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Last Updated Apr 09, 2022, 04:03 AM

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Washington Nationals will host the New York Mets for their season opener. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 PM ET at Nationals Park in Washington, DC and can be viewed on ESPN+.

Score Prediction

New York 6, Washington 4 

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New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Betting Predictions

The Mets enter the 2022 season with the 7th best odds to win the World Series at +1500. The Mets finished 3rd in the NL East last season with a record of 77-85. They led the division for a large part of the season before falling apart in the last few months and finishing with a losing record. With a few injuries in the Mets bullpen, 26-year-old Tylor Megill will get his first career opening day start. Megill was 4-6 in 18 starts last season and had an ERA of 4.52. 

The Nationals enter a rebuilding season after trading away many key parts of their 2019 World Series team. Washington still has a couple of solid players including 23-year-old Juan Soto who had 29 HR’s and 99 RBI’s last season, as well as recently signed Nelson Cruz who had 32 HR’s in 142 games last season. Patrick Corbin will get the start for Washington and will look to bounce back this season after posting a 5.82 ERA and 9-16 record last season.  

With neither team sending their best guy to the mound I like the over. Both teams have power throughout their lineups and we should see plenty of runs in this one. I also think the Mets will get the better of Patrick Corbin and like the Mets moneyline.  

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Betting Odds

  • Mets -125
  • Nationals +105
  • Mets -1.5 (+130)
  • Nationals +1.5 (-150)
  • Over 9 -115
  • Under 9 +105

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Washington has lost 12 of 13 divisional games when playing during the daytime. (Getty)

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Betting Resources

  • Date: Thursday, April 7, 2022
  • Matchup: NL East
  • Stadium: Nationals Park
  • Location: Washington, D.C.
  • TV-Time: ESPN+ - 7:05 p.m. ET

New York Mets Betting Analysis

The Mets finished last season with an ATS record of 68-91, going 31-47 at home and 37-44 on the road. The total went under in 79 of New York’s 155 games played last season including four of their last six. The Mets have had past success against the Nationals, going 8-3 SU in their last 11 games against Washington.  

The Mets were inconsistent with the bats last season, but hope to fix that with additions of outfielders Starling Marte and Mark Cahana. All eyes will be on Francisco Lindor after having a disappointing 2021 season with the team, hitting 20 HR’s and 63 RBI’s. 1st baseman Pete Alonso brings the power to New York’s lineup with 37 HR’s and 94 RBI’s last season.  

Tylor Megill gets the start with Max Scherzer and Jacob DeGrom both dealing with injuries. Megill made his MLB debut last June and in his first 11 starts posted a 3.21 ERA with 50 strikeouts in 56 innings. His numbers weren’t quite as strong towards the end of the season with a 4.52 ERA in 89.2 innings pitched. 

Washington Nationals Betting Analysis

The Nationals finished last season with an ATS record of 73-88, going 34-47 at home and 39-41 on the road. The total went under in 81 of Washington’s 161 games played last season including four of their last six. The Nats did not finish off the season well at home, posting a 1-6 SU record in their last seven games at home.  

Washington averaged 4.47 runs per game last season which ranked 16th in the MLB. 23-year-old Juan Soto is the star of the team and who they will build the team around. Soto is among the top hitters in the game and hit 29 HR’s and 99 RBI’s last season. Washington brought in veteran DH/right fielder Nelson Cruz to help with the offense. Cruz may be 41, but he still has plenty of power left in the tank.  

Patrick Corbin will take the mound after a disappointing 2021 season. Corbin was 9-16 last season with an ERA of 5.82. Last season against the Mets Corbin allowed nine runs in 17 innings. Throughout his career, Corbin is 5-7 with a 4.33 ERA in 20 meetings against the Mets.  

Key Players to Watch

  • NYM: Francisco Lindor - SS (.230 avg, 20 HR, 63 RBI)
  • NYM: Pete Alonso - 1B (.262 avg, 37 HR, 94 RBI)
  • WSH: Juan Soto - OF (.313 avg, 29 HR, 95 RBI)
  • WSH: Nelson Cruz - DH (.265 avg, 32 HR, 86 RBI)

Probable Pitchers

  • NYM: Tylor Megill - RHP (0-0, 4.52 ERA, 99 K, 1.28 WHIP)
  • WSH: Patrick Corbin - LHP (9-16, 5.82 ERA, 143 K, 1.47 WHIP)

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Betting Conclusion

I think the play in this matchup is over nine runs and Mets moneyline. With neither team able to send their top pitcher to the mound we can expect runs to be scored. I think the Nationals hang around for the majority of the game with the Mets powerful lineup getting the best of the Nats in the end. Taking the over nine runs and Mets moneyline here.  

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