NBA Best Bets Today | Expert Picks for Sunday, April 7

We expect plenty of points in this Eastern Conference showdown between two teams jockeying for better playoff positioning. Coincidentally, this game features a pair of Wisconsin guards in Tyler Herro and Tyrese Haliburton who I actually coached against and one of my son's played against growing up.

Herro returned to the Heat's lineup and scored 17 points, had 6 assists and grabbed 5 rebounds on Friday against the Rockets. Herro is the Heat's second leading scorer behind Jimmy Butler at just under 21PPG.

Miami is on a current 5 game Over streak which includes a game against the Blazers were they put up 142-points. Today the Heat face a Pacers defense that is worse than Portland's in terms of defensive efficiency allowing 1.181-points per possession.

What Indiana does do well is score points with a highly efficient offense averaging 122.8PPG with an OEFF of 1.206PPP. Miami is averaging 109.9PPG over their last ten games and our math model has them scoring 115 versus this defense today.

Granted the Heat have solid defensive numbers but Indiana scores on everyone including big numbers against three similar defenses lately in the Clippers, Lakers and Warriors. In two meetings this season one of these two teams has scored 140+ points.

Both of those games had O/U's set of 237.5 so you can see for yourself the value in today's number. Easy call on the OVER here.

The Kings have value here, laying the number against the Nets. This is a case of two teams who have so many different things to play for. Brooklyn is just riding the string out, looking to end the season as they have struggled this year on both ends of the floor.

Meanwhile, the Kings come in looking to better their playoff positioning as they need a win this spot. Brooklyn comes in on the second game of a back to back, which is going to cause some fatigue here for them against a very fast paced Kings team.

The Nets are 4-8-1 ATS this year in the 2nd game of a back to back, while they also have covered just 9 of 29 ATS when playing western conference foes.

The Kings have owned this head to head for the most part and won the first meeting by 13 points and have covered in 4 of their last 5 overall.

This is a nice spot for them to come out and play with tempo and really look to get the Nets on their heels early. There's good value on this Kings side laying the points. You know what to do. Hop ON!