twins aren't even close to as good as their record would indicate, and the Tigers have a lot of holes. Kansas City will be the toughest competition, but their starting rotation isn't that good. There's plenty of time for the Indians to right the ship, and I think 25/1 is a great price for a team that has a great manager, Terry Francona.